AFL Betting Tips 2025: Round 15 Best Bets And Betting Trends
Brisbane’s premiership defence is faltering badly, having now failed to win on three occasions this year when starting at odds of 1.20 or shorter.
They have also suffered three defeats at the Gabba. The next seven weeks promise to be decisive, with upcoming fixtures against the Cats, Suns, Bulldogs and Magpies, and a bye scheduled for next weekend.
Patrick Dangerfield is set to become the 25th player to reach 350 V/AFL games, lending sentimental significance to an already crucial Friday night showdown.
A sell-out crowd will wear white T-shirts to honour their club hero and create an intimidating atmosphere for Chris Fagan’s men.
Nevertheless, the Lions are expected to mount a strong challenge as they aim to send a clear message to the rest of the competition.
Their recent defeats to Adelaide and GWS were largely the result of wasteful goalkicking, rather than shortcomings in their midfield or defensive structures.
Thanks to thebest Australian betting sites, here are six of our favourite bets for Round 15 of the 2025 AFL season.
AFL Round 15 Predictions:
- Geelong Vs Brisbane: Either Team By Under 24.5 - 1.91 With Ladbrokes
- Port Adelaide Vs Sydney: Port Adelaide To Win - 1.62 With Picklebet
- Western Bulldogs Vs Richmond: Bulldogs -48.5 points -1.90 With PlayUp
Geelong Vs Brisbane, Friday 7:40pm AEST
Tears of joy will be shed across Kardinia Park on Friday night as the city of Geelong celebrates one of its most cherished adopted sons.
Dangerfield’s 196th appearance for the Cats - and 350th in the league - should provide Geelong with a surge of energy in a clash where motivation will be in no short supply, particularly as a win could open up a six-point gap over the Lions.
Brisbane haven’t been as poor as their back-to-back defeats might suggest.
Chris Fagan has a knack for reigniting his side after brief dips in form, and with the weight of a 13-game losing streak in Geelong looming large, the Lions will be desperate to make a statement.
It’s also worth noting that they’ve covered the line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs, which is why we’re anticipating a close contest - while taking out some insurance for a narrow Brisbane win.
The red-hot Brownlow Medal favourite, Bailey Smith, is currently on a six-game streak of 30+ disposals, following 41 against Essendon and 38 against West Coast.
And while there’ll never be any true ‘overs’ when backing him in disposal markets as a popular favourite, he remains a solid inclusion for same-game multis if you shop around for the best value.
Or, you could just let us do the hard work for you and get odds of 1.63 for Smith to accrue at least 30 possessions with Unibet.
Best Bet: Either Team By Under 24.5 - 1.91 With Ladbrokes
Player Prop: Bailey Smith 30+ Disposals - 1.63 With Unibet
Port Adelaide Vs Sydney, Saturday 4:15pm AEST
Port Adelaide and Sydney meet for the first time since Round 6, when the Power emerged as eight-point winners at the SCG.
Heading into the rematch with the Swans, Port carry a home-ground advantage that has recently seen them triumph over Melbourne, North Melbourne, and Hawthorn.
However, they were outclassed by top-four sides Adelaide and Geelong at the Adelaide Oval during that same stretch.
Port are currently on a two-game winning streak, having conceded just 118 points across those matches. In contrast, Sydney have struggled to produce surprise victories this season, as evidenced by their 1–6 record as underdogs in 2025.
A 44-point win over Richmond masks the reality that the Tigers had more scoring shots and should have made Sydney work much harder for the four points.
Following his career-best haul of seven goals last week, four of Mitch Georgiades’ six instances of kicking 3+ goals have come at the Adelaide Oval.
Let’s back him to do it again on AFL betting sites.
Best Bet: Port Adelaide To Win - 1.62 With Picklebet
Player Prop: Mitch Georgiades 3+ Goals - 2.15 With Bet365
Western Bulldogs Vs Richmond, Sunday 3:20pm AEST
Richmond were thrashed by Sydney last week thanks to a meagre return of 4.12 and can’t afford such inefficiency against the league’s second-most accurate goalkickers (Bulldogs 52.1%).
AFL betting apps are giving the Tigers a 48.5-point head start and we’re expecting that won’t be enough given how the Bulldogs have been treating the worst clubs in the competition of late, with winning margins of 72 (St Kilda), 91 (Essendon), 90 (Port Adelaide) and 71 (St Kilda) amongst their 6-1 record as favourites.
The Tigers tend to lose big as well, being one of just three clubs to have seen at least half of their defeats in 2025 come with a 40+ point margin, whilst they failed to cover the line in a league-high 77% of all fixtures.
It’s hard to make a case for them getting anywhere near a top-eight contender after being outclassed by Sydney, Essendon and North Melbourne and so we’ll be taking the Bulldogs at the line.
Aaron Naughton was still amongst the goals last week despite Sam Darcy’s return to full forward and has booted three goals on six separate occasions.
On top of that, he kicked at least three in five of his last six H2Hs, demonstrating an affinity for Richmond defenders, and he is 3.40 on Australian betting apps to do the same this weekend.
Best Bet: Western Bulldogs -48.5 points - 1.90 With PlayUp
Player Prop: Aaron Naughton 3+ goals - 3.40 With Betr
