Bettors hoping to score big from what happens in the ring during the September 15 rematch between middleweights Canelo Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin will have plenty of options to lay bets on riveting options across a slew of boxing betting markets.
Looking to maximize potential winnings through strategically placed bets on either fighter this weekend? Here are the best bets in each market for Canelo vs. GGG 2.
When playing the outright win market on a fight where the competitors are so evenly matched, I like to back the fighter who has largest numbers of different ways he can win the fight.
While Canelo and Golovkin are both excellent fighters, it’s Alvarez who seems to have the most methods at his disposal for winning the fight based on his better speed, more precise footwork and excellent countering ability.
Golovkin’s ability to beat Alvarez largely hinges on him getting Alvarez to go toe-to-toe with him in close. Alvarez is the more accomplished boxer from various distances, so I’m backing Alvarez to win on the outright win market.
When looking at the method of victory market, it’s important to stick with the most likely scenario for the fight. I like to look for value in the market, but not the same way I look for value in the rounds markets
The rounds market offer larger returns, so while I’m cognizant of the slightly higher winnings on the method of victory market than the outright win market, it’s still not playing a big enough factor for me to change my approach to the bet.
Since I think Alvarez has more different ways to win the fight, and because the most likely way he beats Golovkin is by outboxing him over 12 rounds, I like Alvarez by decision on the method of victory market.
When bookmakers offer round group bets, I always bet on the fighter who is most likely to win the fight by knockout should the knockout occur.
While Alvarez has good power in both hands, he’s not nearly the knockout threat Golovkin is at 160 pounds. Golovkin is one of the hardest punchers in all of boxing, so if a knockout happens in this fight, I think the fighter scoring the knockout will be Golovkin.
Alvarez is an elite boxer, though, so I don’t expect the fight to end during the first three rounds. The last three rounds are probably off the board, too. Alvarez would likely do whatever he could to get through the last nine minutes and Golovkin would concede the risk associated with gunning for the knockout to let the judges have their say.
Betting a fighter to win in a specific round is an incredibly difficult thing to forecast. It’s hard enough to say a fight will end in any group of rounds much less a single. But the payouts on the single round market are so substantial it makes sense to at least ponder how the end might come should it occur.
Golovkin is a hard puncher, but he wouldn’t be able to really hurt Alvarez early in the fight enough to get the job done.
That chance would come later in the fight when both boxers are tired from all the punishment they’ve endured, and it would happen far enough away from the closing bell that Alvarez wouldn’t want to endure the punishment if it comes down to his choice.
The over/under is set by the bookmaker, but it doesn’t really matter what number is suggested if you believe the most likely scenario for the contest is that the fight goes the full number of rounds.
There’s nothing to suggest from the first fight between Alvarez and Golovkin that either fighter will be able to stop his opponent before the end of the fight. With that knowledge in tow, I lay my bet on the over and take the winnings as they come.
As previously noted, both fighters landed clean punches in the first fight and neither man was able to significantly hurt his opponent.
Alvarez is an excellent counterpuncher and Golovkin is one of the hardest punchers in the sport, but stylistically they seem to mesh in a way that indicates the second fight will also go the distance and be given to the judges to sort through after 12 full rounds.
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