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San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

San Diego
MLS
Yesterday · 02:30 UTC
VS
Snapdragon Stadium

Seattle Sounders
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
San Diego
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Seattle Sounders
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle93C. Roldan
SEA · CDM
SEA · CDMMost likely shot92A. Dreyer
SAN · RW
SAN · RWMost likely fouled83A. Godoy
SAN · CM
SAN · CMMost likely SoT75D. Joveljić
SEA · ST
SEA · STMost likely booking75P. Kingston
SEA · CDM/RW
SEA · CDM/RWMost likely foul75D. Vazquez
SAN · LW
SAN · LWMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
SAN41.5%DRAW26.4%
SEA32.0%Most likely score1–112.4% · xG 1.54–1.32
Over 1.578.3%Over 2.554.0%Over 3.531.5%Under 2.546.0%BTTS58.1%
InputsClub strength rating 1227 vs 1407 (rating diff -180), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.54, λA 1.32 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDJD. JoveljićSeattle Sounders · ST
75medium
1+best shout7581% hit2+3938% hit
SoT/90 1.30·Shots/90 2.32
Last 512241
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
ADA. DreyerSan Diego · RW
74medium
1+best shout7473% hit2+4139% hit
SoT/90 1.35·Shots/90 2.85
Last 521121
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
APA. PellegrinoSan Diego · ST
59low
1+best shout5938% hit2+2913% hit
SoT/90 1.54·Shots/90 2.55
Last 522000
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningADA. DreyerSan Diego · RW
92high
1+9292% hit2+best shout7469% hit
Shots/90 2.85·SoT/90 1.35
Last 552323
Gets his shots off regularly.
DJD. JoveljićSeattle Sounders · ST
87high
1+8791% hit2+best shout6767% hit
Shots/90 2.32·SoT/90 1.30
Last 544263
Gets his shots off regularly.
MIM. IngvartsenSan Diego · ST
86high
1+8683% hit2+best shout6254% hit
Shots/90 2.95·SoT/90 0.99
Last 514411
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningPKP. KingstonSeattle Sounders · CDM/RW
75high
Cards/90 0.60·YC 8
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
HDH. DotsonSeattle Sounders · CDM
71high
Cards/90 0.57·YC 8
Last 5✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
EBE. BoatengSan Diego · CM
69high
Cards/90 0.91·YC 3
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDVD. VazquezSan Diego · LW
75medium
1+best shout7582% hit2+3541% hit
Fouls/90 2.01·YC 5
Last 512111
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
OSO. SøeSan Diego · CB
72medium
1+best shout7280% hit2+3660% hit
Fouls/90 1.66·YC 1
Last 521402
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 10: gets away with it.
CRC. RoldanSeattle Sounders · CDM
69low
1+best shout6963% hit2+3026% hit
Fouls/90 1.03·YC 3
Last 521201
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningAGA. GodoySan Diego · CM
83medium
1+best shout8381% hit2+4442% hit
Drawn/90 2.27·Dribbles/90 0.37
Last 551302
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
OVO. ValakariSan Diego · ST/CM
80medium
1+best shout8065% hit2+5039% hit
Drawn/90 2.03·Dribbles/90 0.42
Last 511000
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
GPGabriel PiraniSan Diego · CM
76medium
1+best shout7667% hit2+3417% hit
Drawn/90 1.94·Dribbles/90 0.80
Last 511300
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningCRC. RoldanSeattle Sounders · CDM
93high
1+best shout9384% hit2+5942% hit
Tackles/90 2.10·Int/90 0.97
Last 522110
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
KKK. Kossa-RienziSeattle Sounders · RB
84medium
1+best shout8476% hit2+5145% hit
Tackles/90 2.25·Int/90 1.26
Last 500021
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
NTN. ToloSeattle Sounders · LB
83medium
1+best shout8375% hit2+5043% hit
Tackles/90 1.55·Int/90 1.55
Last 502102
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?
We price 8 player markets for San Diego vs Sounders: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.