Super Bowl LIX Picks: Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets

Super Bowl LIX Picks: Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets

• Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (-104 Pinnacle)
• Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interceptions (+116 Pinnacle)
• Patrick Mahomes To Score A Touchdown (+336 Pinnacle)

The Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes are vying for history in Super Bowl LIX against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday.

The Chiefs can become the first side in NFL history to win three Super Bowls in a row, securing their dynasty as one of the all-time greats.

Mahomes has been the crucial figure in their incredible run of success, and a lot will hinge on his performance in New Orleans.

Funnily enough, his performances in Super Bowls have not been outstanding, with his display in last year’s triumph over the San Francisco 49ers his best effort, and even that took overtime for him to really rise to the occasion.

We’ve searched betting sites for the best Mahomes prop bets for Super Bowl LIX.

Super Bowl LIX Picks: Mahomes To Be In Action

NFL betting sites have Mahomes's passing attempts line at 36.5 for Super Bowl LIX. He only threw the ball on 27 occasions against the Eagles in Super Bowl LVII, but connected 21 times with his receivers for three touchdowns, albeit only for 182 yards. 

However, in his three other appearances in the title game, Mahomes has surpassed the 40 attempts mark.

He’ll have some way to go to beat the all-time Super Bowl record of 62 attempts set by Tom Brady, coincidentally against the Eagles in Super Bowl LII. The Eagles have a stout rush defence, allowing the fewest 20-yard runs in the NFL in the 2024 campaign.

That could press the ball into Mahomes’ hands more often than not. We like the -104 for Mahomes to record over 36.5 pass attempts on Sunday.

Super Bowl LIX Mahomes Prop 1: Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (-104 Pinnacle)

Super Bowl LIX Betting Picks: A Mahomes Mistake?

Mahomes has an incredible record in the post-season for limiting his mistakes. In 20 play-off games, the 29-year-old has thrown eight interceptions and committed 13 fumbles, including two fumbles in his last games. 

Notably, five of his interceptions have come in previous Super Bowls. Four came in his first two appearances, including two in the defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV. 

The Eagles only had 13 interceptions during the regular season but boasted impressive stats against the pass. Their defensive line and talented secondary could be in line for at least one decisive turnover, especially with a limited Chiefs’ receiving corps. 

After looking at betting apps online, we like the +116 with Pinnacle for Mahomes to throw at least one interception.

Super Bowl LIX Mahomes Prop 2: Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interceptions (+116 Pinnacle)

Super Bowl LIX Picks: Mahomes Threat On The Ground

All the attention will naturally be drawn to Jalen Hurts’ ability in the ground game, but Mahomes is no slouch. 

Mahomes is more of a selective runner and uses his legs in crucial situations rather than designed plays, albeit his touchdown against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game was a designed run by head coach Andy Reid.

Mahomes has scored a rushing touchdown in each of his last two play-off games and has seven total post-season scores, although only one in the Super Bowl. 

Mahomes’ first touchdown in the Super Bowl was a rushing TD, and +336 is enough to convince us to back him to score his second touchdown on the ground in this one.

Super Bowl LIX Mahomes Prop 3: Patrick Mahomes To Score A Touchdown (+336 Pinnacle)