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Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: Europa League prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Union St. Gilloise
Europa League
Tomorrow · 16:45 UTC
VS
Merkur Spielarena

Hapoel Beer Sheva
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Union St. Gilloise
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot99M. Biondic
UNI · ST
UNI · STMost likely tackle99Y. Stoyanov
HAP · CM
HAP · CMMost likely fouled93D. Olaru
UNI · CM
UNI · CMMost likely booking92Lucas Ventura
HAP · CM
HAP · CMMost likely foul83Y. Stoyanov
HAP · CM
HAP · CMMost likely SoT80M. Biondic
UNI · ST
UNI · STMost likely G+A62M. Biondic
UNI · ST
UNI · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
UNI58.6%DRAW22.9%
HAP18.5%Most likely score1–110.8% · xG 1.99–1.02
Over 1.580.6%Over 2.557.3%Over 3.534.5%Under 2.542.7%BTTS55.8%
InputsClub strength rating 1592 vs 1500 (rating diff 92), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±150 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Europa League, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.99, λA 1.02 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningMBM. BiondicUnion St. Gilloise · ST
62medium
Goals/90 0.48·Assists/90 0.39
Last 521100
Chips in with goals and assists, in decent form (50% G+A in his last 10).
Shot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMBM. BiondicUnion St. Gilloise · ST
80high
1+best shout8055% hit2+4927% hit
SoT/90 1.46·Shots/90 2.32
Last 511220
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
KRK. RodríguezUnion St. Gilloise · ST
75medium
1+best shout7580% hit2+3860% hit
SoT/90 1.49·Shots/90 2.77
Last 522013
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
RMR. MofokengUnion St. Gilloise · ST
73medium
1+best shout7360% hit2+3630% hit
SoT/90 1.28·Shots/90 2.37
Last 533102
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMBM. BiondicUnion St. Gilloise · ST
99high
1+99100% hit2+best shout7864% hit
Shots/90 2.32·SoT/90 1.46
Last 534331
Gets his shots off regularly.
KRK. RodríguezUnion St. Gilloise · ST
96high
1+96100% hit2+best shout7080% hit
Shots/90 2.77·SoT/90 1.49
Last 525124
Gets his shots off regularly.
RMR. MofokengUnion St. Gilloise · ST
91high
1+9170% hit2+best shout6440% hit
Shots/90 2.37·SoT/90 1.28
Last 533413
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningLVLucas VenturaHapoel Beer Sheva · CM
92high
Cards/90 0.94·YC 12
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
KAK. Mac AllisterUnion St. Gilloise · CB
75high
Cards/90 0.36·YC 17
Last 5✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MVM. VítorHapoel Beer Sheva · CB
71high
Cards/90 2.00·YC 7
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningYSY. StoyanovHapoel Beer Sheva · CM
83medium
1+best shout830% hit2+500% hit
Fouls/90 1.49·YC 0
Last 511
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MBM. BiondicUnion St. Gilloise · ST
82medium
1+best shout8282% hit2+5146% hit
Fouls/90 1.85·YC 1
Last 501212
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 28: gets away with it.
MRM. Abu RumiHapoel Beer Sheva · ST
81medium
1+best shout8156% hit2+5244% hit
Fouls/90 1.67·YC 5
Last 500033
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDOD. OlaruUnion St. Gilloise · CM
93high
1+9357% hit2+best shout630% hit
Drawn/90 3.46·Dribbles/90 0.54
Last 501011
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
KRK. RodríguezUnion St. Gilloise · ST
83medium
1+best shout8380% hit2+4540% hit
Drawn/90 2.04·Dribbles/90 1.21
Last 513401
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
BZB. ZeneliUnion St. Gilloise · CM
80medium
1+best shout8069% hit2+4131% hit
Drawn/90 1.88·Dribbles/90 1.30
Last 503201
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningYSY. StoyanovHapoel Beer Sheva · CM
99high
1+990% hit2+best shout930% hit
Tackles/90 3.72·Int/90 0.00
Last 513
A tackling machine, he’s everywhere.
KAK. Mac AllisterUnion St. Gilloise · CB
96high
1+96100% hit2+best shout8589% hit
Tackles/90 3.51·Int/90 1.62
Last 543264
A tackling machine, he’s everywhere.
OKO. KričfalušiUnion St. Gilloise · CM
92high
1+9286% hit2+best shout7886% hit
Tackles/90 3.08·Int/90 1.27
Last 573334
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We price 8 player markets for Union SG vs Hapoel: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.