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Osasuna vs Racing Santander: La Liga prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Osasuna
La Liga
Sun 18 Oct · 12:00 UTC
VS
Estadio El Sadar

Racing Santander
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Osasuna
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Racing Santander
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle98Jorge Salinas
RAC · CB
RAC · CBMost likely shot96A. Budimir
OSA · ST
OSA · STMost likely foul86U. Santos
OSA · CB
OSA · CBMost likely SoT79A. Budimir
OSA · ST
OSA · STMost likely fouled77Iñigo Vicente
RAC · CM
RAC · CMMost likely booking69R. Yeboah
OSA · CB
OSA · CBMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
OSA47.8%DRAW24.8%
RAC27.4%Most likely score1–111.5% · xG 1.78–1.29
Over 1.581.5%Over 2.558.7%Over 3.536.0%Under 2.541.3%BTTS60.7%
InputsClub strength rating 1486 vs 1500 (rating diff -14), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±150 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition La Liga, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.78, λA 1.29 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningABA. BudimirOsasuna · ST
79medium
1+best shout7983% hit2+4756% hit
SoT/90 1.38·Shots/90 3.14
Last 550012
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
AMAndrés MartínRacing Santander · ST
76medium
1+best shout7692% hit2+4458% hit
SoT/90 1.38·Shots/90 2.56
Last 511202
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
MZM. ZabiriRacing Santander · ST
61low
1+best shout6150% hit2+3450% hit
SoT/90 2.11·Shots/90 2.17
Last 503203
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningABA. BudimirOsasuna · ST
96high
1+9694% hit2+best shout7872% hit
Shots/90 3.14·SoT/90 1.38
Last 561022
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
AMAndrés MartínRacing Santander · ST
89high
1+89100% hit2+best shout7283% hit
Shots/90 2.56·SoT/90 1.38
Last 526312
Gets his shots off regularly.
SCSergio CanalesRacing Santander · CM
73medium
1+best shout7375% hit2+4450% hit
Shots/90 2.35·SoT/90 1.15
Last 531004
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningRYR. YeboahOsasuna · CB
69high
Cards/90 0.64·YC 4
Last 5✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
MZM. ZabiriRacing Santander · ST
67high
Cards/90 0.48·YC 7
Last 5✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
ÁMÁlvaro MantillaRacing Santander · CB
66high
Cards/90 0.42·YC 15
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningUSU. SantosOsasuna · CB
86high
1+best shout86100% hit2+5233% hit
Fouls/90 2.16·YC 1
Last 5311
His card history is doing the talking.
ÁMÁlvaro MantillaRacing Santander · CB
82medium
1+best shout8277% hit2+4954% hit
Fouls/90 1.54·YC 15
Last 520102
His card history is doing the talking. Foul-to-card ratio 3.5, and refs book him for it.
MZM. ZabiriRacing Santander · ST
82medium
1+best shout82100% hit2+3838% hit
Fouls/90 2.74·YC 7
Last 552121
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningIVIñigo VicenteRacing Santander · CM
77medium
1+best shout7775% hit2+4856% hit
Drawn/90 1.74·Dribbles/90 1.48
Last 543014
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
SCSergio CanalesRacing Santander · CM
77medium
1+best shout7788% hit2+3838% hit
Drawn/90 1.62·Dribbles/90 0.83
Last 522201
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
AMAndrés MartínRacing Santander · ST
73medium
1+best shout7350% hit2+4225% hit
Drawn/90 1.64·Dribbles/90 1.29
Last 503020
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningJSJorge SalinasRacing Santander · CB
98high
1+9887% hit2+best shout8887% hit
Tackles/90 3.34·Int/90 1.30
Last 544033
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
IMIván MartínRacing Santander · CM
87high
1+best shout8775% hit2+5850% hit
Tackles/90 2.33·Int/90 0.50
Last 526410
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
FBF. BoyomoOsasuna · CB
87high
1+best shout8783% hit2+5133% hit
Tackles/90 2.05·Int/90 0.68
Last 531231
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
We price 8 player markets for Osasuna vs Racing Santander: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.