Betting Analysis and Predictions: Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors
The Toronto Raptors have the current longest win streak against a single opponent in the NBA. They have owned the Orlando Magic with nine straight wins and will look to maintain that dominance at 7:30 p.m. ET tonight at the Scotiabank Arena.
Fatigue could certainly be a factor for the Raptors, who are playing their fourth game in the past five nights. Catching a very tired Raptors team just might be what the Magic need to end their losing streak in this series and could affect how you make your NBA betting play in this matchup.
The Magic have lost three of their past five games, covering the spread in three of them. Over their past 10 games, they have won just three games while covering the spread in four.
The Raptors have struggled recently and are winners of two of their last five games while covering the spread once. They had won eight consecutive games between Jan. 19 and Feb. 10, but have since lost five of eight and covered the spread in just two games.
The Power of Rest and No Rest in the NBA
Toronto is playing on back-to-back nights and, as mentioned above, playing its second consecutive pair of back-to-back games.
NBA teams, when playing on back-to-back nights, have gone 131-191 straight-up (SU) and 144-175-3 against the spread for 45% wins this season.
The Raptors are playing on back-to-back nights at home and that hasn’t been good for NBA teams this season. These homers on back-to-back nights have produced a 37-48 SU record for 43.5% wins and a horrid 34-50-1 ATS for 40.5% wins, including a 39-46-0 over-under record.
The clincher is that if the guest is coming off a loss, the restless home teams have gone a 20-17 SU for 54% wins, but just 13-24 ATS for 35.1% wins, including a 20-17 over-under record this season.
So, betting against teams that are playing on back-to-back nights at home and home schedules and facing a foe coming off a loss is the preferred strategy and points directly to bet the Magic.
Trends and Angles Observations
There are many trends and angles that support the Magic in this matchup. The Raptors are a money-burning 9-22 ATS after playing two or more consecutive games in which the Under bet won the money in games played over the last two seasons.
Plus, Raptors coach Nick Nurse is 18-35-1 ATS in home games with a posted total ranging from 220 to 229.5 points.
Take the Magic and grab those points and sprinkle a pizza money-sized bet on the money line, too.
