Football Transfer Betting: Where & How to Bet on Transfers
Football transfer betting has become incredibly popular recently, with more and more punters looking for transfer betting specials on the best betting sites.
In this guide to football transfer betting, you'll learn how and where to bet on transfers and pick up useful transfer window betting tips, tricks and strategies that will add yet more spice to this exciting side of football.
Where to Bet on Transfers
Before we take a deep dive into the various player transfer betting markets available to you as a punter, it's time to take a look at some of the best bookies for this type of betting.
Our Gambling.com experts are particularly fond of football transfer betting markets and we've combed through the internet's established bookmakers and new betting sites to bring you a comprehensive list of top options.
Choose from the excellent bookies on our list for the best odds, offers and transfer betting specials.
How to Bet on Player Transfers
The summer transfer window is an especially busy period of change and opportunity for players, managers (and punters), while the January window offers the chance to cash in on teams making key recruitments ahead of the second half of the football season.
In most cases, bookmakers will have a dedicated ‘specials’ section on their sites and betting apps where you'll find player (and manager) transfer markets.
Your first step is to navigate to this section of your preffered betting site and find the right markets to bet on.
Below, you'll find a guide to some of the most popular player transfer betting markets offered to punters by our recommended bookies.
Bet On a Player’s Club After Next Transfer Window
Many football betting sites will create a market for a specific player which will look something like “Kylian Mbappe’s Next Club After The Transfer Window”.
In this market you'll find a list of clubs and accompanying betting odds. Note that some bookies include the player’s existing club as an option, while others only list potential new destinations.
If the player’s existing club isn’t included on the list, you need to understand whether your bet would be lost or simply voided should the player not sign for a new team.
Bookies often disagree about which team are favourites to sign a particular high-profile player.
You might find...
Bookmaker A has 2/1 for Juventus
Bookmaker B has 10/1 for Juventus
Therefore, we would always recommend comparing the prices with these markets when picking the selections you want to back.
For this market and similar betting options, you might find that a bookmaker limits your stake.
That's because there are people out there with access to inside information. The bookies don’t want to get their fingers burned by accepting a large bet on a player to sign for a new club - when it's already a done deal.
World Cup 2022: Get exclusive access to the best World Cup betting offers
Bet on a Player’s Next Permanent Club
Sometimes, you'll come cross high-profile football players who've become free agents (this happens when their contract runs out at a particular club) which creates an opportunity to bet on their next destination.
The bookies will create a transfer betting market for this free agent and list a number of teams or “grouped” options such as “Any MLS Club” or “Any Chinese Super League Club”.
Those options cover several bases once a player heads to a club in the relevant league.
A free agent can join a new club at any point, although it’s worth sussing out whether the player has an appetite to continue playing and if so - when they’re likely to return to action.
Pro Tip: Take advantage of free bets to cash in on these makets
Bet on Whether a Player Will Leave or Stay
There's sometimes the opportunity to bet on a two-way market when it comes to a particular player’s future.
Some customers love this type of two-way betting market as they don’t have to predict the future destination of a player and merely have to make the call on whether they will choose to leave their current club or stay put.
Betting Tips for Football Transfer Betting Markets
It’s important to bear in mind that transfer markets are very volatile and the worst thing you can do is believe everything that's written in the media.
Newspapers and football websites will use transfer speculation as clickbait to generate traffic on their site. This transfer speculation often has little to no substance.
Try to cut through the noise and try to get your information from trusted journalists or better yet - from the horse's mouth.
Manager's will ofter drop nuggets of info on their recruitment strategy and players sometimes take to Twitter, Instagram or another form of social media to announce their next steps.
Take into account how much time the player in question has left on his contract as that can have an enormous bearing in whether they move to another club.
If the player’s contract is coming to an end ahead of that particular summer transfer window, you can be virtually certain they’ll be moving to pastures new.
The online bookmakers offering transfer specials will generally only allow you to bet singles on these type of markets, so it’s not worth trying to piece together a group of short-priced selections for a football accumulator bet.
You can check on the betting slip to see if there’s any way of combining certain picks, although the bookies are wary of paying out large amounts and getting caught out on these markets.
Read More: Get insider tips and tricks on accumulator betting strategy
Watch Out For Transfer Betting Odds Changing Quickly
When it comes to simply betting on the result of a football match, you'll find the odds might change slightly leading up to kick-off, although it’s unusual to see a big shift in the prices that were originally set by the bookies.
However, transfer special betting markets are subject to big changes, especially when the transfer window is open and there could be business conducted between two clubs at any stage.
Each bookmaker that offers transfer special betting markets will have traders carefully monitoring the players who are the subject of speculation.
It’s entirely possible a club that's 1/2 to sign a particular player could be 10/1 within the space of 24 hours, with press releases being issued to often admit or deny that there’s any interest in a certain player.
Sometimes odds will be cut massively when a club is holding personal talks with a player and his agent, only for the talks to then break down. So, even when the discussions reach a developed stage, you should always tread carefully with these betting markets.
It's even been known for players to fail a medical after agreeing terms with a football club which can lead to the bookies re-opening the betting market on this player and listing the remaining teams who were in the running to sign the player.
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