Football Betting Strategy: Transfer Specials

Date IconLast Updated: 2024 Mar 14
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Football Betting Strategy: Transfer Specials

In recent years, the bookies have branched out when it comes to their football betting markets. Not only can punters bet on the individual matches or outright markets like Premier League winner odds, you can now also bet on football specials markets and that includes transfer specials which always seem to attract the interest of customers.

After all, each year we have two transfer windows when there’s a huge amount of business done between clubs all over the world, with the summer window especially busy when it comes to players departing one club for another, while the January window also offers an opportunity for teams to make key recruitments ahead of a late push in the second half of the season.

Throughout the year, there is always plenty of transfer speculation and several online bookmakers offer customers the chance to bet on transfer specials, meaning that you can have a financial investment in whether a player joins a specific club or whether they remain at their existing employer after the next window.

This article explains how to bet on football transfer special betting markets and the best strategy in order to generate a long-term profit. We highlight a few little tricks that are employed by the bookies and pitfalls that should be avoided to make sure that you can profit from the markets that are available.



Bet On a Player’s Club After Next Transfer Window

Many bookmakers will create a betting market for a specific player and it will be something like “Kylian Mbappe’s Next Club After the Transfer Window”, with this either referring to the January transfer window or the summer transfer window depending on what is coming up next.

You will find a list of clubs and accompanying betting odds for that player, with some bookies including the player’s existing club and others just listing potential new destinations. It’s important to understand a particular betting market before deciding which way to bet. If the player’s existing club isn’t included on the list, you need to understand whether your bet would be lost or simply voided should the player not sign for a new team.

It’s often the case that the bookies are in disagreement regarding which team are favourites to sign a particular high-profile player, so you might find that Bookmaker ‘A’ has 2/1 about Juventus and Bookmaker ‘B’ has 10/1. Therefore, we would always recommend comparing the prices when it comes to the selections you want to back.

For this market and similar betting options, you might find that a bookmaker limits your stake. That is because there are clearly people out there with access to inside information, so the bookies don’t want to get their fingers burnt by accepting a large bet regarding a player to sign for a new club when this is already a done deal.

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Bet on a Player’s Next Permanent Club

Sometimes you will find that a high-profile football player becomes a free agent, something that is the case when their contract runs out at a particular club and they’re either injured or struggling to find a team who will pay the wages that they are accustomed to. That means there’s the opportunity to bet on their next destination.

The bookies will create a transfer betting market for this free agent and list a number of teams, while there might be a “grouped” option such as “Any MLS Club” or “Any Chinese Super League Club” on the basis that this covers several bases and the player’s decision to head to this league is the predominant factor over which club they choose.

Unlike the “Player’s Club After Next Transfer Window”, a free agent can join a new club at any point considering that there’s no business effectively being conducted by two clubs, although it’s worth sussing out whether the player has an appetite to continue playing professional football and a rough estimate of when they’re likely to return to action.

Bet on Whether a Player Will Leave or Stay at their Current Club

There is sometimes the opportunity to bet on a two-way betting market when it comes to a particular player’s future. Some betting customers love this type of two-way betting market as they don’t have to predict the future destination of a player and merely have to make the call as to whether they will choose to leave their respective club or decide that remaining on the payroll is the best thing for their upcoming future.

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Betting Tips for Football Transfer Betting Markets

It’s important to bear in mind that these betting markets are very volatile and the worst thing you can do is believe everything that has been written in the media. After all, newspapers and football websites look to try and generate traffic by using clickbait to get readers to visit their site and they will therefore look to create transfer speculation which has little to no substance.

Therefore, you should try and cut through the noise and listen to comments made by the manager of each club when it comes to recruitment. It’s also great if you can get information from the horse’s mouth and sometimes a player might take to Twitter, Instagram or another form of social media to outline their feelings about the next step in their career.

You should also take into account how much time the player in question has on his contract as that can have an enormous bearing in whether they move to another club. If the player’s contract is coming to an end ahead of that particular summer transfer window, you can be virtually certain that they’ll be moving to pastures new and you don’t have to worry about the possibility of them not moving.

The bookmakers who offer Transfer Specials will generally only allow you to bet singles on these type of markets, so it’s not worth trying to piece together a group of short-priced selections in a bid to have a winning accumulator. You can check on the betting slip to see if there’s any way of combining certain picks, although the bookies are wary of paying out large amounts and getting caught out on these markets.





Also Check Out: Find the best World Cup betting odds and get in early on the betting action.


Watch Out For Transfer Betting Odds Changing Quickly

When it comes to betting on a particular football match, you will find that the odds might change slightly leading up to kick-off, although it’s unusual to see a big shift in the prices that were originally set by the bookies. However, the transfer special betting markets are subject to big changes, especially when the transfer window is open and there could be business conducted between two clubs at any stage.

Each bookmaker that offers transfer special betting markets will have traders carefully monitoring the players who are the subject of speculation. It’s entirely possible that a team who are 1/2 to sign a particular player could be 10/1 within the space of 24 hours, with press releases being issued to often admit or deny that there’s any interest in a certain player.

