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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Bundesliga prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Stuttgart
Bundesliga
Friday · 18:30 UTC
VS
MHPArena

M'gladbach
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
VfB Stuttgart
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Borussia Mönchengladbach
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot99D. Undav
VFB · CM
VFB · CMMost likely tackle99P. Sander
BOR · CM
BOR · CMMost likely foul82P. Sander
BOR · CM
BOR · CMMost likely fouled77Tiago Tomás
VFB · ST
VFB · STMost likely SoT73E. Demirović
VFB · ST
VFB · STMost likely booking62J. Leszczyński
BOR · CB
BOR · CBMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
VFB64.2%DRAW20.3%
BOR15.4%Most likely score2–110.1% · xG 2.29–1.02
Over 1.584.3%Over 2.563.1%Over 3.540.4%Under 2.536.9%BTTS57.8%
InputsClub strength rating 1719 vs 1535 (rating diff 184), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Bundesliga, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 2.29, λA 1.02 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningEDE. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart · ST
73medium
1+best shout7368% hit2+2821% hit
SoT/90 1.32·Shots/90 2.86
Last 521311
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
TLT. van der LeijVfB Stuttgart · ST
71medium
1+best shout71no hit data2+31no hit data
SoT/90 2.21·Shots/90 3.55
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
DUD. UndavVfB Stuttgart · CM
67medium
1+best shout6756% hit2+3228% hit
SoT/90 1.62·Shots/90 4.16
Last 501131
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningDUD. UndavVfB Stuttgart · CM
99high
1+9989% hit2+best shout7761% hit
Shots/90 4.16·SoT/90 1.62
Last 501347
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
DPD. PejčinovićVfB Stuttgart · ST
96high
1+9689% hit2+best shout6150% hit
Shots/90 3.08·SoT/90 1.18
Last 511103
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
EDE. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart · ST
93high
1+9379% hit2+best shout6347% hit
Shots/90 2.86·SoT/90 1.32
Last 541514
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningJLJ. LeszczyńskiBorussia Mönchengladbach · CB
62medium
Cards/90 0.49·YC 2
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
MNM. NguefackBorussia Mönchengladbach · CM
60medium
Cards/90 0.71·YC 1
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
LAL. AssignonVfB Stuttgart · CB
58medium
Cards/90 0.27·YC 7
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPSP. SanderBorussia Mönchengladbach · CM
82medium
1+best shout8282% hit2+3735% hit
Fouls/90 1.23·YC 5
Last 525211
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
JCJ. CastropBorussia Mönchengladbach · CM
73medium
1+best shout7357% hit2+3529% hit
Fouls/90 1.73·YC 2
Last 502002
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 15.5: gets away with it.
JCJ. ChabotVfB Stuttgart · CB
70medium
1+best shout7067% hit2+4144% hit
Fouls/90 1.43·YC 10
Last 502102
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningTTTiago TomásVfB Stuttgart · ST
77medium
1+best shout7758% hit2+4542% hit
Drawn/90 2.61·Dribbles/90 1.37
Last 510022
Fouls follow him around: defenders can’t live with him.
JLJ. LewelingVfB Stuttgart · ST
77medium
1+best shout7765% hit2+4235% hit
Drawn/90 1.65·Dribbles/90 1.51
Last 501102
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
ILI. LidbergBorussia Mönchengladbach · ST
68low
1+best shout6843% hit2+3729% hit
Drawn/90 1.38·Dribbles/90 0.39
Last 500202
Wins the odd free-kick in dangerous areas.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPSP. SanderBorussia Mönchengladbach · CM
99high
1+best shout9994% hit2+6753% hit
Tackles/90 2.38·Int/90 1.72
Last 531403
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
JCJ. CastropBorussia Mönchengladbach · CM
97high
1+9786% hit2+best shout7371% hit
Tackles/90 3.24·Int/90 1.03
Last 502223
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
DHD. HeroldBorussia Mönchengladbach · CB
94high
1+best shout94100% hit2+6050% hit
Tackles/90 2.03·Int/90 0.79
Last 51312
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We price 8 player markets for Stuttgart vs Gladbach: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.