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Tottenham vs Coventry: Premier League prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Tottenham
Premier League
Mon 19 Oct · 19:00 UTC
VS
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Coventry
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Tottenham
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Coventry
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely tackle93Mateus Fernandes
TOT · CM
TOT · CMMost likely fouled89Y. Gboho
COV · ST
COV · STMost likely shot87Richarlison
TOT · ST
TOT · STMost likely foul87Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
COV · CM
COV · CMMost likely booking64Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
COV · CM
COV · CMMost likely SoT59H. Wright
COV · ST
COV · STMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
TOT42.5%DRAW27.1%
COV30.4%Most likely score1–112.9% · xG 1.49–1.22
Over 1.575.9%Over 2.550.6%Over 3.528.4%Under 2.549.4%BTTS55.2%
InputsClub strength rating 1509 vs 1606 (rating diff -97), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±120 / ±120 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition Premier League, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.49, λA 1.22 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningHWH. WrightCoventry · ST
59low
1+best shout5950% hit2+220% hit
SoT/90 1.26·Shots/90 3.35
Last 501110
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
RIRicharlisonTottenham · ST
58low
1+best shout5856% hit2+2533% hit
SoT/90 1.11·Shots/90 2.57
Last 511200
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
DSD. SolankeTottenham · ST
53low
1+best shout5346% hit2+2123% hit
SoT/90 1.18·Shots/90 2.28
Last 500002
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningRIRicharlisonTottenham · ST
87high
1+8789% hit2+best shout6578% hit
Shots/90 2.57·SoT/90 1.11
Last 524320
Gets his shots off regularly.
HWH. WrightCoventry · ST
85high
1+8575% hit2+best shout6850% hit
Shots/90 3.35·SoT/90 1.26
Last 531520
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
YGY. GbohoCoventry · ST
81medium
1+best shout8182% hit2+5964% hit
Shots/90 1.92·SoT/90 0.56
Last 523202
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningCYCaleb Marfo YirenkyiCoventry · CM
64medium
Cards/90 0.30·YC 10
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
FOF. OnyekaCoventry · CM
62medium
Cards/90 0.20·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
JEJ. EcclesCoventry · CM
62medium
Cards/90 0.33·YC 6
Last 5✕✕✕
The opponent matchup sharpens the risk.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningCYCaleb Marfo YirenkyiCoventry · CM
87high
1+8775% hit2+best shout5650% hit
Fouls/90 1.81·YC 10
Last 510650
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
FOF. OnyekaCoventry · CM
86high
1+best shout8687% hit2+4133% hit
Fouls/90 1.99·YC 4
Last 512110
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
MFMateus FernandesTottenham · CM
79medium
1+best shout7975% hit2+4025% hit
Fouls/90 1.60·YC 9
Last 513110
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningYGY. GbohoCoventry · ST
89high
1+8973% hit2+best shout6136% hit
Drawn/90 2.38·Dribbles/90 2.65
Last 512061
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
EME. Mason-ClarkCoventry · ST
82medium
1+best shout8275% hit2+4638% hit
Drawn/90 2.03·Dribbles/90 1.12
Last 521010
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
FOF. OnyekaCoventry · CM
78medium
1+best shout7880% hit2+4147% hit
Drawn/90 2.16·Dribbles/90 0.66
Last 504110
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMFMateus FernandesTottenham · CM
93high
1+9375% hit2+best shout7138% hit
Tackles/90 2.99·Int/90 0.98
Last 502210
A busy defensive presence who throws himself in.
MEM. van EwijkCoventry · CB
90high
1+best shout9080% hit2+5640% hit
Tackles/90 2.12·Int/90 1.31
Last 511312
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
SMS. MfuniCoventry · CB
90high
1+best shout9067% hit2+5933% hit
Tackles/90 2.35·Int/90 1.05
Last 5410
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Preview build for review, not gambling advice. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Tottenham vs Coventry: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Tottenham vs Coventry?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Tottenham vs Coventry?
We price 8 player markets for Tottenham vs Coventry: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.