AFL Betting Tips 2025: Round 13 Best Bets And Betting Trends

The halfway point of season 2025 has arrived and Collingwood have firmed further as Premiership favourites after moving to a 10-2 record with their third win over a top-eight side in four weeks, adding to significant scalps from earlier in the season such as the Lions and Bulldogs. 

Brisbane are doing just enough to stay in second without blowing oppositions away in a similar manner, Adelaide are quietly flying under the radar albeit winning mostly against non-contenders, and the two will meet at the Adelaide Oval on Friday night in what could be a crossroads for their respective campaigns.

That’s the first of the three games we are particularly interested in from a wagering perspective this week as we look to crack back into the black after dipping into negative territory for the first time since the opening round. 

After again taking a look at the best Australian betting apps and what they have to offer for Round 13, we have picked out our three best predictions in addition to finding you the best odds in the country for what could be three popular player bets.

AFL Round 13 Predictions:

• Brisbane To Beat Adelaide - 2.35 With Ladbrokes
• Richmond Vs Sydney: Under 164.5 Points - 1.90 With PickleBet
• Carlton Vs Essendon: Under 163.5 Points - 1.90 With PlayUp

Adelaide Vs Brisbane, Friday 7:40pm AEST

Adelaide moved above Gold Coast into third place with a very comfortable win in Sydney last weekend, grabbing an even bigger percentage boost than the ones they enjoyed earlier in the month when thrashing Carlton and West Coast. 

They remain fifth favourites to win the Premiership with most betting sites despite their winning form.

That’s due to their inability to beat any side currently higher than seventh-placed GWS on the ladder.

Three of their four defeats this season came against such clubs - Gold Coast, Geelong and Collingwood.

So they desperately need a so-called ‘statement win’ against defending champions Brisbane, who shared the points with them in a draw in the corresponding fixture last year.

Brisbane are averaging 15 points fewer than the Crows and conceding three more this season and those numbers are somewhat distorted by their inability to rack up big wins against weak opposition, with only one of their victories coming by a 40+ point margin (compared with five for Adelaide). 

But they hold a 4-1 record against top-eight sides this year and have been starting strongly in recent weeks, holding a half-time lead in six consecutive matches since their loss to flag-favourites Collingwood. 

That, and an unbeaten record outside of Brisbane that spans nine games, means they are the most appealing underdogs of the weekend. 

Charlie Cameron recorded his third 3+ goal haul of the season last week after going into the game with eight goals from 23 shots.

That is an encouraging improvement in accuracy for a man who has booted 2+ in seven of his eight meetings against his former club. 

Best Bet: Brisbane To Beat Adelaide - 2.35 With Ladbrokes

Player Prop: Charlie Cameron 2+ Goals - 2.55 With Unibet

Richmond Vs Sydney, Saturday 1:20pm AEST

Sydney were eighth in the Premiership market after their first four matches at the same time that Richmond were joint-favourites for the wooden spoon with West Coast.

However, just 13.5 points separate them on AFL betting apps ahead of this early afternoon match at the MCG. 

It will be a meeting between two of the poorest-scoring sides of the competition, with Richmond and Sydney averaging just 68 (18th) and 77 (14th) points per match respectively, which when combined falls well short of the 164.5 main total points handicap.

Of course, their poor defences open up an opportunity for either or both teams to push those scoring averages up.

However, the Swans have managed to keep lower-ranked clubs such as Carlton, Port Adelaide and Essendon fairly quiet throughout the year, as have the Tigers whose last eight games would have paid out for the ‘Under’.

There is no Swans player amongst the 40-odd who average 25 disposals a game this year, meaning you can get some pretty solid prices for all of them.

Chad Warner had a quiet game last week against the Crows, as did many of his team-mates. 

Before that, he was on a three-game streak with 25+ touches including 30 in the win against Carlton.

Best Bet: Richmond Vs Sydney: Under 164.5 Points - 1.90 With PickleBet

Player Prop: Chad Warner 25+ Disposals - 1.87 With Betr

Carlton Vs Essendon, Sunday 7:20pm AEST

One of the league’s newest annual marquee fixtures returns as bitter rivals Carlton and Essendon line up for what will now be a yearly King’s Birthday Eve holiday blockbuster. 

Some betting sites have forecast a score of 89-74 for a total points mark of 163.5, a threshold that has been cleared in only four of Carlton’s 11 games this year and in just one of Essendon’s last nine (a 107-66 loss to Collingwood).

Whilst 163.5 is quite a modest mark with the season average standing at 170 points, it still appears to be a little on the high side based on the two teams’ last couple of months.

There is potential value to be found amongst the disposal markets in the form of Essendon defender Archie Roberts.

He’s fourth in the team for most disposals per game (24.1) behind Zach Merrett, Jye Caldwell and Nic Martin, but he is ahead of both Caldwell and Martin when it comes to success rate for 25+ disposals.

Roberts clears that mark in 60% of his games this year compared with 50% for Martin and Caldwell.

The latter two can rack up some returns in the high 30s, inflating their average, but in terms of getting to 25+, you’ll get a better strike rate and odds on AFL betting sites with Roberts. 

Best Bet: Carlton Vs Essendon: Under 163.5 Points - 1.90 With PlayUp

Player Prop: Archie Roberts 25+ Disposals - 2.15 With Bet365