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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: Europa League prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Dinamo Zagreb
Europa League
Tomorrow · 16:45 UTC
VS
Stadion Maksimir

NEC Nijmegen
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Dinamo Zagreb
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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NEC Nijmegen
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle93J. Mišić
DIN · CM
DIN · CMMost likely shot89D. Beljo
DIN · ST
DIN · STMost likely fouled86Clement Bischoff
NEC · W
NEC · WMost likely foul81D. Geiger
NEC · CM
NEC · CMMost likely SoT79D. Beljo
DIN · ST
DIN · STMost likely booking76Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
NEC · CB
NEC · CBMost likely G+A72D. Beljo
DIN · ST
DIN · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
DIN30.8%DRAW25.2%
NEC44.0%Most likely score1–111.6% · xG 1.38–1.69
Over 1.581.7%Over 2.558.9%Over 3.536.3%Under 2.541.1%BTTS61.6%
InputsClub strength rating 1354 vs 1661 (rating diff -307), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Europa League, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.38, λA 1.69 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningDBD. BeljoDinamo Zagreb · ST
72medium
Goals/90 1.02·Assists/90 0.17
Last 512113
A genuine goal threat, and red-hot lately (90% G+A in his last 10).
Shot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDBD. BeljoDinamo Zagreb · ST
79medium
1+best shout7992% hit2+4550% hit
SoT/90 1.90·Shots/90 3.00
Last 532114
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
TCT. CheryNEC Nijmegen · W
73medium
1+best shout7373% hit2+4147% hit
SoT/90 1.42·Shots/90 2.17
Last 510113
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
KSK. SierhuisNEC Nijmegen · LW
65medium
1+best shout6563% hit2+2613% hit
SoT/90 1.47·Shots/90 1.18
Last 510100
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDBD. BeljoDinamo Zagreb · ST
89high
1+89100% hit2+best shout7183% hit
Shots/90 3.00·SoT/90 1.90
Last 543515
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
TCT. CheryNEC Nijmegen · W
88high
1+8893% hit2+best shout6780% hit
Shots/90 2.17·SoT/90 1.42
Last 532415
Gets his shots off regularly.
BLB. LinssenNEC Nijmegen · ST
80medium
1+best shout8075% hit2+5350% hit
Shots/90 2.26·SoT/90 1.12
Last 542013
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningAKAlmugera Raouf Mohammed KabarNEC Nijmegen · CB
76high
Cards/90 0.61·YC 2
Last 5✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
AKA. KaplanNEC Nijmegen · CB
74high
Cards/90 0.37·YC 10
Last 5✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
DGD. GeigerNEC Nijmegen · CM
71high
Cards/90 0.35·YC 5
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDGD. GeigerNEC Nijmegen · CM
81medium
1+best shout8143% hit2+5429% hit
Fouls/90 2.48·YC 5
Last 541002
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
AKAlmugera Raouf Mohammed KabarNEC Nijmegen · CB
80medium
1+best shout8067% hit2+4844% hit
Fouls/90 3.37·YC 2
Last 520240
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
DBD. BeljoDinamo Zagreb · ST
77medium
1+best shout7775% hit2+3942% hit
Fouls/90 1.61·YC 6
Last 522120
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningCBClement BischoffNEC Nijmegen · W
86high
1+best shout8685% hit2+5154% hit
Drawn/90 2.24·Dribbles/90 1.88
Last 504031
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
IAIker AlmenaDinamo Zagreb · CM
78medium
1+best shout7850% hit2+420% hit
Drawn/90 2.30·Dribbles/90 1.95
Last 511010
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
FTF. TopićDinamo Zagreb · W
76medium
1+best shout7663% hit2+350% hit
Drawn/90 2.37·Dribbles/90 1.32
Last 501001
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningJMJ. MišićDinamo Zagreb · CM
93high
1+best shout9383% hit2+5525% hit
Tackles/90 2.29·Int/90 1.86
Last 511212
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
DND. NejašmićNEC Nijmegen · CM
92high
1+9287% hit2+best shout6967% hit
Tackles/90 2.46·Int/90 1.04
Last 532112
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
BGB. GodaDinamo Zagreb · CB
92high
1+9260% hit2+best shout7160% hit
Tackles/90 3.02·Int/90 1.32
Last 500244
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
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Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
We price 8 player markets for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.