Monaco Grand Prix Betting Preview, Tips and Odds

Date IconLast Updated: 2022 Dec 14
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Monaco Grand Prix Betting Preview, Tips and Odds

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Quick Bets:

  • Sebastian Vettel to secure a podium finish (top 3) - 15/8 with Bet365
  • No Safety Car - 5/1 with BetVictor
  • Over 16.5 race finishers - 2/1 with Bet365

The Monaco Grand Prix normally carries more prestige and importance than half of an entire Formula 1 season. But with the passing of the legendary Niki Lauda earlier in the week, the event might well be a sombre affair with much of the usual glitz and glamour muted.

As is the tradition in Monaco the opening two practice sessions take place on Thursday. And with Friday being a public holiday in the tiny country, the third practice session and all-important qualifying are staged on Saturday.

With the exception of the staunchest Mercedes fans most Formula 1 betting enthusiasts will be hoping this is the race where Ferrari, Red Bull or an outstanding underdog, break the stranglehold of the German team – where Lauda was the non-executive chairman and a stakeholder in Mercedes Grand Prix Limited.

Can a Huge Price Win the Monaco Grand Prix?

It may be as rare as a snowflake in summertime within Formula 1 but if there is to be a stinker of a result this is the venue where it is most likely to happen. In 1996, during a wet race, just three cars saw the chequered flag with four others classified as finishers by virtue of completing 90 percent of the race laps. 15 other cars did not get beyond lap 66 including six that never completed a single lap. And the winner was Olivier Panis at odds of 300/1.

1982 was a similar story. Once again the rain arrived and chaos ensued; in a bizarre turn of events, four potential race winners either crashed out or ran out of fuel in the last two laps. If there was in-running markets available on Formula 1 betting sites during that era fingers would have been burned to a crisp.

So will there be rain on Sunday to give us the prospect of an incident-packed race? Sadly the current weather forecast says that is unlikely but do take a precautionary look at the latest updates before placing your bets here.

Predicting Monaco Grand Prix Winners

When it comes to Monaco all that has come before bears little relevance. The top speed here is a relative crawl, the circuit is undulating, the inference is on cornering and not high speeds and a barrier-lined circuit with few run-off areas is a recipe for no on-track overtaking attempts and professional racing.

Want proof? The first six cars on the starting grid in 2018 finished 1-2-3-4-5-6 in the very same order in the race. The top starting six also took the top six places in 2017. This has to be taken into consideration when formulating your Formula 1 betting strategy.

Will Max Get the Best from His Bull?

Ultimately the demands of this circuit should work to the strengths of the Red Bull cars who struggle for horsepower on speed circuits but have an excellent record at this circuit. 12 months ago their driver, Daniel Ricciardo, aced every practice session, qualifying and took the race. He also had this race in his pocket in 2016 before a massive pit-crew blunder cost him the winner’s trophy.

The Australian is no longer with the team, he’s been replaced by Pierre Gasly and he has yet to impress in his new role. So the team’s hopes probably rest with Max Verstappen. However, I see no value in him at 4/1 (top-priced at Ladbrokes). He has failed to finish this race in half of his four attempts and never podiumed here. I’m not convinced about him on street circuits and even with a circuit to suit, a Mercedes or Ferrari looks a more likely victor.

Ferrari tasted their last victory here in 2017 when they qualified 1-2 and finished 1-2. And their No. 1 driver, Sebastian Vettel, has an outstanding record here with his form figures reading: 2-1-4-2-R-2-4-1-2. Just what has gone awry with their 2019 season is unclear but they have had the second best car (and results) to date and if Ferrari’s engineers can set it up to prosper around this glorified go-kart track Vettel will make a mockery of Bet365’s 15/8 about a podium finish.

5/1 Too Big About No Safety Car

Our other recommended bets come in stats markets. We like the 5/1 with BetVictor about there NOT being a Safety Car< appearance. There was not one needed in this race 12 months ago and it has stayed parked up in five of the last 17 Monaco Grand Prix.

Of course no safety car appearance means no major crash, and no major crashes increase the likelihood of healthy finishing numbers. There was only one non-finisher in 2018 but five cars dropped out in 2017 and 2016 (meaning 15 finishers).

With four of this season’s races featuring 17+ finishers and mechanical failure now extremely rare, we think the 2/1 about 16.5+ finishers on Sunday is over-priced. 17 finishers in 2015 and 18 in 2011 push average Monaco finishing numbers up to a number just above 16 and that makes the price irresistible.


For latest sports odds and offers check out: 888 Sportsbook Bonus.


