Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Premier League prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.

Each tab does one job:

• Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
• Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
• Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
• H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
• Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
• Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.

We price 8 player markets for Newcastle vs Villa: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.

Team markets alongside them:

• match result
• over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
• both teams to score
• most likely scoreline
• total corners

Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.

• Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
• Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
• Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.