Betting Angles for Canadians Stroll, Latifi in the Canadian GP

Betting Angles for Canadians Stroll, Latifi in the Canadian GP
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For the first time since 2019, the Canadian Grand Prix at Montreal’s Circuit Gilles Villeneuve is back on the Formula 1 schedule. The Canadian Grand Prix was not held the last two seasons because of the COVID-19 pandemic.  

Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton won the 2019 race, while Sebastian Vettel earned the pole as a member of Ferrari. Hamilton’s win tied him with Michael Schumacher for the most wins in Montreal. But Mercedes has fallen off and Hamilton isn’t expected to contend for the win. Meanwhile, Vettel is now a member of the midfield Aston Martin Racing. 

Only one time has a Canadian won the Canadian Grand Prix. Gilles Villeneuve accomplished the feat as a Ferrari driver in 1978. Villeneuve does not have to worry about a fellow countryman joining him. Nicholas Latifi and Lance Stroll have been nowhere near contending for a win – earning points has been enough of a struggle for both Latifi’s Williams team and Astron Martin for Stroll. 

Latifi and Stroll are tied for the longest odds to win on Sunday at +20000 at FanDuel Sportsbook. At DraftKings, Stroll is +60000 to win, while Latifi has the worst odds at +90000. 

Here’s a breakdown of how each Canadian driver has fared in his home grand prix, and if there are any betting angles worth considering.  

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Lance Stroll 

Stroll has three races at the Canadian Grand Prix and has had some success. 

In 2017, driving for Williams, he started 17th and managed to finish ninth. He had the same starting and finishing positions in 2019 while driving for Racing Point. Stroll only saw issues in 2018 when he crashed on the first lap and had to settle for 19th.  

But the Williams and Racing Point were better cars than what Aston Martin has recently shown. After finishing 10th in both Imola and Miami, Aston Martin brought upgrades to Catalunya in hopes of improving its pace. But those upgrades have yet to result in better results for Stroll. He finished 15th in Catalunya, 14th in Monaco and had to retire the car due to a vibration and settle for 16th in Baku.  

The only bet worth making on Stroll is for him to earn a top 10 finish. He's done it two out of three times in his career at his home grand prix, but it was in a better car. 

Stroll is +350 at DraftKings to finish in the top 10.  

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Nicholas Latifi 

Latifi has never raced at the Canadian Grand Prix. The Montreal native joined Formula 1 in 2020 when the Canadian Grand Prix was on pause due to the coronavirus.  

Regardless of his lack of history, there is no bet worth making on Latifi. He hasn’t finished better than 15th this year and has been lapped in five of the eight races in addition to his DNF at Jeddah. For some context on how slow he is: Latifi is +2200 for a top 10 finish at DraftKings, which is way longer than the rest of the field. Alex Albon has the next longest odds, but his are down to +550.  

The only bet is if he crashes out or fails to finish, but each time I’ve suggested that he’s gone on to finish. For this reason, I’m not betting anything on Latifi.  

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