Betting Analysis and Predictions: Montreal Canadiens at Las Vegas Golden Knights
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The Las Vegas Golden Knights look to conclude an eight-game homestand with a win over the struggling Montreal Canadiens when the puck drops at 10:30 p.m. ET at the T-Mobile Arena.
With the Golden Knights priced as a –350 moneyline home favorite, despite winning one home match of their past six is puzzling.
How The Golden Knights and Canadiens Come Into The Game
The Golden Knights are coming off a 5-3 loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins on Monday, a game they were winning 3-0 before allowing five unanswered goals. The Penguins came into that game near the end of a grueling six-game road trip.
A Vegas team that is playing this chaotically and with so many issues at both ends of the ice cannot be trusted as a moneyline favorite, let alone a favorite of more than –300.
The Golden Knights have gone 12-10-2 at home and somehow lead the Pacific Division with 48 points. Making it even more of a head-scratcher is that only the Arizona Coyotes, with 13 home losses and the expansion Seattle Kraken with 12 home losses, have more home losses in the Western Conference.
Montreal has an NHL-worst 3-15-4 road record, which must have the hosts looking forward to this game at the end of the long homestand.
However, you should not be looking forward to laying –350 at the window tonight and instead look at the Canadiens using the puck line.
The Canadiens won their third road game of the season and ended a six-game losing streak in a 5-3 victory at Dallas Tuesday night.
The win was just their second since Nov. 27 and it took a career-best 48 saves by goalie Sam Montembeault, who also heard four rockets clang hard off the crossbar.
Playing The Odds in This Matchup
The NHL betting odds are stacked against the Canadiens winning two consecutive road games, but they do have the potential to lose this matchup by a single goal for a winning puck line ticket.
In the previous meeting with the Golden Knights, the Canadiens lost 5-2 at home as a –115 favorite on Nov 6.
The Canadiens are 9-2, using the +1.5-puck line, revenging a home blowout loss of three or more goals.
The Golden Knights are 15-22 against the puck line coming off a home loss in games played over the past three seasons and 4-10 against the puck line in home games in which the total is six or more goals.
Canadiens at Golden Knights Pick
I like betting huge dogs, splitting my wager into two parts. I’ll put 85% on the puck line at +275 and then bet 15% using the +350 moneyline.
This bet might not win, but this strategy involving huge underdogs will pay off handsomely throughout the entire season.
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