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Juventus vs Lazio: Serie A prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Juventus
Serie A
Sun 18 Oct · 18:45 UTC
VS
Allianz Stadium

Lazio
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Juventus
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Lazio
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely fouled96M. Zaccagni
LAZ · ST
LAZ · STMost likely shot93Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
JUV · ST
JUV · STMost likely booking90J. Cabal
JUV · CB
JUV · CBMost likely tackle86Z. Çelik
JUV · CB
JUV · CBMost likely foul75R. Kolo Muani
JUV · ST
JUV · STMost likely SoT60Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
JUV · ST
JUV · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
JUV48.7%DRAW28.1%
LAZ23.3%Most likely score1–113.2% · xG 1.47–0.93
Over 1.569.7%Over 2.542.8%Over 3.521.8%Under 2.557.3%BTTS47.3%
InputsClub strength rating 1692 vs 1621 (rating diff 71), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Serie A, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.47, λA 0.93 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKAKerim-Sam AlajbegovićJuventus · ST
60low
1+best shout6029% hit2+2714% hit
SoT/90 1.33·Shots/90 3.12
Last 531000
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
EZE. ZhegrovaJuventus · ST
55low
1+best shout5533% hit2+2417% hit
SoT/90 2.46·Shots/90 4.97
Last 500205
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
MZM. ZaccagniLazio · ST
51low
1+best shout5158% hit2+1925% hit
SoT/90 0.70·Shots/90 1.65
Last 502311
Gets into shooting positions.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKAKerim-Sam AlajbegovićJuventus · ST
93high
1+9386% hit2+best shout7057% hit
Shots/90 3.12·SoT/90 1.33
Last 561213
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
FCFrancisco ConceiçãoJuventus · CM
92high
1+92100% hit2+best shout6578% hit
Shots/90 3.06·SoT/90 1.06
Last 512213
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
EZE. ZhegrovaJuventus · ST
82medium
1+best shout8267% hit2+5025% hit
Shots/90 4.97·SoT/90 2.46
Last 510316
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningJCJ. CabalJuventus · CB
90high
Cards/90 0.76·YC 4
His card history is doing the talking.
PEPedrazaLazio · CB
71high
Cards/90 0.43·YC 10
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
DLDouglas LuizJuventus · CM
70high
Cards/90 0.32·YC 8
Last 5✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningRMR. Kolo MuaniJuventus · ST
75medium
1+best shout7575% hit2+3938% hit
Fouls/90 2.06·YC 5
Last 511020
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 13.6: gets away with it.
KTK. TaylorLazio · CM
72medium
1+best shout7260% hit2+2913% hit
Fouls/90 1.28·YC 8
Last 512111
His card history is doing the talking.
LKL. KellyJuventus · CB
70medium
1+best shout7053% hit2+3927% hit
Fouls/90 1.49·YC 8
Last 501102
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMZM. ZaccagniLazio · ST
96high
1+9692% hit2+best shout8375% hit
Drawn/90 3.25·Dribbles/90 0.97
Last 530323
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
KAKerim-Sam AlajbegovićJuventus · ST
86high
1+best shout8657% hit2+5314% hit
Drawn/90 2.41·Dribbles/90 2.57
Last 513100
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
GIG. IsaksenLazio · ST
85high
1+best shout8579% hit2+5750% hit
Drawn/90 3.02·Dribbles/90 1.31
Last 503110
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningZÇZ. ÇelikJuventus · CB
86high
1+best shout8671% hit2+6471% hit
Tackles/90 2.15·Int/90 0.94
Last 523204
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
PKP. KaluluJuventus · CB
82medium
1+best shout8278% hit2+5861% hit
Tackles/90 1.65·Int/90 0.67
Last 533043
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
WMW. McKennieJuventus · CM
82medium
1+best shout8279% hit2+4636% hit
Tackles/90 1.65·Int/90 0.81
Last 504112
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Juventus vs Lazio: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Juventus vs Lazio?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Juventus vs Lazio?
We price 8 player markets for Juve vs Lazio: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.