Thursday Night Football Picks and Analysis: Baltimore at Tampa Bay

Thursday Night Football Picks and Analysis: Baltimore at Tampa Bay
© USA Today

To help with your NFL betting, here is our advice for the Thursday Night Football game.

 

Prop Bet Picks for Today

Sportsbook Odds Prop Bet
BetRivers 1.69 Bucs' Tom Brady Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
FanDuel 10.50 Bucs' Mike Evans to score 2+ touchdowns
BetMGM1.87 Ravens Lamar Jackson Under 62.5 rushing yards

Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

Line: Ravens -1.5 | Total: 45 points

I am betting on the Bucs +1.5 points as offered at BetMGM.

The Ravens (4-3 straight-up, 2-4-1 against the spread, 4-3 Over-Under) head to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS, 1-6 Over-Under) in a game that's important for both teams. 

Since 2000, when Tom Brady took over as quarterback the New England Patriots never lost four consecutive games in any season. 

Brady join the Buccaneers in 2019 and even at 45 years old, he has always had the resiliency and determination to lift his team to a much-needed win. This is the first time he has not been a favourite or pick-em with them. 

For his career, Brady is 9-1 SU and ATS when having a losing record and coming off a loss. Tampa is in first place in the NFC South Division that currently does not have a team with a winning record.

Situational Trends and Angles

  • The Bucs are 18-8-1 ATS when coming off an upset road loss.
  • The Ravens are on a 2-9 ATS losing run when coming off a home game.
  • Ravens coach John Harbaugh is 19-34-3 ATS (36%) in games played in October.
  • Teams, like the Bucs, that made the playoffs in the previous season and are currently on a five or more ATS losing streak are 12-4 ATS (75%)

 

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