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OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: Europa League prediction, stats and bet builder tips

OFI
Europa League
Tomorrow · 16:45 UTC
VS
Pankritio Stadium

Leverkusen
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
OFI
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Bayer Leverkusen
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
OFI30.6%DRAW25.1%
BAY44.3%Most likely score1–111.5% · xG 1.39–1.71
Over 1.581.9%Over 2.559.4%Over 3.536.7%Under 2.540.6%BTTS61.9%
InputsClub strength rating 1500 vs 1678 (rating diff -178), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±150 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Europa League, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.39, λA 1.71 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPSP. SchickBayer Leverkusen · ST
77medium
1+7779% hit2+best shout5163% hit
SoT/90 1.57·Shots/90 3.20
Last 503122
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
AMAfonso MoreiraBayer Leverkusen · ST
58low
1+best shout5867% hit2+2333% hit
SoT/90 0.94·Shots/90 2.40
Last 510031
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
TNT. NussOFI · ST
55low
1+best shout5536% hit2+2518% hit
SoT/90 1.16·Shots/90 2.36
Last 500002
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPSP. SchickBayer Leverkusen · ST
91high
1+9190% hit2+best shout7879% hit
Shots/90 3.20·SoT/90 1.57
Last 524135
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
AMAfonso MoreiraBayer Leverkusen · ST
87high
1+8789% hit2+best shout6578% hit
Shots/90 2.40·SoT/90 0.94
Last 513032
Gets his shots off regularly.
NTN. TellaBayer Leverkusen · LW
85high
1+best shout85100% hit2+4955% hit
Shots/90 2.66·SoT/90 1.12
Last 541132
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningTNT. NussOFI · ST
75high
Cards/90 0.53·YC 12
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
FMF. MedinaBayer Leverkusen · CB
69high
Cards/90 0.35·YC 10
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
LVLucas VázquezBayer Leverkusen · CB
65high
Cards/90 0.24·YC 3
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningTNT. NussOFI · ST
90high
1+9082% hit2+best shout6155% hit
Fouls/90 2.58·YC 12
Last 502122
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
CSC. SielisOFI · CB
79medium
1+best shout790% hit2+430% hit
Fouls/90 1.51·YC 7
Last 51
His card history is doing the talking.
FMF. MedinaBayer Leverkusen · CB
79medium
1+best shout7978% hit2+3933% hit
Fouls/90 1.49·YC 10
Last 531101
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningTNT. NussOFI · ST
94high
1+94100% hit2+best shout7191% hit
Drawn/90 2.37·Dribbles/90 1.92
Last 522122
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
AMAfonso MoreiraBayer Leverkusen · ST
89high
1+8967% hit2+best shout6133% hit
Drawn/90 2.60·Dribbles/90 1.16
Last 510101
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
TAT. AndroutsosOFI · CM
88high
1+best shout8882% hit2+5846% hit
Drawn/90 2.57·Dribbles/90 0.84
Last 502111
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMCM. CulbreathBayer Leverkusen · CM
92high
1+best shout9290% hit2+6560% hit
Tackles/90 3.52·Int/90 0.88
Last 502213
A tackling machine, he’s everywhere.
LBL. BadéBayer Leverkusen · CB
86high
1+best shout8689% hit2+5144% hit
Tackles/90 2.09·Int/90 1.21
Last 511313
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
TOT. OermannBayer Leverkusen · CB
82medium
1+best shout820% hit2+500% hit
Tackles/90 2.05·Int/90 1.21
Last 50
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We price 8 player markets for OFI vs Leverkusen: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.