Super Bowl Bets: Who Will Win The Vince Lombardi Trophy in 2023?
Super Bowl Betting Tip:
There was a time in the NFL where you could check out after the Super Bowl. Not this year.
Even the best betting sites have struggled to keep up with some of the seismic moves and trades that’ve taken place in the last couple of weeks.
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Russell Wilson is now a Bronco, Tyreek Hill is now a Dolphin, Davante Adams is now a Raider and Baker Mayfield is now a punchline. But, that’s not all that’s happened.
There have been so many moves that could decide next year’s Lombardi trophy destination that we have to check back in with the latest outright NFL odds.
What Is The Super Bowl?
Played every year since 1967, the Super Bowl is the clash between the winner of the National Football Conference and the American Football Conference to decide the champion team of the NFL.
But, of course, it’s more than just a game, as America stops to watch the biggest televised sporting event of the year, star-studded half-time shows and countless TV ads.
The New England Patriots have played in the most Super Bowls (11), winning six of them, all since 2001. Along with the Pittsburgh Steelers, they share the record for the most league titles.
The Los Angeles Rams are the current holders having beaten the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl LVI in February 2022.
Can they repeat? Or who’s going to topple them? Let’s take a look at some of the contenders.
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% Chance | |||||||
| Buffalo Bills | 13.33% | 6/1 | 6/1 |
-- |
-- | 13/2 | 13/2 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11.76% | 7/1 | 7/1 |
-- |
-- | 15/2 | 7/1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9.09% | 10/1 | 9/1 |
-- |
-- | 10/1 | 9/1 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9.09% | 10/1 | 10/1 |
-- |
-- | 10/1 | 10/1 |
| Green Bay Packers | 7.69% | 12/1 | 11/1 |
-- |
-- | 11/1 | 10/1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6.67% | 14/1 | 12/1 |
-- |
-- | 14/1 | 14/1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5.88% | 16/1 | 14/1 |
-- |
-- | 16/1 | 14/1 |
| Denver Broncos | 5.88% | 15/1 | 16/1 |
-- |
-- | 15/1 | 16/1 |
Front-runners
Buffalo Bills
The Bills haven’t been part of the trading drama. When you’re good, you don’t need to make those moves.
Josh Allen will be short-priced for the MVP award with the best NFL betting sites next season, and his prospects will be aided by the signings of Jamison Crowder to replace Cole Beasley, OJ Howard to back-up Dawson Knox, Duke Johnson to supplement Devin Singletary, and Roger Saffold to solidify the offensive line.
Added to the signings on defence - Von Miller from the Rams, and a number of veteran lineman - and it’s easy to see they are 7/1 favourites for Super Bowl LVII.
Kansas City Chiefs
It’s been less sanguine for Buffalo’s conquerors from last season. Former Steeler Juju Smith-Schuster is a pass-catcher who could excel in the slot as the Chief’s high-speed offence stretches the field, but that was before Tyreek Hill was traded to the Dolphins.
UK bookmakers haven’t moved hugely against the Chiefs since that move – KC did pick up a huge haul of draft picks in return - but Hill’s explosive playmaking makes him one of a handful of non-QB stars in the league whose absence will move game betting lines.
The Chiefs still have Patrick Mahomes, but draft capital will have to be spent in a mega-trade for some other team’s top receiver or they’ll need to find a speedy pass catcher among the 2022 rookie crop if their price of 9/1 at 888sport is to shorten.
LA Rams
Matt Stafford’s reward for leading the Rams to the Super Bowl was a four-year, $160million extension to his contract and the signature of former Bears receiver Allen Robinson.
The 28-year-old should thrive alongside Cooper Kupp as replacement for the productive Robert Woods, who’s now in Tennessee.
He’s not the only notable departure. Andrew Whitworth (retired), Odell Beckham (still a free agent), and Sony Michel (ditto) are gone from the Super Bowl offence, as well as Von Miller and Darious Williams on defence.
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Beckham’s fate will tell a lot about how likely the Rams are to repeat as he could still return for LA. The former Giant would make their trio of WRs among the best in the league, and could make the 12/1 available from BetVictor a decent bet next season.
Green Bay Packers
Packers fans breathed a huge sigh of relief on March 8 when their 38-year-old back-to-back MVP quarterback Aaron Rodgers confirmed he’d return in green next season.
Their relief was cut short days later when Davante Adams, the team’s top receiver, decided he’d had enough of Green Bay and engineered a trade to Las Vegas.
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Rodgers will surely use any suggestion the Pack can’t compete now as motivation next season, but much like the Chiefs, his team’s front office must be in the market for a top-level target through the draft or other personnel moves with tight-end Robert Tonyan their top receiving threat right now.
The 14/1 at bet365 is a tough sell without more offensive talent appearing at Lambeau Field next season.
San Francisco 49ers
The Niners off-season is more notable for who hasn’t left than anyone they’ve signed. Jimmy Garoppolo is still on the roster despite it being clear the team is keen to move on from the former Patriot.
There are very few obvious destinations for the veteran after a season of up-and-down play and injury affected run in the Bay Area.
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His successor, Trey Lance, was drafted last year and San Francisco haven’t made any splashy signings, with cornerback Charvarious Ward from the Chiefs the most eye-catching move at a position of need.
The 49ers look solid if unspectacular amid a sea of turbulent roster moves. They are 15/1 with William Hill to win the Super Bowl next season, and there are worse punts around.
Dark Horses
Cincinnati Bengals
It might be unfair to see the Bengals as dark horses after last season, but the AFC is so loaded with talent that it will be very hard to repeat the feat, let alone go one better.
They’ve still got Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Mixon and Tee Higgins on the roster and have made moves to improve an atrocious offensive line, with Alex Cappa, La’el Collins and Ted Karras all veteran linemen who’ll give their superstar QB more breathing room than last year’s line-up.
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They’ve also franchise tagged Jesse Bates and look like bringing back much of their defence, so have the opportunity to build on last season at 20/1 with Betfair.
Indianapolis Colts
The Carson Wentz misstep last offseason, where the Colts traded two first round draft picks for the ex-Eagle, could’ve seen 2022 turn into a season of reset - or possibly outright regression - for Indy.
But then Atlanta went all-in on trading for Deshaun Watson, hung their starting QB Matt Ryan out to dry, lost out in the Watson sweepstake and had to move their veteran leader.
The Colts saw the opportunity and landed what could be the best-value move of the offseason – a former league MVP still playing at a solid level for just third round pick. They’d just received two of those for Carson Wentz from Washington weeks earlier.
They need to add to their offence, but have Michael Pittman, Jonathan Taylor and a very sold line. The 25/1 with the best bookmakers is worthy of consideration.
Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson is now a Cleveland Brown. It’s been a bizarre journey, where the potential league MVP quarterback requested a trade in the 2021 offseason, was then accused of multiple sexual assaults, sat out last season, and has signed one of the biggest contracts in NFL history this offseason.
The Browns now have a passer who can lead them to a first ever Super Bowl. They’ve given up three first-round picks, a third-round pick, two fourths, and their dignity to land Watson - who still has a likely league suspension to see out.
That ban could be for the entirety of the 2022 season, but it could be for a lot fewer games, and Watson is an undeniable talent who can go toe-to-toe with Mahomes, Allen, Rodgers and anyone else on his day.
The Browns are unlikely to compete this year, hence their 35/1 odds at bet365, but their QB’s potential play is an x-factor, especially if his suspension is on the more lenient end of the scale.
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