Soccer Betting Strategy: League Top Scorer Market

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Soccer Betting Strategy: League Top Scorer Market

Top Goalscorer betting is available on most of soccer leagues and tournaments, ranging from the World Cup to the MLS Cup. To win on any League Top Scorer market, you simply pick the player who is going to score the most goals throughout that particular campaign.

It could be the Premier League Top Scorer, it could be the Champions League Top Scorer, or it might even be a tournament like the World Cup - where you’re betting on who will win perhaps the most coveted Golden Boot of them all.

How to Bet on the Top Scorer Market

Most online betting sites offer Top Goalscorer betting odds on all the major competitions, like the Premier League, Spain’s La Liga, the German Bundesliga, French Ligue 1, Italian Serie A, and the Champions League, Europa League, and World Cup.

It’s easy to find these betting markets on any top soccer betting site, with these opportunities usually listed under “Outright Betting”. Once you’ve found the betting, you can then scan through the list of players in the running for Top Scorer and bet on who you think will get the most goals.

There is usually the option to either place a bet “to win” or a bet to “each-way”, with a bookmaker typically offering place terms of ¼ odds for the first four places. If you back a player “to win” in the League Top Scorer market, it means that you will only win if they score more goals than any other player throughout the competition.

If you back them “each-way”, then you can enjoy a return on your bet should they feature in the first four places, although bear in mind that each-way betting means that you have to bet two different stakes; one on the win market and one on the place market.

If you back a player to be Top Scorer in the league each-way, and they win, then you will get paid out on the win and place part of your bet. However, it’s only worth betting each-way if the odds are right - if a player is 2/1 to be Top Scorer, for example, an each-way bet would make less sense than if a player was as big as 16/1.

How to Win on League Top Scorer Markets

When betting on the Premier League top scorer market, for example, the first thing to note is that the winner of this soccer betting market nearly always plays for a top six team. In fact, it’s usually a top four team - it makes sense that the best teams in the division are going to have the best forwards and score the most goals.

It’s also important to look at form from previous years - Harry Kane has scored goals for several successive seasons in a Tottenham shirt, and looks like the closest thing to guaranteed goals at Premier League level, although that is often reflected in the price.

You should also pay attention to other information, like what players are likely to be on penalty duties, which can often account for several goals during the course of a season. This is also the case when betting on a soccer tournament like the World Cup, where Kane’s penalties for England helped him land a Golden Boot in 2018.

Is League Top Scorer Betting Risky?

When you back a team to win a soccer league, you don’t have to worry about a specific player getting injured. While a team experiencing lots of injury problems might affect their overall chances, they can always field 11 players and stand a chance of winning.

If you play the Top Scorer market instead, and your selection gets a long-term injury, that’s that long-term bet over. Sometimes it can work in your favour though, when one of your players’ main rivals sustains an injury, which increases the chance of your bet winning.

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Can I Bet on Top Scorer During the Season?

Top Goalscorer betting is classically an ante-post market, but these markets are generally also available on a week-to-week basis. So you don’t have to bet on a player before a ball is kicked, only to find that they aren’t actually getting a game this season. It’s actually worth taking a watching brief during the first few weeks of a soccer season and understanding which players are in the best form.

You might notice something like one team getting a difficult run of fixtures for example, which could see them scoring less early on, and could cause the Top Scorer prices on their forwards to drift.

But you may also see that the second half of the season is all about goals for that side, so you can pick up those longer odds during the team’s tough period, and watch the goals come in when it all gets easier.

It’s pretty common to see big-priced players run into the frame in League Top Scorer betting, so it pays to look outside the favourites and identify someone who can put a scoring run together.

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Matthew Glazier

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