Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 5 Selections For Saturday
Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for Saturday's action.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and, most recently, as a tipster for Betfair, where his tipping column achieved a 31% ROI over 4.5 years.
He often focuses on the back end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
Rhys' tips have returned 449.98 points from 334.00 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at a whopping +115.98 pts overall - thanks to a 5/1 winner on Wednesday.
Here are Rhys' tips for today, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
🏇 Build your daily yard of horses in our new 'Stables Stars' fantasy game below to be in with a chance of winning £100, £50 or £25.
Play Stable Stars Here
13:42 Newton Abbot: Intellotto - 1pt Win @ 12/1
Intellotto drops into the easiest company he’s faced since joining Daisy Hitchins and I think the market is overlooking his chance.
He was in far too deep on stable debut in the Kingwell, but showed more in the conditionals race at Cheltenham where he made a move to only be a couple of lengths behind the leaders early in the home straight before dropping away.
The strong pace in the Sussex Champion Hurdle put Intellotto under pressure from the off as he tried to stay close to it and ran respectably in the circumstances to finish seventh with a mistake at the last not helping.
He now races off a 6lb lower mark than he did that day, which I think is an overly generous drop, and he is unlikely to face the same sort of pace pressure to race handily that he did last time.
There is a concern that he may need the run on seasonal debut but he managed to win after a break when trained by Joseph O’Brien so hopefully he can repeat the feat for these connections.
Any 8/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 13:42 Newton Abbot: Intellotto - 1pt Win
14:52 Newton Abbot: Mount Anglesby - 1pt Win @ 14/1
There have been some wild early market fluctuations in this handicap hurdle and Mount Anglesby is now the one who appeals at the prices.
He regularly ran well last time when trained by Alastair Ralph and I think the ground may have been a bit quicker than ideal for him when fourth at Plumpton.
While the ground is officially good, good to soft in places, the going stick suggests it may be a bit softer than that which would be ideal for Mount Anglesby.
He’s now switched back to the care of Tom Britten, who trained him in three runs in points and has had success in that sphere and hunter chases.
I’m not expecting Mount Anglesby to go backwards at all for that switch, but there is the unknown over how fit he will be for his first run after a break.
Given the quality and consistency of his form last season, I think he’s overpriced and any 8/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 14:52 Newton Abbot: Mount Anglesby - 1pt Win
Read Up On The Latest Horse Racing Betting Sites
Why Not Check Out Our Dedicated Fast Racing Results Page!
16:05 Limerick: Ballindenisk - 0.5pt Win @ 12/1
Ballindenisk has been disappointing under rules so far given the promise he showed in points but I think this gives him his best chance so far to show that he still retains the necessary ability to run well in a race of this standard.
He was ridden patiently at Killarney last time and could never get into contention, with his tendency to jump out to the right also not helping his chance.
The switch to a right-handed track can see him in a better light and I’m hoping they will look to ride him handier, a tactic that was successful in the pointing field.
There is a chance that he’s just not as good as he was or that his true ability will come out over fences given his size but he looks a little overpriced and any double-figure prices appeal.
Rhys' Selection 3: 16:05 Limerick: Ballindenisk - 0.5pt Win
16:05 Limerick: Elbow Lane - 0.5pt Win @ 33/1
At a bigger price in the same race, I think Elbow Lane has a better chance of breaking his duck than the market suggests.
He showed some promise on his sole start in the Irish pointing field before joining Philip Rothwell. He was well held in three starts in maiden hurdle but I thought he showed more promise on handicap debut at Clonmel.
He looked clueless at the hurdles early on and that left him detached at the back of the field. He gradually got back in touch and was only a few lengths off the leaders early in the home straight before being left behind while not being given an overly hard time by his jockey.
I’m hoping Elbow Lane has mentally matured over the summer and can put in a more professional display from the off today.
This longer trip is more likely to suit him than the two miles he was running over last season and I think he should be capable of handling this better ground.
There is a doubt over whether he will be at his best going this way around and he might need the run after a break but he looks overpriced and any 16/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 4: 16:05 Limerick: Elbow Lane - 0.5pt Win
16:43 Newton Abbot: Sea Glorya - 1pt Win @ 9/2
The initial prices for the bumper at Newton Abbot were a throwback to before every Chris Gordon ex-pointer was put in at the front end of the market, or was quickly backed into that position. While the morning market has corrected to some extent, I still think Sea Glorya is overpriced on his rules debut.
He made his debut in the Irish pointing field at Belclare and tanked along in midfield for over two circuits. After jumping three out in third, he was asked to close on the leader and he quickened up well but ran wide on the bend.
He was about half a length down in second jumping two out, where he made a slight mistake, and the exuberance he had shown for much of the race told after as he faded away to finish fourth.
The way that he travelled through the race suggests Sea Glorya can improve for this sharper test and his experience may prove vital with a couple of his main dangers being newcomers.
Any 100/30 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 5: 16:43 Newton Abbot: Sea Glorya - 1pt Win
If you are following the latest horse racing tips, sign up at one of the best betting sites where you'll find exclusive offers.
You’ll find plenty of betting markets on horse racing today, along with a wide variety of other sports, at these trusted online betting sites, while you might even grab some free bets.
Also, follow our resident tipster James Boyle for his very latest tips and expert analysis ahead of the day's meetings in the UK, Ireland and around the world.
