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Super Bowl Bets: Who Will Win The Vince Lombardi Trophy in 2023?

Super Bowl Bets: Who Will Win The Vince Lombardi Trophy in 2023?
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Super Bowl Betting Tip:


And so we’re down to the final four in the NFL. 32 teams have become 14, then eight and now there’s just a pair of teams left in each conference who can lay their hands on the Lombardi Trophy this season.

That means there’s just two more games before pro football’s pinnacle, Super Bowl LVII, kicks off at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona on February 12, 2023. 

Of course, betting sites have up-to-second odds on who’ll be making confetti snow angels on the artificial turf in a few weeks time. 

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What Is The Super Bowl?

Played every year since 1967, the Super Bowl is the clash between the winner of the National Football Conference and the American Football Conference to decide the champion team of the NFL.

The New England Patriots have played in the most Super Bowls (11), winning six of them, all since 2001. Along with the Pittsburgh Steelers, they share the record for the most league titles.

The Los Angeles Rams are the current holders having beaten the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl LVI in February 2022. 

They won’t defend their crown this season having failed to make the postseason, but their opponents in last season’s show-piece are still very much contenders to go a step further.

Which of the awesome foursome remaining will go all the way?

Super Bowl LVII Betting Odds
Thursday 26th January 2023
Unibet Bet365 Ladbrokes
 
% Chance
Philadelphia Eagles 29.41%
--
3.40 3.25
Cincinnati Bengals 28.57%
--
3.50 3.50
Kansas City Chiefs 26.67%
--
3.70 3.75
San Francisco 49ers 23.53%
--
4.20 4.25
Team % Chance Best Odds
PHI
29.41%
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3.40 Bet365
CIN
28.57%
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3.50 Bet365
KC
26.67%
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3.70 Bet365
SF
23.53%
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18+, T&C's Apply. https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/ Disclaimer: Bet365 does not offer bonus codes in Australia and this referral code does not grant access to offers
4.20 Bet365
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Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have once again made it to the semi-final stage of the Super Bowl tournament, their fifth consecutive appearance.

Their progress to this stage had been unerringly serene up to the Divisional Round despite the loss of Tyreek Hill in the offseason. 

They won a seventh straight AFC West and claimed the top seed in the conference while outlasting long-time challengers Buffalo at the top of the Super Bowl odds market. 

The trouble is they lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes in the first half of last week’s game against Jacksonville, the Mahomes injury was later diagnosed as a high-ankle sprain and which comes with a multi-game recuperation for mere mortals.

Patrick Mahomes

The presumptive league MVP returned to the game just after half-time having missed a chunk of the second quarter and played the rest of the game, avoided any sacks and led his team to 27-20 victory on one leg, more-or-less.

It’s being reported he’ll play again this week against Cincinnati despite the ailment. 

How much it impinges on his mobility a week later is open to speculation but it has certainly affected the betting market as the Chiefs now rank as third favourites for the Super Bowl, albeit in a startlingly tight market. 

The best NFL betting sites price them at 3.75 when they would’ve almost certainly have been favourites in the market were Mahomes fully healthy.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Chiefs are also playing a team that’s beaten them three times in-a-row in the AFC title game, and that might be a factor too.

The Bengals knocked off KC on the first Sunday of 2022 in Cincinnati in stunning fashion before quarterback Joe Burrow led them to an even more unexpected victory a few weeks later in the AFC title game, 

They added a third victory over Andy Reid’s team in Week 13 this season, one of just three the Chiefs have suffered. 

As impressive is how capably they’ve coped with adversity - and even thrived during it - this season. 

Star receiver Ja’Marr Chase, their most explosive player, suffered a hip injury that could’ve torpedoed their campaign after a slow start. 

Instead, they got better when he was out, and have romped down the stretch with Chase back catching passes from Joe Burrow.

Last week, without a number of their starting offensive linemen, they took out the pre-season favourite Buffalo Bills and shut down Josh Allen’s array of weapons on home-turf. 

That has to concern even the unflappable Mahomes given his ankle woe.

