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New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

New England Revolution
MLS
Wednesday · 23:30 UTC
VS
Boston Stadium

New York Red Bulls
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
New England Revolution
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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New York Red Bulls
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot99D. Turgeman
NEW · ST
NEW · STMost likely fouled99Carles Gil
NEW · CM/CAM
NEW · CM/CAMMost likely tackle94J. Bazán
NEW · CB
NEW · CBMost likely booking93O. Valencia
NEW · CB
NEW · CBMost likely foul89R. Donkor
NEW · CM
NEW · CMMost likely SoT75P. Miller
NEW · RW/LW
NEW · RW/LWMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
NEW55.5%DRAW25.4%
NEW19.1%Most likely score1–112.1% · xG 1.72–0.90
Over 1.574.1%Over 2.548.2%Over 3.526.2%Under 2.551.8%BTTS49.4%
InputsClub strength rating 1504 vs 1339 (rating diff 165), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.72, λA 0.90 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPMP. MillerNew England Revolution · RW/LW
75medium
1+best shout7567% hit2+3729% hit
SoT/90 1.50·Shots/90 2.95
Last 544120
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
DTD. TurgemanNew England Revolution · ST
68medium
1+best shout6863% hit2+3129% hit
SoT/90 0.97·Shots/90 2.43
Last 510212
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
CGCarles GilNew England Revolution · CM/CAM
60low
1+best shout6064% hit2+2532% hit
SoT/90 0.90·Shots/90 1.97
Last 500002
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDTD. TurgemanNew England Revolution · ST
99high
1+9996% hit2+best shout7771% hit
Shots/90 2.43·SoT/90 0.97
Last 532212
Gets his shots off regularly.
PMP. MillerNew England Revolution · RW/LW
98high
1+9892% hit2+best shout8075% hit
Shots/90 2.95·SoT/90 1.50
Last 565132
Gets his shots off regularly.
CGCarles GilNew England Revolution · CM/CAM
88high
1+best shout8888% hit2+5456% hit
Shots/90 1.97·SoT/90 0.90
Last 521102
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningOVO. ValenciaNew York Red Bulls · CB
93high
Cards/90 0.97·YC 5
Last 5✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MSM. SofoNew York Red Bulls · CM
84high
Cards/90 0.51·YC 6
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
WHW. HarrisNew England Revolution · ST
72high
Cards/90 0.70·YC 5
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningRDR. DonkorNew York Red Bulls · CM
89high
1+best shout8991% hit2+5055% hit
Fouls/90 1.82·YC 9
Last 514115
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MSM. SofoNew York Red Bulls · CM
86high
1+best shout8680% hit2+5045% hit
Fouls/90 3.43·YC 6
Last 534112
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
JBJ. BazánNew York Red Bulls · CB
78medium
1+best shout7877% hit2+3124% hit
Fouls/90 1.21·YC 5
Last 521311
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningCGCarles GilNew England Revolution · CM/CAM
99high
1+9996% hit2+best shout7060% hit
Drawn/90 2.44·Dribbles/90 1.10
Last 533221
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
WSW. SandsNew England Revolution · LB
86high
1+best shout8688% hit2+4954% hit
Drawn/90 1.65·Dribbles/90 0.41
Last 500112
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
DTD. TurgemanNew England Revolution · ST
83medium
1+best shout8371% hit2+4429% hit
Drawn/90 1.57·Dribbles/90 0.56
Last 510013
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningJBJ. BazánNew York Red Bulls · CB
94high
1+best shout9488% hit2+5747% hit
Tackles/90 2.03·Int/90 1.71
Last 520142
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
JCJ. CheNew York Red Bulls · CB
93high
1+best shout9388% hit2+5544% hit
Tackles/90 2.01·Int/90 1.38
Last 534011
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
MFM. FofanaNew England Revolution · CB
89high
1+best shout8991% hit2+5650% hit
Tackles/90 1.98·Int/90 1.49
Last 542130
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
We price 8 player markets for New England Revolution vs Red Bulls: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.