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Orlando City SC vs DC United: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Orlando City SC
MLS
Sat 17 Oct · 23:30 UTC
VS
Exploria Stadium

DC United
Match status:
We can't preview this one yet.
Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Orlando City SC
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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DC United
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot99M. Ojeda
ORL · ST
ORL · STMost likely tackle99S. Hefti
DC · CB
DC · CBMost likely fouled93B. Ojeda
ORL · CM
ORL · CMMost likely booking90W. Cartagena
ORL · CM
ORL · CMMost likely SoT86M. Ojeda
ORL · ST
ORL · STMost likely foul80S. Hefti
DC · CB
DC · CBMost likely G+A62A. Griezmann
ORL · ST
ORL · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
ORL57.7%DRAW23.1%
DC 19.2%Most likely score1–110.8% · xG 1.98–1.05
Over 1.580.8%Over 2.557.6%Over 3.534.8%Under 2.542.4%BTTS56.4%
InputsClub strength rating 1373 vs 1239 (rating diff 134), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.98, λA 1.05 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningAGA. GriezmannOrlando City SC · ST
62medium
Goals/90 0.48·Assists/90 0.28
Last 521121
Chips in with goals and assists, and red-hot lately (90% G+A in his last 10).
Shot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMOM. OjedaOrlando City SC · ST
86high
1+best shout8694% hit2+4550% hit
SoT/90 1.53·Shots/90 3.12
Last 512121
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
AGA. GriezmannOrlando City SC · ST
71medium
1+best shout7169% hit2+3538% hit
SoT/90 1.36·Shots/90 2.44
Last 532011
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
TBT. BariboDC United · ST
67medium
1+best shout6775% hit2+2825% hit
SoT/90 1.11·Shots/90 2.38
Last 520211
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMOM. OjedaOrlando City SC · ST
99high
1+99100% hit2+best shout7669% hit
Shots/90 3.12·SoT/90 1.53
Last 523452
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
AGA. GriezmannOrlando City SC · ST
94high
1+9494% hit2+best shout7488% hit
Shots/90 2.44·SoT/90 1.36
Last 532332
Gets his shots off regularly.
TBT. BariboDC United · ST
86high
1+8694% hit2+best shout6463% hit
Shots/90 2.38·SoT/90 1.11
Last 521631
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningWCW. CartagenaOrlando City SC · CM
90high
Cards/90 0.54·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
VNVinícius NogueiraOrlando City SC · CB
84high
Cards/90 0.35·YC 10
Last 5✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
EAE. AtuestaOrlando City SC · CM
80high
Cards/90 0.47·YC 8
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningSHS. HeftiDC United · CB
80medium
1+best shout8078% hit2+3428% hit
Fouls/90 1.32·YC 5
Last 501101
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
BOB. OjedaOrlando City SC · CM
78medium
1+best shout7883% hit2+4758% hit
Fouls/90 1.52·YC 1
Last 541303
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk. Foul-to-card ratio 31: gets away with it.
TBT. BariboDC United · ST
78medium
1+best shout7875% hit2+4144% hit
Fouls/90 1.42·YC 3
Last 502100
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningBOB. OjedaOrlando City SC · CM
93high
1+best shout9392% hit2+5442% hit
Drawn/90 2.16·Dribbles/90 0.87
Last 502121
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
TITiagoOrlando City SC · LW
85high
1+best shout8587% hit2+4240% hit
Drawn/90 2.18·Dribbles/90 0.85
Last 521210
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
MPM. PeltolaDC United · CM
71medium
1+best shout7174% hit2+3232% hit
Drawn/90 1.71·Dribbles/90 0.39
Last 512211
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningSHS. HeftiDC United · CB
99high
1+9989% hit2+best shout7667% hit
Tackles/90 2.96·Int/90 1.36
Last 511319
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
PEPeglowDC United · CM
96high
1+9694% hit2+best shout6872% hit
Tackles/90 2.48·Int/90 0.79
Last 515214
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
BSB. ServaniaDC United · CM
92high
1+9280% hit2+best shout7370% hit
Tackles/90 2.80·Int/90 0.88
Last 543002
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
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Orlando City SC vs DC United: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Orlando City SC vs DC United?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
We price 8 player markets for Orlando vs DC United: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.