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Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Portland Timbers
MLS
Sun 18 Oct · 02:30 UTC
VS
Providence Park

Colorado Rapids
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Portland Timbers
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Colorado Rapids
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely fouled99K. Velde
POR · W
POR · WMost likely shot98K. Velde
POR · W
POR · WMost likely foul90H. Ojediran
COL · CM
COL · CMMost likely tackle89J. Fory
POR · FB
POR · FBMost likely booking82J. Atencio
COL · CM
COL · CMMost likely SoT66K. Velde
POR · W
POR · WMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
POR47.6%DRAW25.9%
COL26.5%Most likely score1–112.3% · xG 1.65–1.17
Over 1.577.8%Over 2.553.3%Over 3.530.8%Under 2.546.8%BTTS56.4%
InputsClub strength rating 1220 vs 1321 (rating diff -101), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.65, λA 1.17 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKVK. VeldePortland Timbers · W
66medium
1+best shout6665% hit2+2827% hit
SoT/90 1.01·Shots/90 3.28
Last 502002
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
PAP. AaronsonColorado Rapids · W
57low
1+best shout5759% hit2+2323% hit
SoT/90 0.95·Shots/90 2.11
Last 520130
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
DPD. PhillipColorado Rapids · W
56low
1+best shout5644% hit2+2733% hit
SoT/90 1.74·Shots/90 2.83
Last 501320
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKVK. VeldePortland Timbers · W
98high
1+9896% hit2+best shout8377% hit
Shots/90 3.28·SoT/90 1.01
Last 539516
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
CBC. BassettPortland Timbers · CM
82medium
1+best shout8292% hit2+4554% hit
Shots/90 1.76·SoT/90 0.52
Last 514421
Looks for his shot when the chance comes.
PAP. AaronsonColorado Rapids · W
80medium
1+best shout8082% hit2+5555% hit
Shots/90 2.11·SoT/90 0.95
Last 521130
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningJAJ. AtencioColorado Rapids · CM
82high
Cards/90 0.62·YC 11
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
HOH. OjediranColorado Rapids · CM
79high
Cards/90 0.42·YC 8
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
ISI. SadiqColorado Rapids · ST/LW
72high
Cards/90 0.50·YC 8
Last 5✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningHOH. OjediranColorado Rapids · CM
90high
1+9079% hit2+best shout6253% hit
Fouls/90 2.54·YC 8
Last 524310
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MNM. NavarroColorado Rapids · FB
86high
1+best shout8690% hit2+4753% hit
Fouls/90 1.33·YC 17
Last 512122
His card history is doing the talking. Foul-to-card ratio 3.4, and refs book him for it.
JAJ. AtencioColorado Rapids · CM
84medium
1+best shout8472% hit2+5039% hit
Fouls/90 2.34·YC 11
Last 500420
His card history is doing the talking. Foul-to-card ratio 3.8, and refs book him for it.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningKVK. VeldePortland Timbers · W
99high
1+9992% hit2+best shout8977% hit
Drawn/90 2.96·Dribbles/90 1.75
Last 530261
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
ANAntonyPortland Timbers · W
81medium
1+best shout8172% hit2+4332% hit
Drawn/90 1.89·Dribbles/90 1.55
Last 501000
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
VJV. JanssenPortland Timbers · ST
79medium
1+best shout7964% hit2+3918% hit
Drawn/90 1.45·Dribbles/90 0.65
Last 500120
Wins the odd free-kick in dangerous areas.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningJFJ. ForyPortland Timbers · FB
89high
1+best shout8984% hit2+6664% hit
Tackles/90 2.15·Int/90 2.31
Last 522200
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
DCD. CharáPortland Timbers · DM
86high
1+best shout8675% hit2+5840% hit
Tackles/90 2.88·Int/90 1.25
Last 511200
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
HOH. OjediranColorado Rapids · CM
82medium
1+best shout8268% hit2+4326% hit
Tackles/90 2.07·Int/90 1.43
Last 551010
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?
We price 8 player markets for Timbers vs Colorado: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.