Sometimes a club will be holding personal talks with a player and his agent which can lead to them being massive favourites only for the talks to break down, so even when the discussions reach a developed stage, you should always tread carefully with these betting markets.

Indeed, it has been known for players to fail a medical after agreeing terms with a football club and that can lead to the bookies reopening the betting market on this player and listing the remaining teams who were in the running to sign the player.

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    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    38
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    The world's leading crypto sports betting site - Buy and bet with 19 different cryptocurrencies.
  29. 36
    Zet Bet Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Fast & Clean Betting Interface
    Zet Boost' Accumulator Boosts
    Broad Range of Sports & Esports Markets
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    32
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    ZetBet is a new to market betting site that includes an attractive sportsbook with excellent filters to enable you to find your bet quickly and easily.
  30. 37
    Guts Sports
    Established 2013
    More Details
    Tennis Betting Leaderboard
    Big Selection of Popular Sports
    Clean Design for Smooth Navigation
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    32
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Guts is a great platform where sports betting enthusiasts will find everything they need. Plus, they can play casino games and poker if they like to.
  31. Mega Win When Bettors Combine Selections
    Comprehensive Collection of Sports, Including Esports
    Esports Video Streams
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    18
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Neo.Bet is a sportsbook that attracts users with its competitive odds and unique features. Personal bet configurator is one of them. The platform runs smoothly on devices with screens of all sizes.
  32. 39
    Spinzwin Sport
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Abundance of sports betting markets
    Licensed by UKGC and MGA
    Availability of partial cashouts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    SpinzWin definitely knows how to cut through the noise. The site’s operator has been in business for over a decade, which says a lot.
  33. 40
    Monster Casino Sports
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    10% Cashback on Sports Betting Losses
    'Wager Wars' Leaderboard & Cash Prizes
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    17
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Monster Casino Sportsbook is the new sports betting offering from this long established casino brand, with a small but select selection of sports to bet on.
  34. 41
    Karamba Sports
    Established 2005
    More Details
    Regular Money-Back Special Offers
    Karamba Battle' Betting Tournaments
    ‘Karamboost’ Accumulator Boosts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    29
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Karamba is a dual sportsbook and casino operator who offer a decent range of sports markets, plus live betting and cashout options and a 'Karambot' odds calculator.
  35. 42
    Palm Slots Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Crypto-Friendly - Including Bitcoin
    Integrated Casino Wallet
    Leading Esports Betting Provider
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    PALMBET100
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    A new sportsbook to Canada, PalmSlots is operated by NewEra B.V, a trusted brand responsible for Pribet, Cashalot, and FaroUK.
  36. 43
    Luckster Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Well Designed & Easy To Use Interface
    ‘Boost Up’ Accumulator Boosts
    Live Betting & Cash-Out Options
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    9
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Luckster is a dual sportsbook and casino platform with a vaguely Irish theme, including the inevitable leprechaun logo and shamrock imagery.
  37. Simple & Easy to Navigate Betting Lobby
    'Wager Wars' Leaderboard & Cash Prizes
    10% Cashback on Sports Betting Losses
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    29
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    The Online Casino, as its name clearly indicates, is a casino first operator with an added sportsbook if you also fancy some sports wagers.
  38. 45
    mr.play Sports
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Distinctive ‘Moustache’ Branding
    ‘PlayBoost’ Accumulator Boosts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    32
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Mr.Play Sports has a fun style of its very own, with a memorable handlebar 'tache wherever you look, but it boasts a serious amount of betting markets, plus Premier League & 'Euro Elite' betting battle tournaments.
  39. 47
    BetItOn Sportsbook
    Established 2020
    More Details
    Rising Star Operator of the Year' 2021
    Single or Acca Bets Cashout
    ‘BoostItOn’ Accumulator Boosts
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    12
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    BetItOn have ex-Liverpool striker and Champions League winner Djibril Cissé as their brand ambassador and resident football expert
  40. 48
    Vegasland Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Operated by Marketplay Ltd & Aspire Global Ltd
    Bet Builder available for most popular sports
    Excellent Basketball Odds
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    8
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    VegasLand sports betting has a huge variety of markets with top licensing from Malta. Obscure, hard-to-find leagues are available here. Free bets and excellent odds on your favourite sports can be found.
  41. Official Partner of Reading FC
    Ultra-Fast & Easy To Use Interface
    Daily Odds Boosts & Special Offers
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    20
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    35
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Casumo is one of the most distinctive and innovative online sportsbook (and casino) operators in Europe. They like to keep things as simple as possible, with a savvy sports betting user interface.
  42. 50
    Betway Sports
    Established 2006
    More Details
    Esports Operator of the Year' 2019
    Rewarding Parlay Club
    Exclusive Esports Club
    Promo Code
    Tooltip The code required to claim a sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Min Deposit
    10
    Acca Insurance
    Tooltip Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Live Streaming
    Tooltip Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    Tooltip The number of sports with in-play betting available
    28
    Bet Builder
    Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Betway was founded back in 2006, making it one of the experienced brands in the market today. Aside from having a massive selection of sports, the brand excels with esports betting odds.