Big Prices on Fastest Lap the Play


  • Sergio Perez fastest lap of the race - 300/1 with BetVictor
  • Carlos Sainz fastest lap of the race -125/1 with Ladbrokes
  • Lando Norris fastest lap of the race - 150/1 with Coral

And finally, at a huge price, we recommend you throw some pennies at Sergio Perez in the ‘fastest lap’ market at a whopping 300/1 with BetVictor. The Mexican driver has enjoyed the fastest lap accolade four times during his career and two of those came here at Monaco (in 2012 and 2017). On both occasions, he pitted for all-important fresh tyres at the very end of the race and landed odds of 100/1.

The McLaren is a rapidly improving car and a late pit-stop by one of its drivers remerging with a clear track before them and fresh tyres could also see it surprise in this market.

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    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    8
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    VegasLand sports betting has a huge variety of markets with top licensing from Malta. Obscure, hard-to-find leagues are available here. Free bets and excellent odds on your favourite sports can be found.
  30. 39
    Monster Casino Sports
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    10% Cashback on Sports Betting Losses
    'Wager Wars' Leaderboard & Cash Prizes
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    17
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Monster Casino Sportsbook is the new sports betting offering from this long established casino brand, with a small but select selection of sports to bet on.
  31. 40
    Stake.com Betting
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Betting Partner of UFC, Everton, & Watford FC
    Vast range of sports and markets on offer
    UEFA Champions League and More Live Streaming
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    100
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    38
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    The world's leading crypto sports betting site - Buy and bet with 19 different cryptocurrencies.
  32. 41
    Nine Sports
    Established 2021
    More Details
    Licensed Bookie With Top-Tier Security Protocol
    Tournaments for New and Returning Bettors
    Prompt Payouts Across All Payment Methods
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    16
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    NineCasinos Sportsbook is a fairly new bookmaker that covers dozens of betting markets and various sports events. It allows live sports betting, and offers a generous prize for sports tournaments.
  33. 42
    BetItOn Sportsbook
    Established 2020
    More Details
    Rising Star Operator of the Year' 2021
    Single or Acca Bets Cashout
    ‘BoostItOn’ Accumulator Boosts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    12
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    BetItOn have ex-Liverpool striker and Champions League winner Djibril Cissé as their brand ambassador and resident football expert
  34. Mega Win When Bettors Combine Selections
    Comprehensive Collection of Sports, Including Esports
    Esports Video Streams
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    18
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Neo.Bet is a sportsbook that attracts users with its competitive odds and unique features. Personal bet configurator is one of them. The platform runs smoothly on devices with screens of all sizes.
  35. 44
    Parimatch Sports
    Established 1994
    More Details
    Big Selection of Live Betting Markets
    Clean Interface
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    23
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Casino players are not the only ones spoilt for choice with Parimatch, sports lovers are too. The betting platform features competitive odds on a big selection of sports.
  36. 45
    mr.play Sports
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Distinctive ‘Moustache’ Branding
    ‘PlayBoost’ Accumulator Boosts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    32
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Mr.Play Sports has a fun style of its very own, with a memorable handlebar 'tache wherever you look, but it boasts a serious amount of betting markets, plus Premier League & 'Euro Elite' betting battle tournaments.
  37. 46
    Sportaza Sports
    Established 2021
    More Details
    96% Payout Rate On Top Leagues
    Bitcoin And Other Crypto Payments Available
    Higher Odds Than Other Betting Site Options
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    30
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    -
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Unlike other betting companies, Sportaza appeals to a new generation of customer by gamifying its offering. This means every week, the online bookmaker will host challenges and tournaments where bettors earn points to improve their VIP rank.
  38. 47
    Spinzwin Sport
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Abundance of sports betting markets
    Licensed by UKGC and MGA
    Availability of partial cashouts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    SpinzWin definitely knows how to cut through the noise. The site’s operator has been in business for over a decade, which says a lot.
  39. 48
    Palm Slots Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Crypto-Friendly - Including Bitcoin
    Integrated Casino Wallet
    Leading Esports Betting Provider
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    PALMBET100
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    A new sportsbook to Canada, PalmSlots is operated by NewEra B.V, a trusted brand responsible for Pribet, Cashalot, and FaroUK.
  40. 49
    Mr Mega Sports
    Established 2021
    More Details
    Accumulator Boosts of up to 77%
    Extensive Range of Football Markets
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    15
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    8
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Mr Mega Sports boasts an impressive and easy to use online betting interface, with markets on all major sports and events, plus a wide range of Esports betting markets.
  41. 50
    Betway Sports
    Established 2006
    More Details
    Esports Operator of the Year' 2019
    Rewarding Parlay Club
    Exclusive Esports Club
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    28
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Betway was founded back in 2006, making it one of the experienced brands in the market today. Aside from having a massive selection of sports, the brand excels with esports betting odds.