Friday's Horse Racing Tips: James Boyle's Best Bets At Ascot & York
Today's Horse Racing Tips
- 15:00 Ascot – Tadreeb – 1pt @ 28/1 with Ladbrokes
- 16:45 Ascot – Boadicia – 1pt @ 8/1 with BetVictor
- 17:30 York – Carnival Zain – 1pt @ 20/1 with Bet365
- 19:15 York – Music Society – 1.50pts @ 25/1 with Boylesports
For today's horse racing tips, our analyst James Boyle looks at the flat racing meetings at Ascot and York, with four selections now online.
As always, you’ll find the most up-to-date odds at the best horse racing betting sites, but our tipster’s predictions are researched early in the day and those prices could soon be moved in by the betting public. Odds stated are correct at the time of publishing.
15:00 Ascot – Tadreeb – 1pt @ 28/1
Tadreeb is a long way removed from his peak form but wasn’t disgraced over a mile at Windsor on his penultimate start. That race didn’t pan out to suit his hold up running style, the finishing speed being over 109% showing that those up top set a mediocre tempo.
He then raced over this C&D in a contest where a trio of three-year-old runners pulled miles clear and, although he was never getting near them, he would have finished closer to the remainder with a clear run. As such, he may be in better form than it suggests.
This is the same grade of handicap but it’s definitely a weaker race, whilst a visor goes on for the first time and could spark something. Of course, it could also make him perform worse, but some of his family raced in headgear regularly and hopefully it’ll do him no harm.
It’s tough to be confident, but he’s 4lbs lower than the Windsor effort, Jason Watson is back on board and those at the front of the market have a elements to prove as well. He’s 28/1 generally at the moment, and 33/1 in a few places, so it’s worth a shot in hope.
16:45 Ascot – Boadicia – 1pt @ 8/1
Boadicia showed ability in three novice outings, then took her form to a new level on handicap debut at Salisbury. There, she dropped back to the minimum trip for the first time, travelled powerfully throughout and quickened clear to score by almost two-lengths from Horse Whisperer.
Connections opted to go back up in trip when tackling a better race off 8lbs higher at Newmarket and she ended up in the lead early on. I’m not sure that suited over 6f against some talented rivals and wouldn’t be quick to think she won’t be defying this sort of mark sometime soon.
Reverting to 5f can help, Kaiya Fraser is on board to remove 5lbs and if the filly is ridden with patience again, there’s every chance she can step forward. It’s a decent race, but she’s unexposed and may have stronger claims than that of an 8/1 shot, granted the right ride this time.
17:30 York – Carnival Zain – 1pt @ 20/1
Carnival Zain needs to bounce back following a poor outing over C&D six weeks ago. He weakened away quickly that day, but the ground was on the softer side and all bar one of his five successes when he peaked in 2022 came on a quick surface. It could be a run to ignore.
Previously, he returned from a 288 day break in May, also over C&D, and showed signs of life in finishing seventh of the 18 runners. It was a strong race for a 0-80 and he’s lower in the weights now facing the prospect of a quicker surface in a contest that may not be as hot.
The draw is tricky, as he’s positioned out in 18, and that will require a bit more early running than is ideal in order to get a good sit. It’s not a huge problem all the same and if he has been coaxed into form at home, he can be a player against this field. 18/1 and bigger seems fair to me.
19:15 York – Music Society – 1.50pts @ 25/1
Music Society isn’t the horse he was but even on last season’s peak efforts in defeat, he’d be capable of winning this. On this season’s form, not so much, but he’s running off 9lbs lower than what he started off in April and has posted a number of reasonable efforts in defeat.
Things didn’t go his way at Thirsk last time, but it’s only a few outings since he ran well in a 0-85 over C&D and he got too far back in the field that day. The ground will be quicker this time, although that’s not a problem and those towards the front should be going strong fractions.
Luck will be required if he’s ridden cold, as is usually the case with him, but finding cover shouldn’t be hard and he has no problem travelling on a speed track when he’s in form. It’s likely that he’ll be all or nothing, so I’ll go win-only at 25s. Although he could be much bigger on the exchange later.
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