Betting Analysis and Predictions: Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators
The Minnesota Wild travels to Ottawa to take on the Senators. The last time these two teams met was on Nov. 2, with the Wild winning their ninth consecutive game against Ottawa.
In that game, Marcus Foligno scored two goals and Kirill Kaprizov got the game-winner at the 2:02 mark of the overtime period to win 5-4. The only longer winning streak one team has over another is also held by the Wild they have 10 consecutive wins against the Anaheim Ducks.
Playing in front of the home fans in Canada’s capital city, you can expect that the Senators will look to end this losing streak. So how should you spend your NHL betting money?
How The Teams Come Into Matchup
The Senators’ offense has gone into hibernation, scoring just 12 goals over their past seven matches in which they have earned a 2-4-1 record. The Senators will have Anton Forsberg between the pipes and who is 10-8-2 and has a solid 2.78 goals-against average.
Forsberg’s counterpart is the Wild’s netminder Cam Talbot, who is 19-10-1 and with 2.91 goals-against average.
The Senators are a sizable +200 home underdog in the betting markets, but I do like them in this matchup tonight. This NHL betting algorithm has earned a 96-61 money line record for 62% winners and has averaged a +114-underdog bet over the past five seasons.
The requirements is to use moneyline to bet on home teams hosting an opponent that scored six or more goals in their previous match and is outscoring their opponents by a minimum of 0.5 goals per game on the season.
The Wild scored seven goals in their win at Edmonton Sunday. They have scored 183 goals and allowed 143 goals in 47 games this season. They are outscoring their opponents by 0.85 goals per game and that is quite an elite accomplishment for the season but works against them in tonight’s matchup.
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Here is a second supporting algorithm that has earned a 64-69 record for 48% winning bets, but by averaging a +155-underdog wager has made a $28,000 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor.
Use the moneyline to bet against favorites that are outscoring their opponents by at least 0.5 goals per game on the season and have seen the Over win the money in four or more consecutive games.
I am on the Ottawa Senators using the moneyline tonight.
