Premier League Top Four Betting Odds & Predictions: Elite Clubs Set For Big Battle

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Premier League Top Four Betting Odds & Predictions: Elite Clubs Set For Big Battle
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The March international break is upon us and betting sites have tweaked their odds in the Premier League top-four market.

Fifth place may yet be sufficient to qualify for next season’s edition of the Champions League, but bookmakers are sticking with ‘top four’ for now. 

The Premier League clubs involved in the race would be advised to follow suit rather than relying on the potential availability of an extra berth.

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Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City should all advance to Europe’s foremost tournament, but who will join them by rounding off the top four? 

Let’s check out the latest odds before delving deeper into the race for the Champions League.

Tottenham Odds-On Favourites For Final Guaranteed Spot

Tottenham are fifth at the time of writing, but they will wipe out Aston Villa’s three-point lead by winning their game in hand. 

Ange Postecoglou’s side are narrow favourites of teams outside the top three at 5/6 to claim fourth spot, perhaps because Spurs have more experience of qualifying for European competition than Villa in recent years.

The north Londoners delivered one of their worst performances of the season last time out, going down 3-0 to Fulham. 

Postecoglou will hope that was a one-off, but his team still have some tough fixtures on the horizon, including against Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal.

Tottenham have been much better this term than they were last. Now they will aim for only a second fourth-place finish since the days of Mauricio Pochettino.

Aston Villa Hold Slender Advantage As Things Stand

Aston Villa are three points clear of Tottenham right now, but they have played one game more. 

Unai Emery’s side are priced at 5/4 by betting apps to finish fourth, which would be a fantastic achievement given this is the manager’s first full season at the helm.

There is no doubt that Villa have punched above their weight this term, but missing out on the Champions League from here would be a major disappointment. 

A 4-0 home defeat by Tottenham earlier this month arguably handed the initiative to the club from the capital.

Villa must also face the three title contenders, Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool, before the end of the campaign.

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Manchester United Have Ground To Make Up In Race For Fourth

Manchester United have not given up hope of qualifying for the Champions League, but they will be hoping that fifth place is sufficient. 

They are six points behind Tottenham in that position and a further three off fourth-placed Aston Villa, albeit with a game in hand. 

United are on a high after their 4-3 victory over Liverpool in the FA Cup quarter-finals, but they have been plagued by inconsistency in the Premier League. 

Erik ten Hag’s side are capable of veering from the sublime to the ridiculous - often in the same half of football. 

United are struggling at both ends of the field. Only five teams have scored fewer goals, while the Red Devils rank second for shots conceded per game. That is why they are only 10/1 to claim fourth.

Chelsea And Newcastle Rank Outsiders For The Position

Chelsea and Newcastle United are both available at 100/1 on football betting sites, which demonstrates how unlikely either team is to finish in the top four.

The Blues are through to the last four of the FA Cup but they have underperformed in the Premier League in Mauricio Pochettino’s debut season in the dugout. 

Currently 11th, they have a mammoth 17-point deficit to Aston Villa in fourth (Chelsea have, however, played two fewer matches).

Newcastle are a point better off, but their defensive struggles will prevent them replicating last season’s fourth-place finish.

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Neither Brighton Nor West Ham Will Close Such Large Gaps

Brighton & Hove Albion and West Ham United are available at 500/1, but not even the most optimistic Seagull or Hammer would consider placing a wager on a top-four finish for their side.

Brighton are 14 points behind Aston Villa with a game in hand, but they have not been able to string a sustained run of positive results together in 2023/24. 

West Ham are 12 points shy of fourth place - and that too looks like an insurmountable margin at this stage.

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Greg Lea

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