India vs Australia Fifth T20I: Latest Odds & Analysis

Date IconLast Updated: 2 Dec 2023
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India vs Australia Fifth T20I: Latest Odds & Analysis

India v Australia predictions: 

When: Sunday 1 December, 7:00pm IST 

Where: M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru

Watch: Sports18, JioCinema (Fox Cricket in Australia)

Best Odds: India 1.55, Australia 2.60 


It was another profitable day on Friday with India’s second choice crew getting the job done, Ruturaj Gaikwad scoring more than 26.5 runs (only just, but it doesn’t matter, does it?) whilst Nathan Ellis’ omission making it two out of two for our cricket predictions.

Despite it being billed by cynics as ‘the series that nobody asked for’, the evening crowds have been excellent across the country and the Chinnaswamy in Bengaluru is expected to be no exception.

The home nation secured an outstanding 14th consecutive bilateral home T20I series win with some impressive depth players at their disposal, and whilst Australia made five changes to their new-look side including a debut cap for Chris Green, the likes of Ben Dwarshuis and Aaron Hardie did not disgrace themselves with the ball.

We’ve taken another look at our favourite cricket betting sites to bring you, for the final time in 2023, our best India v Australia predictions.

 

The Numbers That Matter

  • The average IPL 2023 first innings score in Bengaluru was 196
  • Five of the seven completed T20Is in Bengaluru were won batting second  
  • Axar Patel took under 1.5 wickets in seven of his eight IPL games in Bengaluru
  • Ravi Bishnoi dismissed a top-three batter in all four games so far

All 4-1 and one for all

Nothing brings the country of India together quite like some cricket success and we’re anticipating that they’ll give the raucous Chinnaswamy crowd plenty to cheer about in the final game of the series.

The new Aussie kids on the block were well short of runs in Raipur as only experienced campaigners Travis Head and Matthew Wade got into the 30s.

Whilst the Chinnaswamy pitch is likely to be better to bat on than the one in Raipur, that is probably only likely to favour the Indians, who should once again show how adept they are at using slow bowling in home conditions.

Considering the manner in which they won the fourth game, in which they built quite a few strong partnerships whilst taking regular wickets beyond the powerplay overs to thwart Australia's progress, it’s a bit of a surprise to see India’s price not change at all for this game. 

Prediction: India to win - 1.5 @ Parimatch

SKY returns to an ‘unhappy hunting ground’

India’s stand-in captain got only the briefest of looks at Australia’s new bowlers on Friday before chasing a wide one from Ben Dwarshuis to continue his pattern of alternating between impactful knocks and otherwise.

His captaincy has largely gone unnoticed, which can only be a good thing in this era where pundits and social media warriors alike look to pick out the negatives wherever they can.

Getting the job done at a ground where he has for the most part struggled will be another indication of his evolution as an elite cricketer.

Suryakumar has accumulated only 108 runs at an average of 18.00 from his eight T20 innings at the Chinnaswamy (IPL and Champions League), clearing the 28.5 run mark that cricket betting apps have set for him on only two occasions.

Whilst most of those innings were well before he exploded onto the scene in the 2020s, the most recent was a score of just 15 against RCB this year.

Prediction: Suryakumar Yadav under 28.5 runs - 1.83 @ Parimatch

 

Head-ing out without a bang

The series winner is decided, you’ve been in and out of hotels and planes for weeks, and the first of seven Tests across three months begins in less than a fortnight…

We would never question or doubt Travis Head’s professionalism, but we could certainly forgive him for switching off one game early given how much cricket he has played and how many more important matches are just around the corner.

A small score here is certainly not going to negatively impact the impending bidding war for his signature in the upcoming IPL auction (though a century may do the opposite!), and the 22-run over he hit off the bowling of Deepak Chahar in Raipur shows he still means business.

So rather than taking on his run line, we’re going to back him to complete his final innings of the series without scoring a six.

His ground strokes have been impeccable in his two appearances, just as they were right throughout his World Cup stint, and it has seen him amass 13 fours and just one six so far. 

Head clears the boundary at least once in just half of his T20I innings since the start of 2017, even despite averaging nearly 30. 

Even money looks to be a good price for him to either exit the series early, or to put on a modest score made up only of ground boundaries.

Prediction: Travis Head under 0.5 sixes - 2.0 @ Parimatch