NFL Thursday Night Football: Seahawks @ Broncos
Seattle travel to Denver on Thursday night as 2.5-point favourites on betting apps, in a game with one of the lowest totals on the Week 6 slate, 40.5.
Both teams have 3-2 records, and the numbers point to a contest that will be decided late and in the trenches.
Second Half Seahawks
The clearest edge is what Seattle do after the half-time interval. The Seahawks have won the second half in four of their five games and the third quarter in three of them, without losing it once.
Denver sit at the other end of that trend, having lost the second half in three of five and the third quarter in three of five. If this one is tight at half-time, the history favours the visitors.
2nd Half Outcomes:
Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Seahawks | W10 | W24 | W5 | L7 | W5 |
Broncos | L14 | W14 | W20 | L10 | L1 |
Beware Seahawks Pass Rush
The sack numbers set up the game’s central contest. Seattle have recorded two or more sacks in every game this season, 14 in total, and their defence ranks second in our power rankings.
Denver, though, have been hard to bring down. They have conceded two or more sacks in only one game, six in total across five.
Something has to give: either Seattle’s rush finds a way through a line that has protected well, or Denver’s protection holds and takes away the visitors’ best weapon.
Can Broncos Contain Smith-Njigba?
Seattle's Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the receiver to watch. He has caught seven or more passes in three of the five games, with totals of eight, nine, 10, five and five, and he has 583 receiving yards on the season.
Smith-Njigba also has seven touchdowns, two behind Jahmyr Gibbs, who leads the league with nine.
That makes him the most reliable target on the Seattle roster, and a player Denver will have to account for on every down.
Smith-Njigba 2026 Stats:
Week | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Total |
Targets | 11 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 50 |
Rec | 8 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37 |
Yards | 122 | 155 | 128 | 76 | 102 | 583 |
TDs | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Ave | 20.4 | 15.2 | 12.8 | 17.2 | 15.3 | 15.8 |
Myers Has Been Perfect On FGs
With a game's total set at 40.5, field goals could matter as much as touchdowns, and Seattle’s kicker has been flawless.
Jason Myers is 10 from 10 this season and scored 17 points in Seattle’s last game, a 32-29 defeat to San Francisco.
Seahawks Hold The Advantage
Put it together and Seattle hold the advantage on the numbers.
They rank joint-third in our power rankings (which combine offensive and defensive rankings) against Denver’s 23rd, score more per game (26.8 to 19.4) and concede slightly fewer (21.0 to 22.2).
Gambling.com NFL Rankings
Denver’s route to an upset is simple enough: protect the quarterback, keep the game close and let their own pass rush, 13 sacks in five games, go to work in the second half.
If their line blunts Seattle’s rush, a low-scoring game could turn on a single late possession.
