Monday Night Football Betting Advice: Cowboys vs. Giants

Article By John Ryan

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

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Last Updated: 2024 Mar 14

Here are some NFL betting I will take to the window for the Monday Night Football game.

Let's start with the Monday Night preferred bet.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Today, 8:05 p.m. ET, TSN

Line: Giants -1 | Total:  39 points

The Cowboys (1-1 straight-up, 1-1 against the spread, 0-2 Over-Under) will be on the road to take on their NFC East divisional rival Giants (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 0-2 Over-Under).

Before the preseason, the line opened with the Cowboys priced as a 2.5-point favourite with a total priced at 48 points. 

However, the loss of Cowboys All-Pro quarterback Dak Prescott has shifted the lines significantly to making the Giants a 1-point favourite and the total declining nine points to 39.

What Do the Predictive Models Have to Share?

A line favouring the Giants by a single points and a total of 39 points implies a Giants 20 to 19 win. My predictive model shows a high probability that the Giants and Cowboys will both score 21 or more points.

• The Giants are  80-91 SU and 92-77-2 against the spread (ATS) for 55% winning bets including a jaw-dropping 148-18-5 Over-Under record good for 89% winning Over bets in games in which they and their foes each score 20 or more points.
• The Cowboys are 100-81 SU, 82-91-8 ATS, and 166-12-3 Over-Under good for 93% winning Over bets in games in which they and their foes each score 20 or more points.
• The Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy has posted a 36-20-1 Over-Under record when coming off a game in which his defense allowed three or fewer points in the first half.

I am betting the Over in this matchup currently priced at 39 points at BetMGM.

Quick Kicks

For the season, player prop bets are 10-3, making $388 per $50 bet.

• Bet the Giants' Daniel Jones to throw an interception –115 at BetMGM.
• Bet the Cowboys' Cooper Rush Over 1.5 passing touchdowns +165 at FanDuel.
• Bet the Giants' Faniel Jones Over 1.5 passing touchdowns +200 at FanDuel.
• Bet the Cowboys' CeeDee Lamb Over 4.5 receptions –165 at BetMGM.
• Bet the Giants' Sequon Barkley Over 3.5 receptions +125 at PointsBet.

Remember, sports betting is a marathon, not a get-rich scheme for one weekend. There will be losing weeks here on these pages and although I have had nine profitable seasons in the past 10, there is no guarantee I will hit 65% ATS again this season.

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   2024 Mar 14

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