Formula 1 Betting Strategy: Mastering the Podium Finish Market

Formula 1 Betting Strategy: Mastering the Podium Finish Market

If you are new to Formula 1 betting things can be confusing. There are loads of markets to choose from but, for the most part, our inherent mind-set always leads us to trying to identify a race winner.

In truth that is not that difficult to do. Since the start of 2014, when Formula 1 cars were converted from 2.4litre V8 propelled vehicles to the eco-friendlier 1.6litre V6 hybrid they use today, Lewis Hamilton in his Mercedes has won more than half of the races that have been staged. His teammates during this period, initially Nico Rosberg and latterly the less successful Valtteri Bottas, have averaged out around the twenty percent wins-to-drives ratio.

This has left limited opportunities for their rivals, primarily the Ferrari and Red Bull teams, who have picked up the pieces when Mercedes have faltered. No other team has won a race since the start of the 2014 campaign.

'Podium Finish' Market Explained

Consequently, selecting drivers from other teams to finish ‘on the 'podium’ gives you a better chance of cashing-in on a rank outsider with the best Formula 1 betting sites. It is no different to backing a racehorse to finish in the frame whilst accepting the favourite looks an inevitable winner.

But Formula 1 is closer related to jumps racing than the flat variety meaning there can be fallers (crashes in this instance), unseated jockeys (mechanical failure), hampered and carried out horses (punctures) even some contenders being disqualified for taking the wrong course. These variables make the prospect of a big-priced driver collecting some silverware all the more viable.

Car and Driver Form

Driver form is clearly a major factor in motorsports betting as it is closely related to confidence. But the form of the car on the type of circuit it is about to race on is equally, if not more important.

No two Formula 1 race circuits are the same, in fact they are all vastly different. There are tracks which feature long straights where lap time is gained by high speeds – Monza in Italy and Spa in Belgium are two examples – and there are tight circuits where the time advantage is gained by sure-fire tyre grip while cornering. Examples of these include Hungary and Monaco.

Using comparisons which horseracing once more - picture the long straights and stiff fences at Haydock and compare them to the tight turns, soft fences and undulations of Fontwell Park.

The technical term for a‘fast track’ is a ‘low downforce circuit’ and the slower tracks with tight corners are known as ‘high downforce’. The reason being, cars require less or more downforce, created by their wings, to go fast through the air at speed or to be nailed to the circuit around corners. A car’s wheelbase (the distance between front and back wheels) is another factor which helps a car with cornering at speed.

Track Analysis

So if you are trying to identify a podium finisher, particularly one at a big price, you need to assess the driver’s car’s likeness for the circuit’s characteristics. The gap between the best and worst cars is magnified at the circuits with long straights and sweeping bends. Bahrain, for example, regularly sees just six cars complete the race on the lead lap.

But at Monaco in 2019 just ten seconds separate the first five home and that was no flash-in-the-pan. It is a slow-speed street circuit where overtaking is near impossible, so it is conducive to competitive racing and if/when you do see a treble-digit driver sneak on to the podium this circuit is one of the more likely venues where it will happen.

The Azerbaijan Grand Prix is also staged around a wall-lined street circuit with tight corners and in both 2016 and 2018 100/1 shot Sergio Perez managed to pinch third spot. In-between those two years Lance Stroll defied win-market odds of 300/1 to also snatch a bronze medal.

Timing Your Bet

Timing your Formula 1 bets is of vital importance. Markets normally open on the Monday afternoon prior to the race weekend and the race weekend begins on Friday with two very informative practice sessions. There is a third practice session on Saturday followed by the decisive qualifying session. Sunday is race day.

Odds will fluctuate dramatically between Tuesday and the completion of the first practice session and anyone who takes their Formula 1 betting seriously will tell you the earlier you examine all the F1 betting markets, the more likely you will find a stand-out price discrepancy.

There is no substitute for studying the stats when it comes to Formula 1 betting, so make sure you know each circuit just as well as the drivers.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. Place £10, Get £40 in Free Bets + £10 on Casino
    Promo Code: 10FREE

  2. EXCLUSIVE: Bet £15, Get £10

  3. Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

  4. Bet £10, Get £10 Free Bet

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. Terms Apply New players only. The qualifying bets to claim the Free Bet must have minimum odds of 3/1 (4.00) or higher and must be settled before triggering free bet. 18+. - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  5. Bet £10 Get £20

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. Terms Apply The Promotion operates as a £/€20 Surprise Bet when you place a bet of at least £/€10 on any market with odds greater than or equal to 1.50 as your first bet. The Promotion runs from 09/08/2021 / 12:00 (BST) until 31/12/2021 / 12:00 (BST) (the “Promotional Period”). The Promotion is only valid to: (a) new customers; (b) customers aged 18 years or over. To qualify for the Promotion, participant must deposit and place a £/€10 bet as their first bet on any market (excluding each way) in the sportsbook with odds greater than or equal to 1.50. Only original odds count toward the promotion. Supercharged odds do not count towards the promotion. An accumulation of smaller stakes will not count. Cashed out bets do not count towards this promotion. Only available once per customer. Rewards will be credited to qualifying participants within 48 hours after placing the qualifying bet. Potential winnings from the Surprise Bet are paid in withdrawable cash, excluding the stake. This offer cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer. Visit Site
  6. Welcome bonus bet £10 Get £15

  7. Bet £10, Get £10 + 50 Extra Spins

  8. Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. Terms Apply 18+. Full T&C’s Apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. Visit Site
  9. Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

  10. Top Odds and over 7,000 Bets Daily – All Sports

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Visit Site
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles