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Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Los Angeles FC
MLS
Today · 01:00 UTC
VS
Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles Galaxy
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Los Angeles FC
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Los Angeles Galaxy
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot99D. Bouanga
LOS · LW
LOS · LWMost likely fouled97H. Lozano
LOS · LW/CAM
LOS · LW/CAMMost likely foul94H. Lozano
LOS · LW/CAM
LOS · LW/CAMMost likely tackle94Y. Cheberko
LOS · LB
LOS · LBMost likely SoT83D. Bouanga
LOS · LW
LOS · LWMost likely booking82R. Raposo
LOS · RB
LOS · RBMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
LOS53.5%DRAW24.4%
LOS22.1%Most likely score1–111.5% · xG 1.84–1.10
Over 1.579.5%Over 2.555.7%Over 3.533.1%Under 2.544.3%BTTS56.6%
InputsClub strength rating 1395 vs 1358 (rating diff 37), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.84, λA 1.10 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDBD. BouangaLos Angeles FC · LW
83high
1+8376% hit2+best shout5044% hit
SoT/90 1.59·Shots/90 3.19
Last 531140
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
SHSon Heung-MinLos Angeles FC · ST
72medium
1+best shout7269% hit2+3535% hit
SoT/90 1.05·Shots/90 2.16
Last 511211
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
JKJoão KlaussLos Angeles Galaxy · ST
67medium
1+best shout6740% hit2+4040% hit
SoT/90 1.65·Shots/90 2.82
Last 500033
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDBD. BouangaLos Angeles FC · LW
99high
1+9996% hit2+best shout8372% hit
Shots/90 3.19·SoT/90 1.59
Last 551181
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
SHSon Heung-MinLos Angeles FC · ST
87high
1+8777% hit2+best shout6862% hit
Shots/90 2.16·SoT/90 1.05
Last 531242
Gets his shots off regularly.
SNSebastian NavaLos Angeles FC · ST
85high
1+best shout85no hit data2+53no hit data
Shots/90 1.53·SoT/90 0.62
Looks for his shot when the chance comes.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningRRR. RaposoLos Angeles FC · RB
82high
Cards/90 0.68·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
CGC. GarcésLos Angeles Galaxy · CB
68high
Cards/90 0.30·YC 5
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
HLH. LozanoLos Angeles Galaxy · LW/CAM
67high
Cards/90 0.31·YC 2
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningHLH. LozanoLos Angeles Galaxy · LW/CAM
94high
1+94100% hit2+best shout6688% hit
Fouls/90 3.53·YC 2
Last 523122
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 12: gets away with it.
JHJ. HaakLos Angeles Galaxy · CB
76medium
1+best shout7676% hit2+3944% hit
Fouls/90 1.17·YC 7
Last 510010
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
SVS. VasquezLos Angeles FC · CDM
73medium
1+best shout7350% hit2+360% hit
Fouls/90 1.32·YC 4
Last 51010
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningHLH. LozanoLos Angeles Galaxy · LW/CAM
97high
1+97100% hit2+best shout86100% hit
Drawn/90 4.12·Dribbles/90 1.79
Last 542352
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
TTT. TillmanLos Angeles FC · RW
97high
1+9794% hit2+best shout6763% hit
Drawn/90 2.31·Dribbles/90 1.18
Last 533110
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
JPJ. PaintsilLos Angeles Galaxy · RW
88high
1+8881% hit2+best shout6857% hit
Drawn/90 2.84·Dribbles/90 1.69
Last 512410
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningYCY. CheberkoLos Angeles FC · LB
94high
1+best shout9495% hit2+6553% hit
Tackles/90 2.83·Int/90 1.86
Last 531616
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
CGC. GarcésLos Angeles Galaxy · CB
92high
1+9281% hit2+best shout7069% hit
Tackles/90 3.24·Int/90 1.57
Last 530215
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
SPSergi PalenciaLos Angeles FC · RB
86high
1+best shout8682% hit2+5746% hit
Tackles/90 2.14·Int/90 0.78
Last 543121
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
We price 8 player markets for LAFC vs LA Galaxy: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.