Toronto Raptors vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Analysis and Predictions
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The Toronto Raptors head west to to take on the Phoenix Suns in a game scheduled to tip-off at 9 p.m. ET at the Footprint Center.
The Suns own the best record in the Association at 53-13 straight-up record and 35-31 against the spread, including a 32-33 Over-Under mark.
The Raptors are 35-30 straight-up and 36-29 against the spread, including a 33-32 Over-Under record.
Over their past 10 games, the Raptors are 4-6 straight-up and 3-7 against the spread, including a 2-8 Over-Under mark.
The Suns are on a 7-3 straight-up tear and have covered the spread in just three of those games including an even 5-5 Over-Under clip.
Recent Meetings
The Suns have won the last three meetings with the Raptors and most recently defeated the Raptors 99-95, but failed to cover the spread as 4.5-point road favorites on Jan. 11.
The Raptors had won six consecutive games, but covered just two times against the spread against the Suns from Dec. 5, 2017 through March 3, 2020.
The Suns continue to Win Despite the Mounting Injuries
The Suns have had many injuries over the past two months and seemed to impact every player at one time or another. But NBA betting players have had good luck on them, despite these injuries.
Recently, they did get back superstar Devon Booker, but continue to play without their court general Chris Paul, who is recovering from a thumb injury and is not expected to be back on the court until mid-April.
The Suns have won games by getting out to early leads in the first quarter and rarely play from behind. They rank sixth by scoring 29.09 points in the first quarter and rank fifth defensively allowing 26.39 for the best scoring differential in the first quarter of 2.70 points.
They rank 17 in scoring in the second quarter at 27.44 points, but again their defense is better than advertised and ranks second, allowing just 25.86 points in the second quarter.
The Suns are not a team that relies on the 3-pointer and instead rank fourth by scoring 55.43% of their points from 2-point range and rank 25 by scoring 30.43% of their points from beyond the arc.
The difference between these two teams is immense as evidenced by the Suns fifth-best ranking with a 54.54 effective field goal percentage and seventh-best ranking sporting a 57.77% true shooting percentage.
The Raptors, by contrast, rank 27 with a 50.84 effective filed goal percentage and true shooting percentage at 54.07%.
What Do the Analytics Reveal?The Suns are 50-32 against the spread when taking on an opponent with a winning record over the past two seasons.
They are 27-12 against the spread when playing against team that has won 51 to 60% of their games spanning the past three seasons.
They are 20-8 against the spread in the second half of each of the last two seasons when facing a team that is allowing 108 or fewer points per game.
I am going to the window to bet Phoenix.
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