8 Essential Premier League Stats

SHARE

 8 Essential Premier League Stats

The English Premier League (EPL) is fast-paced, frantic and seemingly unpredictable; in fact, it's the potential for shock results and explosive local derbies that contributes to its giant global fan base. However, all this can make it difficult to know where to start with betting, especially when faced with so many markets and exciting in-play opportunities. Fortunately, hidden beneath the chaotic exterior of the EPL are a number of reliable trends that could make your weekend watch a profitable one. Here are the essential statistics and trends to consider when betting the Premier League:

1. The Most Common Scoreline

The EPL might be known as one of the most exciting leagues in the world, but that doesn’t mean that every game is a feast of goals. The most common scoreline in the Premier League is actually 1-0, which typically makes up around 20% of all match results each season. The second most common scoreline is 2-1 on average. The most common score for a draw is 1-1, not the suspected nil-nil. Bear these figures in mind when betting on the correct score market or over/under market, particularly when two closely matched teams go head to head.

2. The Most Common Half Time Score

An even more reliable result tends to be the 0-0 draw after 45 minutes. On average over the past few seasons, around 30% of matches were goalless when the half time whistle blew. This stat isn’t just useful for the half time scoreline market, but also for the half time/full time market. It can be particularly lucrative for punters who identify a team specialising in late goals; be sure to keep an eye on the club who scored the latest overall the previous season. Some years teams average as late as 55 minutes before their first goal.

3. The Home Advantage

Some say that the home advantage is becoming less relevant in the Premier League, but the statistics beg to differ. Home wins on average can account for around 45% of results during a season, while draws average around 20% and away wins just over 30%. Next time you’re weighing up a tight contest, remember to factor in morale boosting home support, often referred to as ‘the 12th man’.

4. Card Per Game Averages

When it comes to cards per game, the stats aren’t nearly as volatile as the players. Taking high intensity derby games out of the equation, there tends to be a relatively consistent figure for the number of cards a given team will pick up. In past seasons, there has been an average of a little over 0.15 red cards per game and around 3.5 yellow cards, with fluctuations being minor.

5. Goals Per Game Averages

Goals per game average in the EPL has remained remarkably consistent despite the evolution of football tactics over the past 2+ decades. In recent years, the lowest average was 2.45 goals per game in 2006/7, one of the lowest all time. The highest averages in the past few decades have come recently as the league has broken 3.0 gpg. As we’ve seen, this doesn’t necessarily mean that most games will see a hatful of goals, but rather that high-scoring fixtures happen a little more frequently. This could have something to do with the widening gulf between the top and bottom of the league, with top teams sometimes recording wins of 4, 5, 6 and 7-0 over struggling clubs.

6. New Year's Omens

A saying that gets rolled out every year is that the team sitting at the top of the league on New Year's Day will generally have the staying power to go on and win the title. Historically speaking, there's some truth to the claim, as the New Year's front runner has gone on to win the Premier League almost 50% of the time. Equally, some teams have built a reputation for running out of steam in the second half of the season. One of the worst collapses in EPL history after leading the table for the New Year came in 1996. Newcastle held a 12 point lead heading into January 1996 yet relinquished their lead to Man United by season's end.

7. League Top Scorers

At the start of every season football fans ponder who will be the Premier League's top goalscorer, and with high odds often available, and relatively few genuine candidates to pick from, it can be surprisingly easy to exploit this market. The top scorer has come from a top four team in almost every season so be sure to consider the season's favourites and their leading men when betting on the league top scorer.

8. Time Of Goal Trends

The ‘time of next goal’ and ‘goal to be scored in the next 10 minutes’ markets are among the most exciting to bet on in-play. This is partly because these outcomes are best predicted on the spur of the moment, when the build-up looks promising, or a team is under pressure. That said, teams do display trends that can be analysed in advance. For example, a poor team can score six and conceded 19 in the last ten minutes, while a top club might score 12 and conceded one in the first ten. Having these figures at hand can be invaluable when making in-play choices.

To test your knowledge of the stats on the latest football betting markets, be sure to visit one of our top football betting sites, including visiting one of the internet's top bookmakers, Bet365, who is offering an exclusive sign-up bonus for anyone signing up for a new account today!

Recommended Betting Sites

Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be +18 to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2017 Betting Tips and Odds
BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2017 Betting Tips and Odds

One of sport’s most prestigious awards will be handed out this Sunday at the 63rd annual BBC Sports Personality of the Year gala. Ahead of the awards ceremony in Liverpool, it’s time to take a look at ... Read More

Bookies Expecting More Misery for England in Perth
Bookies Expecting More Misery for England in Perth

After a week off for the players, the Ashes resumes this week with England facing the almost impossible task of coming back from 2-0 down in the series. Defeats in Brisbane and Adelaide mean that the ... Read More

Wager the PDC World Championship 2018 with Expert Tips
Wager the PDC World Championship 2018 with Expert Tips

Darts fans have an early Christmas present with the PDC World Championships at London’s Alexandra Palace delivering plenty of punting scope. With this year's contest featuring 72 players fighting it o ... Read More

Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements
Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements

The World Cup draws ever closer and the groups have now been announced. If you're planning on taking a punt on some of the games, finding value bets is – quite literally – your best bet, so here's som ... Read More

As Brexit Talks Slow Down, Brexit Betting has Picked Up
As Brexit Talks Slow Down, Brexit Betting has Picked Up

It's still hard to believe that the gamble taken on voting for Brexit happened on June 23, 2016. With crucial Brexit meetings set to happen before the end of the year, now's the time to consider placi ... Read More

Bookmakers Shift Trump’s Odds in Favor of Finishing Term
Bookmakers Shift Trump’s Odds in Favor of Finishing Term

Many bookmakers offered generous prices on Trump finishing his first year's term but his first year in the White House has seen his odds fall. The movement has raised the question of whether the Presi ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2017 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

facebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter