Love Island 2025 Odds: Ben & Andrada Facing Exit, Harrison & Lauren In Danger

Love Island looks set to boot out another couple early this week, and most of the pairings are still reeling from Casa Amor and Movie Night fallout.
The best betting sites have updated their odds accordingly and there are new favourites for an early exit.
At the end of Sunday night's episode, narrator Iain Stirling asked viewers to vote for the most compatible couple, and admitted those with the fewest votes will be at risk of being dumped from the Island.
However, as we know from previous series, the pairing with the fewest votes won't necessarily be axed.
Producers seem to chop and change between whether they want someone dumped via public vote, or via a decision from the islanders themselves.
There is a competitive market on betting apps for predicting who will be eliminated next.
However, if the islanders have to pick one pairing out of two or three voted among the least compatible couples, then some of the originals might be saved.
Andrada Departure?
There seems to be more incompatible couples than compatible pairings at this stage of the series, and Andrada Pop and Ben Holbrough look to be in the most danger of being dumped next.
The couple have clashed several times since returning from Casa, with Ben becoming increasingly frustrated with Andrada for 'getting involved' in others' affairs, particularly as she showed interest in getting to know Dejon Noel-Williams.
Should the islanders have a say in who leaves, Dejon’s partner, Meg Moore, may be eager to see Andrada eliminated, fearing she could steal her partner away.
Andrada and Ben are 5/4 favourites to depart the villa next, but Lauren Wood and Harrison Solomon aren't too far behind at 11/8.
Love Island Odds 2025: Which Couple Will Be Dumped Next?
Couple | Odds | Probability |
Andrada Pop & Ben Holbrough | 5/4 | 44.4% |
Lauren Wood & Harrison Solomon | 11/8 | 42.1% |
Billykiss Azeez & Boris Vidovic | 6/4 | 40% |
Toni Laites & Cach Mercer | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Emma Munro & Conor Phillips | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Helena Ford & Harry Cooksley | 3/1 | 25% |
Shakira Khan & Ty Isherwood | 7/2 | 22.2% |
Meg Moore & Dejon Noel-Williams | 4/1 | 20% |
Yasmin Pettet & Jamie Rhodes | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Lucy Quinn & Tommy Bradley | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Harrison has been drawn back to his ex Toni Laites since returning from Casa with Lauren on his arm.
At the conclusion of Sunday night's episode, he took Toni onto the terrace, and Lauren quickly realised their whereabouts, which left her in tears.
Meanwhile, Toni asked Harrison to "get rid" of Lauren and reunite with her.
At the end of the chat, she jokingly said: "I hate you," and he replied: "I love you, too."
Toni said: "No you don't," and Harrison blew her a kiss.
The credits rolled with Harrison stroking Toni's hand, while Lauren continued to cry downstairs.
If Harrison and Lauren are voted as one of the least compatible couples - putting them in danger of being dumped - they could be saved by some of their fellow islanders who might be keen to see him recouple with Toni.
Toni and Cach are just 15/8 to go next, while Billykiss Azeez and Boris Vidovic - who haven't had much airtime since Casa - are 6/4.
Spanner In The Works
Conor Phillips and Emma Munro are just 2/1 to be dumped next, after he scored a potential own goal towards the end of Sunday night's episode.
He suggested to Shakira Khan that they could hook up, and she said it was a "spanner in the works" in her and Ty Isherwood's new romance.
However, this could also be an issue in terms of both pairings receiving compatible couple votes from the public.
Love Island Odds 2025: Top Female
Female | Odds | Betting Site |
Shakira Khan | 2/1 | |
Lucy Quinn | 3/1 | |
Megan Moore | 5/1 | |
Toni Laites | 5/1 | |
Helena Ford | 8/1 | |
Yasmin Pettet | 18/1 | |
Emma Munro | 20/1 | |
Billykiss Azeez | 33/1 | |
Andrada Pop | 66/1 | |
Lauren Wood | 80/1 |
(Odds correct at time of publication: 10.30am - 14/7/2025)
Despite this, if Conor and Emma and Shakira and Ty are facing potential elimination and the islanders get to choose who goes, the two pairings might be saved to give Conor and Shakira a chance to recouple.
Betting sites appear to believe that Shakira is unlikely to leave anytime soon.
She is into 2/1 favourite with Betfred, from 4/1 late last week to be this year's Top Woman.
But Shakira and Ty are out to 4/1 with William Hill to be this year's Top Couple.
Lucy And Tommy Still On Top
Lucy Quinn and Tommy Bradley remain 5/2 to win Love Island series 12, but he has drifted in the Top Man market.
Tommy is now 11/4 with Bet365 from a best price of 9/4 late last week.
He has been slowly drifting ever since he brought Lucy back from Casa Amor, which meant his ex Emily Moran was dumped from the Island.
Love Island Odds 2025: Top Male
Male | Odds | Betting Site |
Tommy Bradley | 11/4 | |
Ty Isherwood | 5/1 | |
Dejon Noel-Williams | 5/1 | |
Harry Cooksley | 8/1 | |
Harrison Solomon | 9/1 | |
Cach Mercer | 14/1 | |
Conor Phillips | 14/1 | |
Jamie Rhodes | 20/1 | |
Boris Vidovic | 25/1 | |
Ben Holbrough | 80/1 |
(Odds correct at time of publication: 10.30am - 14/7/2025)
Tommy and Lucy haven't had a huge amount of screen time since returning from Casa together, apart from nightly smooches in bed, but they look the least likely to be dumped next at 8/1.
However, that price may seem considerable if the public choose to exact revenge on Tommy for Emily's elimination.
Elsewhere, Dejon and Meg - who have been together since day one - are the only couple to have officially closed things off.
Love Island Odds 2025: Top Couple
Couple | Odds | Betting Site |
Lucy Quinn & Tommy Bradley | 5/2 | |
Shakira Khan & Ty Isherwood | 4/1 | |
Helena Ford & Harry Cooksley | 4/1 | |
Megan Moore & Dejon Noel-Williams | 9/2 | |
Yasmin Pettet & Jamie Rhodes | 8/1 | |
Toni Laites & Cach Mercer | 20/1 | |
Billykiss Azeez & Boris Vidovic | 28/1 | |
Andrada Pop & Ben Holbrough | 50/1 | |
Lauren Wood & Harrison Solomon | 50/1 |
However, they have been up and down since, with Dejon even saying to Meg he can still change his mind about being closed off - leaving her in tears.
Despite this, it would be a shock if they were picked as one of the least compatible couples, even if the bookies still aren't convinced.
Meg and Dejon are 9/2 to win this year's Love Island, just behind 4/1 joint-second favourites Helena Ford and Harry Cooksley, and Shakira and Ty.
* Reminder: Some of these are hypothetical odds provided by industry experts.