Betting Analysis and Predictions: Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards
When the Toronto Raptors clash with the Washington Wizards at the Capital One Arena in D.C. at 8 p.m. tonight, it will be two teams doing everything they can to stay above .500.
The Raptors are 21-21 straight up (SU), 23-19 against the spread (ATS), and 23-19 over-under for the season. The Wizards are 23-22 SU, with a 19-25-1 ATS record, and a 24-20-1 over-under record.
How Betting Lines Opened for Raptors at Wizards
The NBA betting betting line opened with the Wizards installed as a 1.5-point home favorite and betting flows have favored the Raptors over the course of the day and moving the line to pick-em.
Of the bets placed, the sportsbooks are delighted to know they have 50% of the action for the day on each side.
The total opened at 216.5 points and had climbed to as high as 218.5 before retracing, led by sharp money coming in at 217.5 and more points.
Of the bets placed, 88% of the tickets are betting the over as a winning opportunity, but 54% of the money is on the under, reflecting the sharps hitting the bid at 217.5 points.
How Raptors Enter Game at Wizards
In the 104-99 loss to the Miami Heat on Monday, Raptors’ coach Nick Nurse used only seven players, with Fred VanVleet scoring 18 points and getting 12 assists. OG Anunoby scored 19 points and Pascal Siakam scored 20 as each logged more than 40 minutes.
Van Vleet told the press that this most recent stretch had been a grind, but the team has great locker room chemistry filled with high character players and a great medical staff.
When a team plays so many times using a rotation of seven players, it will eventually lead to minor muscle and ligament strains and flat-out fatigue.
Raptors Big Stat
What I like most about the Raptors is they lead the league in offensive rebounds per game at 13.6. The Raptors will have an increased probability of winning this game the greater the edge they enjoy on the boards.
Nick Nurse is 33-18 ATS following a game in which both teams scored 105 or more points and 44-27 ATS when facing solid shooting teams making at least 46% of their shots.
From my predictive models, expect the Raptors to score at least 111 points and make at least 12 3-point shots.
In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures, they have gone on to s 34-11 SU record, 28-16 ATS record good for 64.4% winning bets, and produced a 39-6 over-under record good for 87% winning over bets in games played over the last five seasons.
I like betting on the Toronto Raptors at pick-em.
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