NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues Predictions, Odds for Feb. 13

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NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. St. Louis Blues Predictions, Odds for Feb. 13

Leafs vs. Blues Preview

The Maple Leafs (26-16-8) are set to take on the St. Louis Blues (28-21-2) tonight at Scotiabank Arena in the first of two meetings between the clubs this season. Toronto has earned a point in back-to-back games against the Blues (1-0-1) while recording a win in three of their last five meetings (3-0-2). The Leafs begin a three game homestand tonight. Toronto has posted a 12-10-2 record on home ice this season. 

Leafs vs. Blues Details

  • Date: Feb. 13, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 p.m. EST
  • Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)
  • How to watch: TV: TSN; Radio: Sportsnet 590

Leafs Insights

The Leafs have lost two of their past three games, coming off a 5-3 road loss to the Ottawa Senators on Saturday. The big story with the Leafs today for those looking to lay down NHL bets is the possible suspension of D Morgan Rielly. The Leafs’ allstar crosschecked the Senators’ Ridly Greig at the end of Saturday’s game after Greig skated in alone and slapped a shot into the Leafs’ empty net to salt the win. Anyone who follows hockey knows that if you pull a stunt like that the other team is going to come at you, and the fact that it was someone like Rielly – not exactly a rough and tumble player – said everything.

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That play has led to a lot of anger in the Leafs’ camp – and just may motivate a team with a reputation as being overpaid and soft, galvanize them in ways fans haven’t seen in years. To quote F Ryan Reaves in yesterday’s media scrum: “Make hockey violent again.” We’ll have to see what happens on the Rielly front in terms of a suspension and fine - he had to fly to New York for a face-to-face hearing with the league - but there’s a feeling in that dressing room that the Leafs always get extra scrutiny because of the interest and money the organization generates – an unfair level of extra attention out of envy, sort of.

🏒 Bet on Blues vs. Maple Leafs at DraftKings 🏒

Their defense is already a weak point – a Rielly suspension will make it that much tougher. D Mark Giordano is listed as day-to-day with a lower body injury, D Conor Timmins is day-to-day with an illness, C David Kampf remains out with an undisclosed injury, and C Calle Jarnkrok remains out with a fractured finger. The good news – G Joseph Woll is back in full practice, according to Sportsnet reporting, dealing with that pesky ankle issue.

Ilya Samsonov is listed as the probable starter in goal tonight. It’s tough to critique Samsonov’s game over the past few weeks since the team brought him back up after a short stint in the minor leagues. He’s 9-4-5, with two shutouts, a 3.38 GAA and .879 SV% overall. 

Blues Insights

The Blues have been coming on of late – winners of two in a row, including a 7-2 beatdown of the Canadiens in Montreal Sunday. They currently sit in the last playoff spot in the Western Conference if the post-season were to start tomorrow, two points up on the Nashville Predators. D Torey Krug had five assists in that Habs game – most in a game by a defenceman in the Blues’ history. That was the Blues’ fifth consecutive road win. The Blues are 7-3-0 in their last ten. Robert Thomas leads the team in points (57) and assists (39) and had a goal and three assists against Montreal.

🏒 Bet on Blues vs. Maple Leafs at FanDuel 🏒

Jordan Binnington is the probable starter for tonight and is having a fine season in goal – 18-15-2, with two shutouts, 2.89 GAA and .908 save percentage.  

Player Props

On the sports betting front, according to BetMGM, Mitch Marner Over 1.5 Points (2.25), Marner Over 0.5 Assists (1.60) and Auston Matthews Over 4.5 Shots (1.78) are among the most bet player props.

At PointsBet Canada, it’s Matthews Anytime Goal Scorer (1.67) and Matthews Over 4.5 Shots on Goal (1.74). 

Leafs vs. Blues Betting Odds: Our Picks & Predictions

  • Moneyline 1.50 (Leafs), 2.65 (Blues)
  • Spread -1.5 2.20 (Leafs), +1.5 1.69 (Blues)
  • Over/Under 6.5 

This is a tight one, on paper anyway. Like we said, Binnington is having a good season, and will be a big factor tonight (plus he was born in the Toronto area, meaning friends and family in the crowd). Most of the bets at BetMGM are leaning Leafs -1.5 (63%) and Leafs on the Moneyline (75%). That’s potentially a good payout on the Leafs’ spread. 

Samsonov has been a wildcard all season, we know, but we think the Leafs will come out pissed off after that Senators’ loss, and the possible Rielly suspension. That situation may have finally, truly awakened the country club. We’re going Leafs ATS.

TonyBetLeafs 1.49, Blues 2.65Leafs -1.5 (2.16), Blues +1.5 (1.70)6.5, 1.88 on the Over, 1.93 on the Under
BetMGMLeafs 1.50, Blues 2.65Leafs -1.5 (2.20), Blues +1.5 (1.70)6.5, 1.95 on the Over, 1.87 on the Under
FanDuelLeafs 1.50, Blues 2.64Leafs -1.5 (2.25), Blues +1.5 (1.67)6.5, 1.96 on the Over, 1.85 on the Under

Odds as 10:00 a.m. EST

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Mark Keast

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