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Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: Champions League prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Bodo/Glimt
Champions League
Wed 14 Oct · 19:00 UTC
VS
Aspmyra Stadion

Dortmund
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Bodo/Glimt
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Borussia Dortmund
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle95P. Berg
BOD · CM
BOD · CMMost likely shot93S. Guirassy
BOR · ST
BOR · STMost likely fouled82S. Guirassy
BOR · ST
BOR · STMost likely booking79R. Bensebaïni
BOR · CB
BOR · CBMost likely SoT75S. Guirassy
BOR · ST
BOR · STMost likely foul74R. Bensebaïni
BOR · CB
BOR · CBMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
BOD25.1%DRAW20.9%
BOR54.0%Most likely score1–28.8% · xG 1.61–2.42
Over 1.591.1%Over 2.575.5%Over 3.555.3%Under 2.524.4%BTTS72.9%
InputsClub strength rating 1346 vs 1773 (rating diff -427), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Champions League, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.61, λA 2.42 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningSGS. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · ST
75medium
1+best shout7565% hit2+4541% hit
SoT/90 1.57·Shots/90 3.08
Last 523300
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
SIS. InacioBorussia Dortmund · ST
55low
1+best shout5556% hit2+1922% hit
SoT/90 1.17·Shots/90 2.10
Last 521002
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
AHA. HelmersenBodo/Glimt · ST
51low
1+best shout5177% hit2+2146% hit
SoT/90 1.88·Shots/90 2.15
Last 500231
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningSGS. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · ST
93high
1+9382% hit2+best shout7971% hit
Shots/90 3.08·SoT/90 1.57
Last 556332
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
FSFábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund · ST
78medium
1+best shout7882% hit2+3329% hit
Shots/90 2.89·SoT/90 1.02
Last 513211
Gets his shots off regularly.
MBM. BeierBorussia Dortmund · CM
73medium
1+best shout7372% hit2+4761% hit
Shots/90 2.30·SoT/90 0.82
Last 522033
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningRBR. BensebaïniBorussia Dortmund · CB
79high
Cards/90 0.33·YC 10
Last 5✕✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
LRL. ReggianiBorussia Dortmund · CB
68high
Cards/90 0.58·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
SIS. InacioBorussia Dortmund · ST
67high
Cards/90 0.47·YC 2
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningRBR. BensebaïniBorussia Dortmund · CB
74medium
1+best shout7456% hit2+3811% hit
Fouls/90 1.76·YC 10
Last 503100
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
WAW. AntonBorussia Dortmund · CB
64low
1+best shout6461% hit2+3233% hit
Fouls/90 1.01·YC 7
Last 502032
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
SIS. InacioBorussia Dortmund · ST
64low
1+best shout6467% hit2+2522% hit
Fouls/90 1.87·YC 2
Last 500111
His card history is doing the talking. Foul-to-card ratio 4, and refs book him for it.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningSGS. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · ST
82medium
1+best shout8277% hit2+4441% hit
Drawn/90 1.60·Dribbles/90 0.44
Last 513111
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
SIS. InacioBorussia Dortmund · ST
81medium
1+best shout8178% hit2+4133% hit
Drawn/90 2.33·Dribbles/90 1.17
Last 511102
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPBP. BergBodo/Glimt · CM
95high
1+best shout9585% hit2+6546% hit
Tackles/90 2.46·Int/90 0.92
Last 531073
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
HEH. EvjenBodo/Glimt · CM
90high
1+best shout900% hit2+640% hit
Tackles/90 2.37·Int/90 0.82
Last 511
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
FBF. BjørkanBodo/Glimt · CB
90high
1+best shout9077% hit2+6254% hit
Tackles/90 2.20·Int/90 0.79
Last 541012
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
We price 8 player markets for Bodo/Glimt vs Dortmund: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.