Premier League Top Four Odds: Who Will Grab The Coveted Spots?
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Manchester City are now priced at just 1/100 with betting sites to secure a top four finish after making a superb start to this season.
However, the other three places are very much up for grabs, with Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham, Chelsea and Manchester United all jostling for position.
Arsenal and Spurs have come flying out of the blocks, while United are resurgent after rattling off four consecutive wins.
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Liverpool and Chelsea have started the season in a sluggish fashion, but their squads are brimming with world-class talent, so this race could go down to the wire.
You can find the updated odds below, followed by our analysis of each team’s chances of more than likely securing Champions League football in 2023.
Premier League Top Four Odds
Friday 25th November 2022
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|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% Chance | ||||||||
| Manchester City | 99.50% | 1/200 |
-- | 1/250 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Arsenal FC | 94.07% | 1/18 | 1/16 | 1/18 | 1/20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Liverpool FC | 61.92% | 4/7 | 8/13 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 45.45% | 11/10 | 6/5 | 11/10 | 11/10 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Manchester United | 42.19% | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 11/8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Newcastle United | 42.11% | 11/8 | 5/4 | 5/4 | 11/8 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Chelsea FC | 22.22% | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 10/3 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 4.76% | 16/1 | 16/1 | 20/1 | 14/1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Crystal Palace | 0.79% | 66/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| Aston Villa | 0.50% | 150/1 | 200/1 | 150/1 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Team
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Liverpool
The Reds were priced at just 1/10 with most football betting sites to secure a top four finish at the start of the season.
After all, they have not finished outside the top four since 2016, and they racked up an impressive haul of 92 points last term.
However, Liverpool have made a slow start to the current campaign. They currently sit eighth in the standings, with two wins, three draws and one defeat from six matches.
They have missed Sadio Mané’s energy and drive in attack, while new arrival Darwin Núñez has not exactly hit the ground running.
Injuries have piled up, and the form of Trent Alexander-Arnold and Joe Gomez has caused consternation in certain sections of the fan base.
As such, Liverpool are no longer a shoo-in for a top four place, but they are best priced at just 3/10 to be playing Champions League football next season.
Arsenal
UK bookmakers have slashed the odds on Arsenal securing a top four finish after the Gunners won six of their first seven games of the season.
The only defeat thus far came at Old Trafford. Mikel Arteta’s men looked sharp in that match, but they missed chances and they were ultimately caught on the counterattack by Marcus Rashford and Christian Eriksen.
That is the one blip in an otherwise superb start to the season. They bounced back by breezing to a 3-0 away win against Brentford on Sunday, which saw the Gunners return to the top of the table.
Marquee summer signing Gabriel Jesus has led the charge, providing four goals and three assists in his first seven games.
At the other end of the pitch, the emergence of French centre-back William Saliba has made Arsenal far more solid, helping them keep three clean sheets so far.
One potential issue is a lack of depth, as the Gunners look particularly vulnerable when Thomas Partey is injured, but the early signs are promising.
They are now just 1/3 with some bookies to finish in the top four, although you can still get 4/9 at bet365.
Next up, they face Spurs in the North London Derby, and the result of that game will probably cause the odds to shift.
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Tottenham
Spurs are one of just two unbeaten teams in the Premier League so far, along with the mighty Man City.
Antonio Conte’s men have picked up five wins and two draws from seven games, and they will be full of confidence after thumping Leicester 6-2 recently.
Son Heung-Min’s goal drought was a minor cause for concern, but he roared back to form by coming off the bench and firing in a hat-trick.
Harry Kane has displayed exceptional form at the start of the season, while Dejan Kulusevski and Richarlison have also impressed.
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Conte now has the personnel to play his favoured three-at-the-back formation, with Ivan Perišić and Ryan Sessegnon operating as wing-backs.
Pierre-Emile Jøbjerg and Rodrigo Bentancur are solid in the midfield, and there is quality on the bench, so these are exciting times for Spurs fans.
They are best priced at 2/5 with BetVictor to finish in the top four, so the bookmakers believe it could be City, Liverpool, Arsenal and Spurs representing England in the Champions League next season (barring if two teams from outside the top four finishers win both the Champions League and Europa League).
Chelsea
Chelsea broke a Premier League record by splashing out more than £250m on new arrivals in the summer.
Only one club in history - Real Madrid in 2019 - has ever embarked on a more lavish spending spree in a single transfer window.
It was needed, as Chelsea finished 19 points behind City and 18 points behind Liverpool last season, and then bade farewell to Antonio Rüdiger, Andreas Christensen, Romelu Lukaku and Timo Werner.
Thomas Tuchel had a lot of new players to assimilate, and he clashed with new owner Todd Boehly, so he was sent packing in the wake of a shock 1-0 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb.
The club brought in the impressive Graham Potter from Brighton to replace him, and Boehly has assured the new manager that his job is safe even if he fails to secure a top four finish.
Chelsea are currently seventh in the standings, with three wins, a draw and two defeats from six matches, and there is plenty of time for Potter - a more attack-minded coach than Tuchel - to turn things around.
However, the Blues are 6/5 underdogs with William Hill to secure a top four place in this ultra-competitive league.
Man Utd
The Red Devils are 7/5 outsiders with Betfair to end up in the top four this season, which looks very tempting when you consider their recent form.
They made a disastrous start to the campaign, losing 2-1 at home to Brighton and then suffering a humiliating 4-0 away defeat to Brentford.
New manager Erik ten Hag then took decisive action, dropping star forward Cristiano Ronaldo and captain Harry Maguire to the bench, and it transformed the team’s fortunes.
Since then, United have rattled off consecutive wins against Liverpool, Southampton, Leicester and high-flying Arsenal.
New arrivals Antony, Casemiro, Lisandro Martínez and Tyrell Malacia should continue to improve the team’s performance levels, and ten Hag is convinced they can challenge City for the title.
However, a 1-0 defeat to Real Sociedad last time out provided a reality check, and there is still a lot of work for the Dutch manager to do, so United remain underdogs in the top four battle.
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