Loading match dossier…
Pick a fixture from the dashboard.
Liverpool vs Tottenham: Carabao Cup prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Liverpool
Carabao Cup
Tue 15 Sept · 19:00 UTC
VS
Anfield

Tottenham
Match status:
We can't preview this one yet.
Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
Loading top players…
Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Liverpool
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
| Loading top players… |
Offensive
| Loading top players… |
Shooting
| Loading top players… |
Goals & assists
| Loading top players… |
Tottenham
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
| Loading top players… |
Offensive
| Loading top players… |
Shooting
| Loading top players… |
Goals & assists
| Loading top players… |
Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
Loading streaks…
Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
Loading head-to-head record…
Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle99Mateus Fernandes
TOT · CM/CAM
TOT · CM/CAMMost likely shot91C. Gakpo
LIV · LW/ST
LIV · LW/STMost likely fouled90Víctor Muñoz
LIV · RW/LW
LIV · RW/LWMost likely foul84Mateus Fernandes
TOT · CM/CAM
TOT · CM/CAMMost likely booking66D. Udogie
TOT · LB
TOT · LBMost likely SoT65A. Isak
LIV · ST
LIV · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
LIV61.3%DRAW20.7%
TOT18.0%Most likely score2–19.9% · xG 2.31–1.17
Over 1.586.3%Over 2.566.5%Over 3.544.2%Under 2.533.5%BTTS62.4%
InputsClub strength rating 1729 vs 1509 (rating diff 220), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Carabao Cup, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 2.31, λA 1.17 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningAIA. IsakLiverpool · ST
65medium
1+best shout6564% hit2+2318% hit
SoT/90 1.29·Shots/90 2.56
Last 521201
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
VMVíctor MuñozLiverpool · RW/LW
64medium
1+best shout6460% hit2+210% hit
SoT/90 1.05·Shots/90 2.03
Last 501011
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
BBB. BarcolaLiverpool · RW/LW
61low
1+best shout6143% hit2+2414% hit
SoT/90 1.32·Shots/90 2.83
Last 520020
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningCGC. GakpoLiverpool · LW/ST
91high
1+9171% hit2+best shout6543% hit
Shots/90 2.71·SoT/90 0.79
Last 526011
Gets his shots off regularly.
BBB. BarcolaLiverpool · RW/LW
89high
1+best shout8971% hit2+5836% hit
Shots/90 2.83·SoT/90 1.32
Last 521031
Gets his shots off regularly.
VMVíctor MuñozLiverpool · RW/LW
88high
1+best shout8880% hit2+5440% hit
Shots/90 2.03·SoT/90 1.05
Last 524011
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningDUD. UdogieTottenham · LB
66high
Cards/90 0.31·YC 6
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
JGJ. GomezLiverpool · RB/CB
64medium
Cards/90 0.40·YC 6
Last 5✕✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
JJJ. JacquetLiverpool · CB
63medium
Cards/90 0.27·YC 6
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMFMateus FernandesTottenham · CM/CAM
84medium
1+best shout8480% hit2+4740% hit
Fouls/90 1.60·YC 9
Last 510313
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
LBL. BergvallTottenham · CDM
76medium
1+best shout7660% hit2+3410% hit
Fouls/90 2.15·YC 3
Last 500011
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 12.7: gets away with it.
DSD. SzoboszlaiLiverpool · CDM/CAM
73medium
1+best shout7380% hit2+3640% hit
Fouls/90 1.00·YC 10
Last 521114
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningVMVíctor MuñozLiverpool · RW/LW
90high
1+best shout90100% hit2+5240% hit
Drawn/90 1.88·Dribbles/90 2.44
Last 513112
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
CGC. GakpoLiverpool · LW/ST
75medium
1+best shout7557% hit2+3414% hit
Drawn/90 1.48·Dribbles/90 1.16
Last 513020
Wins the odd free-kick in dangerous areas.
OMOmar MarmoushTottenham · ST/CAM/LW
70medium
1+best shout7070% hit2+3220% hit
Drawn/90 2.15·Dribbles/90 1.46
Last 521111
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMFMateus FernandesTottenham · CM/CAM
99high
1+9980% hit2+best shout8040% hit
Tackles/90 3.01·Int/90 0.92
Last 511302
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
PPPedro PorroTottenham · RB
93high
1+best shout9377% hit2+6546% hit
Tackles/90 2.12·Int/90 1.05
Last 515011
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
AAA. Mac AllisterLiverpool · CDM
82medium
1+best shout8280% hit2+5760% hit
Tackles/90 2.01·Int/90 0.69
Last 523321
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
Loading value picks…
Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Liverpool vs Tottenham: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Liverpool vs Tottenham?
We price 8 player markets for Liverpool vs Tottenham: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.