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Everton vs Wolves: Carabao Cup prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Everton
Carabao Cup
Wed 16 Sept · 18:45 UTC
VS
Hill Dickinson Stadium

Wolves
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Everton
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Wolves
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely fouled99J. Grealish
EVE · LW
EVE · LWMost likely tackle99André
WOL · CDM/CM
WOL · CDM/CMMost likely shot91K. Dewsbury-Hall
EVE · CAM
EVE · CAMMost likely booking90Y. Mosquera
WOL · CB/RB
WOL · CB/RBMost likely foul90André
WOL · CDM/CM
WOL · CDM/CMMost likely SoT60K. Dewsbury-Hall
EVE · CAM
EVE · CAMMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
EVE60.3%DRAW22.4%
WOL17.3%Most likely score1–110.6% · xG 2.03–0.99
Over 1.580.5%Over 2.557.2%Over 3.534.4%Under 2.542.8%BTTS54.9%
InputsClub strength rating 1585 vs 1429 (rating diff 156), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Carabao Cup, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 2.03, λA 0.99 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKDK. Dewsbury-HallEverton · CAM
60low
1+best shout6073% hit2+1927% hit
SoT/90 0.60·Shots/90 1.52
Last 512121
Gets into shooting positions.
RSR. SaïdWolves · ST
57low
1+best shout57no hit data2+23no hit data
SoT/90 1.04·Shots/90 0.59
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
AAA. ArmstrongWolves · ST
48low
1+best shout4844% hit2+136% hit
SoT/90 1.01·Shots/90 2.60
Last 510000
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKDK. Dewsbury-HallEverton · CAM
91high
1+best shout9193% hit2+5253% hit
Shots/90 1.52·SoT/90 0.60
Last 533243
Looks for his shot when the chance comes.
RJR. JiménezWolves · ST
85high
1+85100% hit2+best shout6167% hit
Shots/90 3.06·SoT/90 0.83
Last 514313
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
HHH. HackneyEverton · CDM
81medium
1+best shout8150% hit2+430% hit
Shots/90 2.58·SoT/90 0.62
Last 51010
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningYMY. MosqueraWolves · CB/RB
90high
Cards/90 0.48·YC 13
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
ANAndréWolves · CDM/CM
76high
Cards/90 0.38·YC 15
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
SOS. OlagunjuWolves · CB/LB
73high
Cards/90 0.67·YC 2
Last 5✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningANAndréWolves · CDM/CM
90high
1+best shout9081% hit2+5444% hit
Fouls/90 1.53·YC 15
Last 501214
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MMM. MunetsiWolves · CDM
85high
1+best shout8575% hit2+4625% hit
Fouls/90 1.61·YC 4
Last 503111
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 11.3: gets away with it.
YMY. MosqueraWolves · CB/RB
85high
1+best shout8580% hit2+4950% hit
Fouls/90 1.45·YC 13
Last 514232
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 3.2, and refs book him for it.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningJGJ. GrealishEverton · LW
99high
1+9975% hit2+best shout8525% hit
Drawn/90 3.29·Dribbles/90 1.22
Last 51012
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
KDK. Dewsbury-HallEverton · CAM
89high
1+best shout8980% hit2+5033% hit
Drawn/90 1.63·Dribbles/90 0.99
Last 520103
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
MMM. ManeWolves · LW
86high
1+best shout8683% hit2+5539% hit
Drawn/90 2.38·Dribbles/90 1.49
Last 513111
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningANAndréWolves · CDM/CM
99high
1+9988% hit2+best shout8775% hit
Tackles/90 2.76·Int/90 0.98
Last 501374
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
SOS. OlagunjuWolves · CB/LB
99high
1+990% hit2+best shout830% hit
Tackles/90 2.67·Int/90 1.33
Last 50
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
BTB. TraoréWolves · CM/CDM
99high
1+99100% hit2+best shout700% hit
Tackles/90 3.15·Int/90 0.85
Last 51111
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Everton vs Wolves: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Everton vs Wolves?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Everton vs Wolves?
We price 8 player markets for Everton vs Wolves: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.