Super Bowl Bets: Three Betting Tips For Chiefs vs Eagles
Super Bowl Betting Tip:
- Kansas City Chiefs To Win The 2023 Super Bowl - 5/6 with Betfair
- Noah Gray To Score An Anytime Touchdown - 6/1 with Ladbrokes
- Patrick Mahomes To Be The Super Bowl MVP - 5/4 with Bet365
All roads lead to State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, this weekend for NFL fans as the NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles take on their AFC counterparts, the Kansas City Chiefs, in Super Bowl LVII on Sunday.
Betting sites have odds for hundreds of markets ranging from all your favourites - handicap, moneyline, touchdown scorers - to Super Bowl MVP and how long the National Anthem will take.
There’s such a wide selection of odds and lines that you might not know where to start.
That’s why we’re going to take a look at some of the in-game and off-the-field unique betting opportunities offered for the biggest game of the season...
What Is The Super Bowl?
Played every year since 1967, the Super Bowl is the clash between the winner of the National Football Conference and the American Football Conference to decide the champion team of the NFL.
The New England Patriots have played in the most Super Bowls (11), winning six of them, all since 2001. Along with the Pittsburgh Steelers, they share the record for the most league titles.
The Los Angeles Rams won it last year in their home stadium, beating the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl LVI, but it’s going to either Philadelphia or Kansas City this season as they’re the last two standing ahead of Sunday’s season finale.
Who Will Win?
The markets on the best NFL betting sites clearly show that this is a very evenly matched contest between the two best teams in the league this season.
The Chiefs topped the AFC standings and Eagles did the same in the opposing conference.
However, you could look at their respective schedules and consider the win-loss records of the teams they faced and come away with some questions about tough the path has been here.
That question nags with particularly intensity on the green side of this match-up as the toughest opponent Philly may have faced in the regular season was the Detroit Lions way back in Week 1.
The playoffs have done little to dispel those questions because they’ve played a Giants team that was playing with house money having surpassed all expectations for the season by making it to the Divisional Round and a Niners team hamstrung by injuries in the Conference Championship game.
The Chiefs haven’t had a very tough run either, but we have plenty of data to support their case from previous seasons, where Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid have led them to victories against all challengers.
Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni still need to show us they can do that.
Until they do, I cannot bet against Patrick Mahomes here. The Chiefs to win is a solid option at the price of 5/6 and we’re tempted to look at them to win by a margin if Philly fall behind early.
Who Will Score?
The offensive biases of these teams show up in the touchdown scorer markets.
Kansas City’s game-breaking tight end Travis Kelce is favourite to notch the game’s first six-pointer having become Mahomes’ top target in the post-Tyreek Hill era.
While everyone knows he’s going to see targets, no one’s stopped him this season.
On the other side of the field, Miles Sanders and Jalen Hurts lead the market because of their threat on the ground.
The Eagles juggernaut is powered by the efficiency of their run game, where Sanders has been the lead back and Hurts threatens as a runner and a passer.
The pair account for over 2,000 combined rushing in the regular season and 24 touchdowns on running plays alone. They also have four scores between them in the two postseason games so far.
If you fancy the Chiefs, Kelce is going to be involved in any win, so it makes sense to lean his way in the First TD Scorer market at odds of 6/1 with UK bookmakers.
Sanders is marginally preferred over Hurts if your more inclined to the Eagles.
For a bigger price, Kelce’s back-up, Noah Gray, is an appealing anytime touchdown option at 6/1 with Ladbrokes because the Chiefs have some injuries at receiver and this is the game where you break out surprise plays.
The 23-year-old had just one score in the regular season on 28 receptions but has hauled in almost everything thrown his way and could be the kind of random name that crops up on the big stage.
Who will be Super Bowl MVP?
The odds are heavily in favour of the winning quarterback historically, though four of the last nine winners have been either linebackers or receivers, including last year’s recipient Cooper Kupp.
Mahomes and Hurts are the standout options at 5/4 and 13/10 respectively with Bet365.
Concerns about the impact of Mahomes’ high-ankle sprain have dissipated following his performance against the Bengals in the AFC title game and he has shown, even if his movement is hampered, he can still play better in the pocket than many starters in the league.
Hurts is a greater dual threat than the Chiefs’ passer, but in the event the Eagles fall behind, he could find his running opportunities limited and there are still doubts around his throws.
While Travis Kelce is the likeliest scorer in the game, he’s a 12/1 play for this award.
The 33-year-old has had some mammoth statlines this season, but does have to contend with history too, as no tight end has ever taken home the award.
If the Eagles can get to Mahomes with their pass rush, the sack-machine Haason Reddick should figure in the final tally.
He had 16 sacks in the regular season, has added 3.5 more in the postseason and is generously priced at 28/1 if Philly’s defence begins to dictate the game flow.
Stand-out Super Bowl Props
Given Philadelphia’s last appearance in the big game tempting 10/1 available with Betfair on there to be a quarterback reception grabs my eye.
The Eagles might not have Nick Foles this time around, but his spirit will live on if either side pulls off a trick play in homage to the Philly Special of Super Bowl LII.
There’s also 10/1 available with that there’ll be overtime played. It’s only happened once in the history of the game, when the Patriots broke Atlanta’s Falcons with the comeback of all comebacks in Super Bowl LI, but rarely has there been as evenly matched pairing, so the odds are tempting.
In a similar vein, if you fancy the last play of regulation to be a game-winning field goal, with odds of 9/1 on that. Again, it’s a worth a look in a game that figures to be tightly balanced.
Another angle that intrigues is how the coaches use their reviews and timeouts.
Andy Reid, future Hall of Fame coach that he is, is also notorious for his profligacy with timeouts and poor clock management generally, while Eagles HC just isn’t that experienced and looks liable to get caught up in the moment when the pressure is on.
As such, betting apps are offering 19/20 that the first coach’s challenge of the game will be unsuccessful and cost their team a timeout.
And finally, if you’d rather root for history than either side, you could always take the 12/1 on the game finishing with a “scorigami” - that is a unique scoreline that has never happened in an NFL game before.
There have been three so far this season - Seahawks 48, Lions 45; Cowboys 54, Colts 19; Bengals 22, Patriots 18 - and the most recent Super Bowl to finish with one was the Seahawks’ demolition of the Broncos in LVIII, 43-8.
The proliferation of two-point conversion attempts and added difficulty to extra-point attempts is a factor here, and we wouldn’t rule it out.
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