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New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

New England Revolution
MLS
Sat 19 Sept · 23:30 UTC
VS
Gillette Stadium

Orlando City SC
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
New England Revolution
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Orlando City SC
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle99W. Cartagena
ORL · CDM
ORL · CDMMost likely fouled98Carles Gil
NEW · CM/CAM
NEW · CM/CAMMost likely shot94D. Turgeman
NEW · ST
NEW · STMost likely foul73B. Raines
NEW · CM/CDM
NEW · CM/CDMMost likely booking72W. Harris
NEW · ST
NEW · STMost likely SoT70M. Ojeda
ORL · CAM/LW
ORL · CAM/LWMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
NEW45.4%DRAW25.0%
ORL29.6%Most likely score1–111.4% · xG 1.74–1.36
Over 1.582.0%Over 2.559.4%Over 3.536.8%Under 2.540.6%BTTS61.8%
InputsClub strength rating 1512 vs 1455 (rating diff 57), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.74, λA 1.36 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMOM. OjedaOrlando City SC · CAM/LW
70medium
1+best shout7092% hit2+3450% hit
SoT/90 1.53·Shots/90 2.99
Last 531121
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
PMP. MillerNew England Revolution · LW
65medium
1+best shout6563% hit2+2621% hit
SoT/90 1.23·Shots/90 2.78
Last 534011
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
CGCarles GilNew England Revolution · CM/CAM
62medium
1+best shout6274% hit2+2432% hit
SoT/90 0.96·Shots/90 2.05
Last 522310
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDTD. TurgemanNew England Revolution · ST
94high
1+9495% hit2+best shout7268% hit
Shots/90 2.51·SoT/90 0.97
Last 525511
Gets his shots off regularly.
PMP. MillerNew England Revolution · LW
90high
1+9090% hit2+best shout7274% hit
Shots/90 2.78·SoT/90 1.23
Last 544522
Gets his shots off regularly.
MOM. OjedaOrlando City SC · CAM/LW
87high
1+best shout87100% hit2+5958% hit
Shots/90 2.99·SoT/90 1.53
Last 561152
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningWHW. HarrisNew England Revolution · ST
72high
Cards/90 0.81·YC 5
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
EAE. AtuestaOrlando City SC · CM/CDM
70high
Cards/90 0.48·YC 7
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
BRB. RainesNew England Revolution · CM/CDM
70high
Cards/90 0.39·YC 10
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningBRB. RainesNew England Revolution · CM/CDM
73medium
1+best shout7377% hit2+3641% hit
Fouls/90 2.08·YC 10
Last 510110
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
IAIagoOrlando City SC · CB
71medium
1+best shout7164% hit2+3536% hit
Fouls/90 1.30·YC 8
Last 501202
His card history is doing the talking. Foul-to-card ratio 3.1, and refs book him for it.
EAE. AtuestaOrlando City SC · CM/CDM
71medium
1+best shout7171% hit2+2929% hit
Fouls/90 1.55·YC 7
Last 512102
His card history is doing the talking. Foul-to-card ratio 3.3, and refs book him for it.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningCGCarles GilNew England Revolution · CM/CAM
98high
1+9895% hit2+best shout6353% hit
Drawn/90 2.41·Dribbles/90 1.24
Last 551106
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
DTD. TurgemanNew England Revolution · ST
84medium
1+best shout8474% hit2+4632% hit
Drawn/90 1.76·Dribbles/90 0.57
Last 513100
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
TITiagoOrlando City SC · LW
82medium
1+best shout8292% hit2+4246% hit
Drawn/90 2.16·Dribbles/90 0.86
Last 511212
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningWCW. CartagenaOrlando City SC · CDM
99high
1+9992% hit2+best shout7142% hit
Tackles/90 3.50·Int/90 1.00
Last 512021
A tackling machine, he’s everywhere.
MFM. FofanaNew England Revolution · CB
93high
1+best shout9395% hit2+5853% hit
Tackles/90 1.99·Int/90 1.33
Last 516142
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
TBT. BeasonNew England Revolution · CB
79medium
1+best shout7920% hit2+500% hit
Tackles/90 2.30·Int/90 1.01
Last 500001
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
We price 8 player markets for New England Revolution vs Orlando: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.