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Lille vs Estac Troyes: Ligue 1 prediction, stats and bet builder tips


Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Lille
averages
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Estac Troyes
averages
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Match outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
LIL62.4%DRAW20.5%
EST17.2%Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competitionCorners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningChips in with goals and assists, and red-hot lately (70% G+A in his last 10).
Shot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningA regular goal threat who works the keeper.
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningGets his shots off regularly.
Looks for his shot when the chance comes.
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningHis card history is doing the talking.
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningHis workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 11: gets away with it.
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk.
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDrawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
Wins the odd free-kick in dangerous areas.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningGets through a steady volume of tackles.
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Lille vs Estac Troyes: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Lille vs Estac Troyes?
We price 8 player markets for Lille vs Estac Troyes: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.