Cincinnati are slight road favourites for their showdown with the Chiefs at the moment, though the line has fluctuated throughout the week. 

That status is reflected in the current Super Bowl odds too, where they’re 3.5 shots with Betfair.

Betfair SP Beat The Best Tote By 11.9% Last Spring

AFC Title Game Bets

And while it breaks a lot of conventional betting wisdom to go against Mahomes in Arrowhead as an underdog, the line of -1 point the Bengals need to cover is too small given the indeterminate state of KC’s most crucial player. 

The Bengals have been great since a very slow start, have a quarterback who is just as likely to produce magic as Mahomes and a defence that can exploit his difficulties. The Bengals are a good bet this week on the handicap at 2.0.

If you would prefer a bigger price in the game, they don’t get much bigger than Samaje Perine at 21.0 for the First Touchdown with Bet365

He plays second fiddle to Joe Mixon in the Cincinnati backfield, and has just nine post-season carries so far compared to his partner’s 31, but they both have five receptions each in that span which is what catches the eye here. 

He had four receiving TDs in the regular season - admittedly three of those scored when Mixon was hurt - but the opportunity could be there for him at a big price.

Philadelphia Eagles

The margins in the NFC are just as fine according to UK bookmakers.

The Eagles entered the playoffs as a somewhat under-the-radar entity despite topping the conference and claiming the Super Wild Card Weekend bye.

That was largely due to the injury suffered by their MVP-contending QB Jalen Hurts.

He led them to a 10-0 start but an injury in Week 15 to his shoulder put their championship hopes in doubt and meant some may have overlooked them coming into the playoffs.

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They declared at 38-7 and were never threatened by the G-Men. Indeed, you might worry that it was too easy given who they face next.

They didn’t need to use the passing game against New York but almost certainly will be forced to make plays down the field against the Niners’ league-best rushing defence.

Hurts has shown he can make plays with AJ Brown, Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert catching passes, and home advantage could be crucial as the top seeds and current 3.25 Super Bowl favourites with Australian betting sites. 

San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy

Seventh round rookie Brock Purdy came through another test last week against Dallas to make it to the NFC decider.

Many have been waiting for an occasion to overwhelm the unlikely focal point of the Niners offence and the Cowboys’ defence, one of the best units in the league, certainly put it up to the third-string passer in the Divisional Round.

Just one touchdown for a Niners offence that had been blitzing opponents with ease tells a story in itself. Dallas will regret the wayward play of Dak Prescott all off-season in a very tight game.

That does nothing to undermine the achievement of Kyle Shanahan in scheming around the losses of Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo to make the last pick of 2022’s NFL draft a potential Super Bowl starting QB.

If Purdy can continue to find the open receivers and hand off the ball to Christian McCaffrey, Elijah Mitchell and occasionally Deebo Samuel without turning it over, he could become the first ever rookie quarterback to start a Super Bowl. 

McCaffrey was shown tending to calf injury during last week’s game and would be a loss against the Eagles’ so-so run defence. 

Whoever can run the ball best will control this game and go along way to deciding the NFC Super Bowl representative. 

The Niners are currently the marginal outsiders of the remaining four teams, at odds of 4.5 at Unibet, though that’s largely down to the Eagles having home advantage in Sunday’s game.

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NFC Title Game Bets

It looks to me like the home advantage factor could be overestimated here. 

Yes, it will be cold, yes, it will be hostile, and, yes, Brock Purdy won’t have seen much like this before, but he hasn’t looked fazed so far by much so why should we expect it here?

The Niners also have a defence to close down the Eagles run game, a factor that should mean this is a very tight, close game at the very least and which should help ease the burden on the inexperienced Niners passer. The Niners +2.5 at 1.91 is the side to be on here.

For a scorer bet, Purdy and full-back Kyle Juszczyk both appeal in the Anytime market. 

The quarterback has shown a willingness to run and nimble feet that could come in useful at the goalline and he’s 8.0 to run one in with Betfair. 

The Niners full-back could be an unlikely hero for San Francisco should Shanahan dial up something special to catch the Eagles defence out and 14.0 to score is far too big a price.

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