AFL Betting Tips 2025: Round 24 Best Bets And Betting Trends
It all comes down to this!
Top-four and top-eight positions are up for grabs right across the weekend after Carlton and Essendon drew the curtain down on their underwhelming campaigns on Thursday night.
There will be fascinating subplots all the way through the weekend's action despite half of the competition already being eliminated.
Three clubs have their entire season at stake in Round 24 and we will be leaning into their desperation from a betting perspective as part of our weekly assessment of the markets offered by the best Australian betting sites.
AFL Round 24 Predictions:
- Gold Coast -24.5 Points Vs Port Adelaide - 1.90 With Picklebet
- Freemantle +21.5 Points Vs Western Bulldogs - 1.90 With Betr
- Hawthorn +7.5 Points Vs Brisbane - 1.90 With Picklebet
Port Adelaide Vs Gold Coast, Friday 8:10pm AEST
There will be sentimental scenes at the Adelaide Oval as Ken Hinkley takes charge of Port Adelaide for the 282nd and final time, whilst club legend Travis Boak bows out just short of 400 appearances.
Hinkley took Port to eight finals campaigns in 13 seasons and this will be the only one where they failed to register 10 wins - even if they beat the Suns.
However, we’re expecting the Suns to break their 12-game losing streak at Adelaide Oval, having gone through what has been their best travelling season (8-5 away from Carrara) by far, though they will have quickly forgotten their last visit to this venue (losing to Adelaide by 61).
The Suns bounced back from their last two defeats in convincing fashion and will come up against a side with the worst success rate at covering the main line (8-14) and are on a five-game losing streak during which they averaged 60 points scored and 116 against.
The emotion of the night won’t be enough to save them against a Suns side pursuing a big victory so that they can manage their end-of-season game against Essendon carefully, which is why we will be backing the Suns at the line with one of our favourite AFL betting apps.
Kane Farrell is averaging 20 possessions per game this year, but he has been improving that number throughout the season, accruing 20+ in seven of his last nine games despite Port winning only two of them.
Best Bet: Gold Coast -24.5 Points To Beat Port Adelaide - 1.90 With Picklebet
Player Prop: Kane Farrell 20+ Disposals - 1.87 With Ladbrokes
Western Bulldogs Vs Fremantle, Sunday 3:15pm AEST
The Bulldogs have home advantage in a potential knock-out game against the Dockers, but a two-day rest disadvantage after last week’s demolition of wooden-spooners West Coast.
Luke Beveridge’s side simply need to win this game by any margin to secure their place in their eighth finals of the coach’s tenure, for they will have a superior percentage to the Dockers irrespective of what happens here, and they would be safe even if the Suns were to win twice and leapfrog them into seventh.
Despite beginning the round seventh, there is no scenario in which the Dockers can make the finals by losing here, so we’re anticipating that Fremantle will be giving their all with a spirited effort enough to at least cover the line of 21.5 - if not cause an upset victory.
Josh Treacy fell out of Coleman Medal contention pretty quickly after a strong opening month, but he has been back amongst the goals recently, kicking multiples in each of his last three games.
His outstanding goalkicking accuracy of 70% in 2025 holds him in good stead, and if he follows that average he will need just three shots to get us a return of 1.88 from Unibet for another 2+ goals.
Best Bet: Freemantle +21.5 Points Vs Western Bulldogs - 1.90 With Betr
Player Prop: Josh Treacy 2+ Goals - 1.88 With Unibet
Brisbane Vs Hawthorn, Sunday 7:20pm AEST
The double chance is on the line for Brisbane and Hawthorn when the weekend ends with one of the most fascinating fixtures of the round.
AFL betting apps have given Hawthorn a 7.5 point start at the Gabba after winning eight of their last 10 matches.
Such has been their overachievement of late, they start this weekend with one of the league’s best success rates (64%, second only to Adelaide) at covering the line.
Brisbane were scintillating when it mattered last week, but consistency has eluded them throughout the year, highlighted by their win rate of just 60% as a home favourite (league average: 76%).
Since they conquered Hawthorn by 33 points in Round 11, they have won just four out of seven games against fellow finals contenders.
That’s perhaps why they’re not back in the top-two for the Premiership betting and we’re thinking the Hawks will be taking this close, potentially even creating a sixth consecutive head-to-head won by the outsiders of the day.
One-season Brisbane player Jack Gunston has already registered his best campaign ever in terms of goalkicking with 60, clearing 3+ goals in seven of his last eight matches.
He will understandably be a popular pick with punters and Bet365 had the best odds for 3+ goals at time of publication.
Best Bet: Hawthorn +7.5 Points Vs Brisbane - 1.90 With Picklebet
Player Prop: Jack Gunston 3+ Goals - 2.33 With Bet365
