Next Tory Leader Odds: Who to Bet On

Calculating who to back among the Conservative leadership candidates when the party inevitably holds its next contest isn’t easy. That's why unearthing the top candidates for the job is something the best political betting sites continually work on.
We must consider numerous factors when betting on the political machine that is the Tory party, the oldest party in the world. From Boris Johnson to Margaret Thatcher, Theresa May to Alec Douglas-Home, the Tories don’t always pick the favourite to be their leader.
Indeed, being a Conservative leader requires the sort of steely personality unique among a certain set of politicians. These days UK bookmakers run an ever-changing market on who will be the next Conservative leader – and Johnson’s remarkable rise to power in 2019 proves you can practically bet on anyone.
Most Popular Conservative Leadership Candidates to Replace Boris Johnson
When it comes to betting on the Tory Leadership contest, the candidates will almost certainly be those on the front bench. Take the 2019 vote, for instance, when Theresa May was ousted from her position, and the likes of Jeremy Hunt, Michael Gove and Sajid Javid all jostled for the vote.
As we examine the most popular candidates to replace Mr Johnson, it is towards his cabinet ministers that we should look. Javid himself was returned to cabinet midway through 2021 as health secretary and could be a viable contender for the leadership the longer Johnson hangs around once the COVID-19 pandemic subsides.
Equally, the likes of Gove, Liz Truss and Priti Patel could all consider themselves leadership material one day. Notably, however, if you ask, ‘who do the bookies think will be the next UK conservative party leader?’, then there’s only one answer: Rishi Sunak.

Betting on the Next UK Conservative Leadership Race
Sunak is the clear frontrunner for the Conservative leadership when Johnson decides to step down. Betting on the chancellor and any other candidate is quite straightforward. Many of the best betting sites in the UK feature politics betting odds that cover some of the most intricate dealings within government.
Whether it's wagering on the next Prime Minister, backing a candidate for the chop, or even placing a bet on when Johnson will leave, there are plenty of markets to familiarise yourself with. And betting on politics couldn’t be easier.
A bookmaker doesn’t even require you to sign up before you take a look at the latest politics odds. Once you’ve checked out the market and made a decision, then it’s time to join one of the leading bookmakers listed below, trigger a promo offer or two, and place your wager.
If you’re struggling with understanding the odds then don’t worry. All bookmakers have a bet slip where you can preliminarily enter your stake and see what your potential winnings could be, based on the odds. That will let you know how likely your chosen candidate is to replace Johnson.
How the UK Conservative Party Selects its Leadership
The UK Conservative party leadership selection process takes place in two stages. First, MPs vote on their preference when all nominations are confirmed. In 2019, there were 10 initial nominations, which the MPs whittled down to two.
At this point, the vote goes out to all Conservative party members across the country. This is done via a postal ballot that is mailed to roughly 130,000 constituents. There are two names on the ballot. Whoever wins this one-on-one vote becomes the next Tory leader.
This voting method seems straightforward and shouldn’t stir too much controversy, but as we all know, nothing is easy when it comes to political voting. When any other party has been in Government, the Tory leadership vote has gone off without a hitch. Take 2005 as an example, when the party voted David Cameron in as leader.
However, when the Conservatives have been in power, it’s been a controversial vote. For instance, in 2019, Johnson was given the keys to No 10 Downing Street after just 92,313 people officially voted for him in the UK General Election.
Qualities of a new Conservative Party Leader for 2022 and Beyond
Should Johnson either leave or be ousted from his position as PM, then the next leader of the Conservative Party will likely exude different qualities. After all, when a party leader leaves, it’s usually because there is a clamour for a different approach. The difference between Johnson and Theresa May was stark indeed.
Johnson has thrived as a populist leader who famously tries to deliver what the public wants, even if it means flip-flopping between stances. He notoriously wrote two Daily Telegraph columns ahead of the 2016 Brexit vote – one backing Remain and one backing Leave.
The new leader will likely have to possess a more varied political ideology than Johnson’s populist bent. Guiding the economy through its post-Covid recovery period will take years, while there is also a clamour for greater green policies. On the international stage, a new Tory leader will have to be a nimble player. Johnson’s jokes and gaffes go down well in the UK but not among leaders across the EU, Americas or Asia.
But like any Conservative leader, there will also need to be a ruthless streak to whoever replaces Johnson. After all, right-wing and centre-right economic policy rarely looks at welfare or public investment with pleasure. A low-tax, small state, neoliberal policymaker could well thrive in No 10.
Next Conservative UK Prime Minister Betting Odds
All of which points to Rishi Sunak as the very real frontrunner to be the next Conservative UK prime minister. The billionaire who made his money in banking has been a popular chancellor since his appointment in 2019 – largely thanks to his furlough scheme that supported out-of-work employees through the worst of the coronavirus pandemic.
