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Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Seattle Sounders
MLS
Sun 18 Oct · 02:30 UTC
VS
Lumen Field

CF Montreal
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Seattle Sounders
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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CF Montreal
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot99D. Joveljić
SEA · ST
SEA · STMost likely tackle91J. Neal
CF · CB
CF · CBMost likely foul88P. Owusu
CF · ST
CF · STMost likely booking87V. Radojević
CF · CB
CF · CBMost likely SoT85D. Joveljić
SEA · ST
SEA · STMost likely fouled75P. Owusu
CF · ST
CF · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
SEA64.0%DRAW21.3%
CF 14.7%Most likely score2–011.2% · xG 2.12–0.90
Over 1.580.5%Over 2.557.2%Over 3.534.3%Under 2.542.8%BTTS52.7%
InputsClub strength rating 1427 vs 1134 (rating diff 293), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 2.12, λA 0.90 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDJD. JoveljićSeattle Sounders · ST
85high
1+best shout8580% hit2+4440% hit
SoT/90 1.21·Shots/90 2.15
Last 511224
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
POP. OwusuCF Montreal · ST
75medium
1+best shout7589% hit2+3944% hit
SoT/90 1.35·Shots/90 2.57
Last 521130
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
ARA. RusnákSeattle Sounders · AM
60low
1+best shout6058% hit2+1815% hit
SoT/90 0.80·Shots/90 2.20
Last 511101
Gets into shooting positions.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDJD. JoveljićSeattle Sounders · ST
99high
1+9990% hit2+best shout7465% hit
Shots/90 2.15·SoT/90 1.21
Last 534426
Gets his shots off regularly.
ARA. RusnákSeattle Sounders · AM
96high
1+9689% hit2+best shout6254% hit
Shots/90 2.20·SoT/90 0.80
Last 512313
Gets his shots off regularly.
RJR. JaureguiSeattle Sounders · ST
92high
1+920% hit2+best shout630% hit
Shots/90 1.85·SoT/90 0.53
Last 50
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningVRV. RadojevićCF Montreal · CB
87high
Cards/90 0.50·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
PKP. KingstonSeattle Sounders · DM
81high
Cards/90 0.60·YC 8
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
OEO. EscobarCF Montreal · CM
76high
Cards/90 0.64·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPOP. OwusuCF Montreal · ST
88high
1+best shout8878% hit2+5444% hit
Fouls/90 2.10·YC 7
Last 501013
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
JNJ. NealCF Montreal · CB
78medium
1+best shout7873% hit2+4040% hit
Fouls/90 1.33·YC 2
Last 512130
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 10.5: gets away with it.
VRV. RadojevićCF Montreal · CB
77medium
1+best shout7767% hit2+3833% hit
Fouls/90 2.18·YC 4
Last 510212
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPOP. OwusuCF Montreal · ST
75medium
1+best shout7578% hit2+3733% hit
Drawn/90 1.29·Dribbles/90 0.66
Last 511021
Wins the odd free-kick in dangerous areas.
DJD. JoveljićSeattle Sounders · ST
75medium
1+best shout7565% hit2+3630% hit
Drawn/90 1.13·Dribbles/90 0.38
Last 520202
Wins the odd free-kick in dangerous areas.
ASA. SánchezCF Montreal · ST
72medium
1+best shout7270% hit2+4460% hit
Drawn/90 1.97·Dribbles/90 0.64
Last 532023
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningJNJ. NealCF Montreal · CB
91high
1+best shout9187% hit2+5653% hit
Tackles/90 1.77·Int/90 1.27
Last 522432
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
CRC. RoldanSeattle Sounders · DM
88high
1+best shout8889% hit2+5844% hit
Tackles/90 2.23·Int/90 0.93
Last 532211
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
YGY. GómezSeattle Sounders · CB
81medium
1+best shout8133% hit2+540% hit
Tackles/90 2.25·Int/90 1.86
Last 5010
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
We price 8 player markets for Sounders vs Montreal: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.