Sunak was given the freedom to spend billions of pounds supporting the economy and his reputation now rests on how the UK bounces back from Covid. Ever since furlough began, Sunak has been the heavy favourite – sometimes as narrow as 2/1 with the best specials betting sites – to be the next Tory leader.
- Rishi Sunak 2/1
- Michael Gove 6/1
- Jeremy Hunt 8/1
- Liz Truss 12/1
- Dominic Raab 14/1
- Sajid Javid 14/1
- Priti Patel 16/1
Meanwhile, the likes of Patel and Gove have avoided government reshuffles, sackings and reputational damage in the media to hover close to Sunak as potential replacements in Downing Street.
Hunt is another of the Conservative leadership candidates who has enjoyed a sharp rise in his stock since the coronavirus pandemic – largely because the former health secretary was considered to have done a better job than opposition parties in holding the government to account over the NHS.
He would mark a move away from Johnsonian politics and more towards the May/Cameron style of leadership – something the Tory members may be keen on the longer the incumbent is in office.
Recommended Betting Sites
- 18+. New Customers only. Must have a minimum of 3 bets of £10 or more on separate events at odds of evens (2.0) or bigger on first day. First day losses equals all settled stakes less all returns. T&C's apply.Long Established Independent BookmakerUnique Horse Racing Free Bet RefundsRacing Ambassadors Hayley Turner & Tom Cannonnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
10Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoBetgoodwin is the new online betting site from the independently owned Goodwin Racing telephone betting service. They offer a variety of horse racing special offers as well as betting on a variety of other sports. - New customers only. Available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 Void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more. Offer only applies to players who are residents of United Kingdom and Irland.Live Betting & Cash-Out OptionsWell Designed & Easy To Use Interface‘Boost Up’ Accumulator Boostsnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
12Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoLuckster is a dual sportsbook and casino platform with a vaguely Irish theme, including the inevitable leprechaun logo and shamrock imagery. - 18+. Full T&Cs apply. New cus only. Opt-in & deposit req. 7 days to deposit and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry.18+ BeGambleAware.org.Brand Ambassador Teddy SheringhamLive Streaming of UK Horse RacingAcca Club: £5 Free Bet Every Weeknot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
YesIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
9Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
YesBetUK have former England footballer Teddy Sheringham and six time champion jockey Kieren Fallon as brand ambassadors and betting experts. - Customers depositing via Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skrill 1-Tap are not entitled to this offer. Min deposit €10. Max bonus €100. Offer valid for the first deposit. Offer open to new players only. This offer is only open to new players and can only be claimed once per household. The Welcome Bonus cannot be combined with any other bonus, promotion or offer. The Welcome Bonus must be used within 14 days of being credited to your ZETBET account. ZETBET reserves the right to cancel Welcome Bonuses at any time if they have not been used within the approved time period. ZETBET reserves the right to cancel Welcome Bonuses at any time if they have not been used within the approved time period. In the interest of fair play, please note that we require you to wager your Welcome Bonus a minimum of 9 times before you can withdraw any winnings.Fast & Clean Betting Interface'Zet Boost' Accumulator BoostsBroad Range of Sports & Esports Marketsnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
21Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoZetBet is a new to market UK betting site that includes an attractive sportsbook with excellent filters to enable you to find your bet quickly and easily. - New customers online only. Place your first bet on racing pools for a minimum of £/€5 and win or lose you will receive £/€20 Tote Credit. £/€20 Tote Credit rewarded as £/€10 redeemable against racing bets only and £/€10 redeemable against UK and Irish placepot bets only. Tote Credit cannot be withdrawn, exchanged, or substituted and expires after 7 days. Qualifying bet is the first racing pool bet added to the bet-slip. Ten to Follow, virtual and football bets do not qualify. Totewin will be the qualifying bet when a Totewin and a Toteplace bet are struck at the same time. UK & ROI customers only. 18+. Full T&Cs apply. BeGambleaware.orgUK's Leading Horse Racing Pool Betting OperatorHome of the Placepot & Exclusive Placepot AppNever Beaten by SP on Horse Racing with Tote+not requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
YesIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
2Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
NoAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoThe Tote offers horse racing pool betting, popular with punters who place small stakes to win large amounts. Favourite bets include the Placepot (picking a horse to be placed in the first six races) and Jackpot/Scoop6 (picking the winner of each of six nominated races on a single day). - The Promotion operates as a £/€20 Surprise Bet when you place a bet of at least £/€10 on any market with odds greater than or equal to 1.50 as your first bet. The Promotion runs from 09/08/2021 / 12:00 (BST) until 31/12/2021 / 12:00 (BST) (the “Promotional Period”). The Promotion is only valid to: (a) new customers; (b) customers aged 18 years or over. To qualify for the Promotion, participant must deposit and place a £/€10 bet as their first bet on any market (excluding each way) in the sportsbook with odds greater than or equal to 1.50. Only original odds count toward the promotion. Supercharged odds do not count towards the promotion. An accumulation of smaller stakes will not count. Cashed out bets do not count towards this promotion. Only available once per customer. Rewards will be credited to qualifying participants within 48 hours after placing the qualifying bet. Potential winnings from the Surprise Bet are paid in withdrawable cash, excluding the stake. This offer cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer.Random Supercharged PayoutsWeekly ‘kwiff Club’ Cashback & Free Bets‘Acca Shield’ Refund (if One Leg Fails)not requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
YesIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
13Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
YesWhen a customer places a bet with kwiff, they may find that their bet is “kwiffed” - where you receive increased odds after placing your bet. - New customers only aged 21+. Minimum deposit £10. Qualifying bet must be placed at odds of evens (2.0) or greater. Get a matched Free bet up to £30 plus 20 Extra Spins on Fishin’ Frenzy The Big Catch, credited within 24 hours. Free Bet and Spins expire in 7 days. Additional T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly.Official UK Betting Partner of Fulham FCRegular Money-Back Specials'Racing Sportsbook of the Year' 2020not requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
8Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoFitzdares have offered a boutique bookmaker service to members of their exclusive Mayfair Club (The Fitzdares Club) since 1882, but have now launched an online sportsbook open to all. - New Players only. Max. Free Bet Token amount: £10.Minimum Deposit: £15. Minimum wagering on Sport to activate the Free Bet Token: £15Dual Sportsbook & Casino PlatformExtensive Range of Football MarketsAccumulator Boosts of up to 77%not requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
18Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoHeyspin is an online betting site that offers both sports betting and online casino games. Their impressive sportsbook platform offers a huge range of markets, including in-play betting and cash-out options. - T&Cs apply. New reg only. Claim by placing a min deposit £10 via "My Offers" page within 30 days. Skrill/Neteller deposits excl. 7 days to stake max £10 in-play. Max. extra winnings £100. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.Mobile First Betting Interface'Leo King' Sports Prediction Game24/7 Customer Servicenot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
YesIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
34Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoLeo Vegas Sports is the sportsbook from this multi-award-winning casino operator, with a focus on mobile users - including a sport betting app for Android & iOS Devices. - 18+. Please Gamble Responsibly. Begambleaware.org. Customers must place a acca of at least £10 on any football with 4 selections or more minimum odds 1/2 (1.50) per selection. First bet placed will qualify. £5 Free Bet will be given on settlement. Valid once a week until 29th of May 2023.Create Your Own Accumulater with 'Bet Maker'Enhanced Odds Every Week with 'BetPlus'Live Streaming of International Horse Racingnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
34Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
YesWell known in Europe and growing fast in the UK, NetBet offer some unique features, such as 'Snap Bet' - where mobile users can bet on a goal being scored in the next 30 secs, 1 min, 5 mins or 10 mins of live football matches. - 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply'Rising Star Operator of the Year' 2021Interactive Football Match Centre‘BoostItOn’ Accumulator Boostsnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
27Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoBetItOn have ex-Liverpool striker and Champions League winner Djibril Cissé as their brand ambassador and resident football expert. - 18+ • New customer offer • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • Bonus valid on selected Casino games only • Bonus wins capped at £500, excluding Jackpot wins • You must wager Bonus amount x40 – this requirement varies by game - Full Terms Apply.Create your own Multiples with Bet BuilderLive Streaming of all UK & Irish RacingDaily Price Enhancements & Specialsnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
YesIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
16Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
YesCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
Yes888sport offer a wide range of sports betting markets, combined with regular enhanced specials, plus an exclusive 'Acca Club' (bet £20 on Multiples or Bet Builder to get a £5 free bet - every week). - 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at a min. odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets no eligible. Click to see full T&CsDual Sportsbook & Casino PlatformDistinctive ‘Moustache’ Branding‘PlayBoost’ Accumulator Boostsnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
21Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoMr.Play Sports has a fun style of its very own, with a memorable handlebar 'tache wherever you look, but it boasts a serious amount of betting markets, plus Premier League & 'Euro Elite' betting battle tournaments. - 18+ New Players Only. Free bet - one-time stake of £10, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from issue. Withdrawal requests voids all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill deposits. Full Terms Apply #ADDual Sportsbook & Casino Platform10% Cashback on Sports Betting Losses'Wager Wars' Leaderboard & Cash Prizesnot requiredBonus Code
The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
Live StreamingIs there live streaming of sporting events?
NoIn-Play BettingThe number of sports with in-play betting available
30Bet BuilderCan you create your own personalised bets?
NoCash OutCan you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
YesAcca InsuranceRefund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
NoMonster Casino Sportsbook is the new sports betting offering from this long established casino brand, with a small but select selection of sports to bet on.